LIVETOCK AND POULTRY: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE pdf

United States
Department of

Agriculture


Foreign

Agricultural

Service





Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA
April 2013

World Exports 2013 Revised:
Broiler Meat Higher, Beef Lower and Pork Unchanged



Global beef production for 2013 is virtually unchanged from the October estimate at 57.5 million
tons as a sharp downward revision for India is offset by increases for a number of other
countries. Although still forecast at a record, global exports are dropped 355,000 tons to 8.6
million driven by a more reticent outlook for India which exceeds upward revisions for Brazil
and Australia. Import demand in East Asia, particularly in China and Hong Kong, is stronger
while other key markets are weaker on lower consumption (Mexico) or increased production

(South Korea).

Global pork production is revised upward 2.7 million tons to a record 107.4 million on expected
lower feed prices. Exports are reduced 90,000 tons to 7.2 million on downward revisions to the
EU, the United States, and Brazil.

Global broiler meat production is revised upward by 1.1 million tons to 84.6 million with the
majority of growth provided by the United States, Thailand and Russia. World exports are
revised up 262,000 tons to 10.3 million bolstered by higher exports from the United States,
Turkey, and Ukraine.

6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
2011
2012
2013
Million Tons CWE/RTC
April 2013 Forecast
Prior Forecast
Pork
Broiler
Beef




Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade

April 2013


Contents





Summary: Major Traders and U.S. Trade of Beef, Pork, and Poultry



Beef
Beef and Veal: 2013 Revised from October
Beef Summary Tables
Cattle Summary Tables



Pork
Pork: 2013 Revised from October
Pork Summary Tables
Swine Summary Tables



Poultry Meat

Broiler Meat: 2013 Revised from October
Broiler Meat Summary Tables

Turkey Meat Summary Tables




Notes to Readers





April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (p) 2013 (f)
Percent
Change
2012 to
2013
Beef and Veal /1
58,367 57,180 57,303 57,058 57,257 57,527
0.5%
Pork /1
97,923 100,567 102,968 102,015 105,519 107,412
1.8%
Broiler and Turkey /2
78,138 78,630 83,105 86,119 88,272 90,049

2.0%
Total
234,428 236,377 243,376 245,192 251,048 254,988
1.6%
Beef and Veal /1
57,501 56,209 56,151 55,367 55,759 56,044
0.5%
Pork /1
98,025 100,424 102,770 101,610 104,929 106,978
2.0%
Broiler & Turkey /2
77,005 77,555 81,796 84,568 86,385 88,410
2.3%
Total
232,531 234,188 240,717 241,545 247,073 251,432
1.8%
Beef and Veal /1
6,773 6,550 6,619 6,421 6,674 7,077
6.0%
Pork /1
6,260 5,540 5,886 6,606 6,904 6,844
-0.9%
Broiler and Turkey /2
8,012 7,705 8,191 8,606 8,990 9,234
2.7%
Total
21,045 19,795 20,696 21,633 22,568 23,155
2.6%
Beef and Veal /1
7,605 7,458 7,822 8,090 8,134 8,601

5.7%
Pork /1
6,220 5,682 6,081 6,997 7,305 7,245
-0.8%
Broiler and Turkey /2
9,003 8,970 9,455 10,162 10,755 10,963
1.9%
Total
22,828 22,110 23,358 25,249 26,194 26,809
2.3%
Beef and Veal /1
905 878 1,043 1,263 1,114 1,100
-1.3%
Pork /1
2,110 1,857 1,916 2,354 2,442 2,361
-3.3%
Broiler and Turkey /2
3,463 3,335 3,333 3,481 3,639 3,579
-1.6%
Total
6,478 6,070 6,292 7,098 7,195 7,040
-2.2%
Beef and Veal /1 12% 12% 13% 16% 14% 13%
Pork /1 34% 33% 32% 34% 33% 33%
Broiler and Turkey /2 38% 37% 35% 34% 34% 33%
Combined 28% 27% 27% 28% 27% 26%
Notes:
Exports
U.S. Exports
Summary:

Major Traders and U.S. Trade of Beef, Pork, and Poultry
Production
Consumption
Note to Readers: Totals include only those countries that make up USDA’s official PSD database are reported. This means totals do
not encompass all production, consumption, and trade, but rather the sum of those countries reported in USDA’s database, which
represent the most important players in the world meat PSD situation. In an attempt to capture these major players, the list of countries
reported changes periodically.
1/ 1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2/ 1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
U.S. Market Share (%) of Exports Among Major Traders
Imports

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
BEEF AND VEAL: 2013 REVISED FROM OCTOBER

Global beef production is virtually unchanged at 57.5 million tons as a sharp downward revision
for India is offset by increases for a number of other countries. Although still forecast at a
record, global exports are dropped 355,000 tons to 8.6 million driven by a more reticent outlook
for India which exceeds upward revisions for Brazil and Australia. Import demand in East Asia,
particularly in China and Hong Kong, is stronger while other key markets are weaker on lower
consumption (Mexico) or increased production (South Korea).



United States

Production is revised 113,000 tons higher to nearly 11.4 million on heavier slaughter weight
expectations which more than offset a reduction in slaughter. However, the outlook is

constrained by the availability of slaughter cattle due to declining calf crops, prior liquidation
spurred by drought, and elevated feed prices. The forecasts for imports and exports are virtually
unchanged. Improved market access in Japan and Hong Kong partnered with strong demand in
other key markets are expected to offset restrictions by Russia.

Brazil
Production is revised 125,000 tons higher to a record 9.5 million. Despite a shift of some pasture
to soybeans and corn during the current season, herd expansion is bolstered by government
support, genetic improvements, better pasture management, sustained cattle prices, excellent
pasture conditions, greater supplies of slaughter cattle and strong international demand.

Exports are revised 150,000 tons higher to nearly 1.6 million as stable competitive prices and
ample supplies boost shipments. A 16 percent devaluation of the Real over the past year will
help Brazilian competitiveness. Thus despite the atypical BSE case in the state of Parana, only
made public in late 2012, restrictions by Saudi Arabia, Japan, South Africa, South Korea, China
and Taiwan (combined less than 5 percent of exports) will be more than offset by demand from
other markets. Increased opportunities for shipments to Russia will likely be generated due to
gradual Brazilian plant relistings as well as Russian restrictions on competing U.S. beef.

1.25
1.75
2.25
2011
2012
2013
Million Tons CWE
Beef Export Competition Tightens Between Brazil and India
April 2013 Forecast
Prior Forecast
India

Brazil

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
EU
Production is revised 35,000 tons higher to 7.7 million. With a slight increase in consumption,
the trade forecast remains unchanged.

China
Production is virtually unchanged at nearly 5.6 million tons. Despite restrictions on Brazil,
imports are forecast 141,000 tons higher to a record 175,000 as demand remains firm and foreign
products are becoming price-competitive due to a stronger Yuan.

Argentina
Production is revised 20,000 tons upward to 2.8 million on increased slaughter as higher than
expected production costs squeeze profit margins. However, exports remain unchanged at
180,000 tons constrained by government export regulations, elevated cattle prices and
competition from other South American suppliers (Uruguay and Paraguay) in key markets such
as Chile, Russia and Israel.

Australia
Production is revised upward 25,000 tons to a record 2.2 million on increased slaughter due to a
return to drier conditions, rising input costs and higher rural debt. With ample supplies,
competitive prices and robust international demand, exports are revised 55,000 tons higher to a
record of nearly 1.5 million. Higher than previously forecast demand by China and greater
shipments to the United States are expected to more than offset declines in key markets (Japan
and South Korea).

Mexico

Production is virtually unchanged at 1.8 million tons as the sector continues to be challenged by
low volumes of slaughter ready cattle due to drought-impacted pasture, high feed prices and
elevated live cattle exports. As higher beef prices depress consumption across all income levels,
imports are revised 90,000 tons lower to 260,000. Exports remain unchanged.

Live cattle exports are revised 35,000 head lower to 1.3 million as smaller calf crops constrain
supplies and Turkey closed its market to shipments from Mexico.

Russia
Production is revised 45,000 tons upward to nearly 1.4 million on higher than expected slaughter
caused by higher feed prices as well as rising weights due to improved herd management.
Imports are revised 45,000 tons lower to 1.0 million due to data revisions.

Canada
Production is revised 55,000 tons lower to 1.0 million, a 17-year low. Revisions to prior calf
crops have negatively impacted cattle available for slaughter. Tighter supplies generate a
downward revision of exports by 85,000 tons to 330,000, also a 17-year low even compared to
2003 (its first BSE case). Tight supplies and stable demand also push imports 25,000 tons higher
to 315,000 tons.


April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Live cattle exports are forecast 175,000 head higher to 875,000 due to the erosion of the feed
cost advantage vis-à-vis the United States as well as operational changes at one plant (XL Foods,
Alberta) and the closure of another (Levinoff-Colbex, Quebec).

Japan
Production is revised 10,000 tons higher to 505,000 on stronger demand. Expanded market

access for U.S. beef and anticipated strong demand for grain-fed beef is expected to boost
imports and consumption. Imports are revised 10,000 tons higher to 760,000 with U.S. market
share expected to increase at the expense of Australia.

Paraguay
Strong foreign demand, particularly by Russia, drives production 35,000 tons higher to 465,000
and exports 25,000 tons higher to 275,000.

South Korea
Production is revised 35,000 tons higher to 336,000 on increased slaughter due changed profit
margins on revised forecasts for live cattle prices (lower) and feed prices (higher). Consumption
is expected to decline slightly, constrained by an abundant supply of low-priced domestic pork
and a sluggish economy. As a result, imports are revised 35,000 tons lower to 370,000 tons.

Saudi Arabia
With production unchanged, imports are revised 40,000 tons lower to 165,000 as BSE-related
restrictions on Brazil constrain importable supplies.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Beef and Veal Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none

Production
9,5009,3759,3079,0309,1158,935 Brazil
7,7357,7007,7658,0578,0487,913 EU-27
5,5905,5805,5405,5505,6005,764 China
3,8004,1683,4603,2442,8422,514 India
2,8002,7802,6202,5302,6203,380 Argentina
2,2102,1852,1522,1292,1292,106 Australia
1,8001,7951,8201,8041,7451,705 Mexico
1,4001,4001,4001,4351,4701,441 Pakistan
1,3901,3451,3801,3601,4351,460 Russia
1,0001,0551,0751,1541,2731,252 Canada
8,9168,8698,8838,7778,9808,819 Others
46,14146,25245,40245,07045,25745,289 Total Foreign
11,38611,27311,85511,98812,04611,891 United States
57,52757,52557,25757,05857,30357,180 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
7,9607,9857,8457,7307,5927,374 Brazil
7,7857,7507,8067,9758,1478,263 EU-27
5,7255,5715,5975,5245,5895,749 China
2,6222,6022,4582,3202,3462,761 Argentina
2,4162,4162,3952,3432,4872,505 Russia
2,1002,0082,0491,9761,9251,905 India
1,8351,9201,8351,9211,9381,976 Mexico
1,3671,3671,3671,4021,4361,414 Pakistan
1,2701,2481,2551,2371,2251,211 Japan
1,0109301,0121,0091,0001,016 Canada
10,47810,40810,39610,27910,4289,796 Others
44,56844,20544,01543,71644,11343,970 Total Foreign
11,47611,36111,74411,65112,03812,239 United States

56,04455,56655,75955,36756,15156,209 Total
Notes: May contain meat of other bovines.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Beef and Veal Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Total Imports
1,0351,0801,0239911,0571,053 Russia
760750737745721697 Japan
370405370431366315 Korea, South
350350348367437498 EU-27
325200241152154154 Hong Kong
315290301282243247 Canada
260350215265296322 Mexico
225225250217260180 Egypt
220235220195143250 Venezuela
190190187180190166 Chile
1,8641,7141,7751,6631,7101,477 Others
5,9145,7895,6675,4885,5775,359 Total Foreign
1,1631,1881,0079331,0421,191 United States
7,0776,9776,6746,4216,6196,550 Total

none
Total Exports
1,7002,1601,4111,268917609 India
1,6001,4501,5241,3401,5581,596 Brazil
1,4651,4101,4071,4101,3681,364 Australia
505529517503530514 New Zealand
370375355320347376 Uruguay
330415335426523480 Canada
300300307449338148 EU-27
275250251197283243 Paraguay
22522520014810351 Mexico
180180164213277621 Argentina
551551549553535578 Others
7,5017,8457,0206,8276,7796,580 Total Foreign
1,1001,1111,1141,2631,043878 United States
8,6018,9568,1348,0907,8227,458 Total
Notes: May contain meat of other bovines.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Cattle Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none

Total Cattle Beg. Stks
327,100327,300323,700320,800316,400309,900 India
203,273203,715197,550190,925185,159179,540 Brazil
104,203104,152104,346104,822105,430105,722 China
85,75085,32086,19687,43788,30088,837 EU-27
51,19551,09749,59748,15649,05754,260 Argentina
30,57630,61030,91030,97130,84530,775 Colombia
29,87929,71028,50627,55027,90627,321 Australia
19,45819,43019,69519,97020,67721,040 Russia
18,52118,57020,09021,45622,19222,666 Mexico
12,27512,54512,21512,15512,67013,030 Canada
55,73455,49855,71756,10857,47875,989 Others
937,964937,947928,522920,350916,114929,080 Total Foreign
89,30089,70090,76992,68293,88194,521 United States
1,027,2641,027,6471,019,2911,013,0321,009,9951,023,601 Total
none
Production (Calf Crop)
64,30064,40063,40062,50061,70061,000 India
50,18550,18549,69049,44549,20049,150 Brazil
41,55041,36540,95040,90041,50042,576 China
29,00029,15029,25029,60030,00030,100 EU-27
14,20014,20013,80013,10011,60012,000 Argentina
9,82510,00010,0009,6188,84210,025 Australia
6,9506,9006,9006,8006,9527,389 Russia
6,6006,6006,8006,9007,0006,875 Mexico
5,0005,0005,1255,1505,2005,300 Colombia
4,8404,9434,9454,7864,5304,523 New Zealand
15,64515,72015,72416,00015,98221,317 Others
248,095248,463246,584244,799242,506250,255 Total Foreign
33,80034,15034,27935,31335,69535,939 United States

281,895282,613280,863280,112278,201286,194 Total
Notes: 1/ May contain other bovines.
2/ From 2010, Nicaragua and South Africa are excluded.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Cattle Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Total Imports
525500616335612407 Venezuela
140110138943849 Russia
1201201151038347 China
100100957014045 Egypt
556556735654 Canada
162510162520 Mexico
131514121616 Japan
333312 Ukraine
212110 Belarus
000769171 Others
9749391,0497141,041811 Total Foreign
2,1502,0002,2562,1072,2842,002 United States
3,1242,9393,3052,8213,3252,813 Total

none
Total Exports
1,3151,3501,5391,4351,261980 Mexico
8757008256961,0651,067 Canada
750800769812623403 EU-27
590590512405655530 Brazil
580725620695875954 Australia
25025029961245 Colombia
606075213207207 Uruguay
474742342713 New Zealand
272928292829 China
516511 Russia
43551113 Others
4,5034,5554,7204,3904,7674,302 Total Foreign
2102251911949158 United States
4,7134,7804,9114,5844,8584,360 Total
Notes: 1/ May contain other bovines.
2/ From 2010, Nicaragua and South Africa are excluded.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Japan
Mexico
China
Canada
Korea
Russia
Other
2008

PORK: 2013 REVISED FROM OCTOBER

Global pork production is revised upward 2.7 million tons to a record 107.4 million on expected
lower feed prices. Exports are reduced 90,000 tons to 7.2 million on downward revisions to the
EU, the United States, and Brazil.


United States
Production is raised 229,000 tons
to 10.7 million largely on
expected lower feed grain prices
and more slaughter. Slaughter
hog supply is greater because of
smaller declines to the swine
breeding herd and a larger pig
crop, as producers weathered
2012 high feed grain prices.
Adding to hog supplies, swine
imports are raised 100,000 head
to 5.6 million with expectations
that a more normal corn crop
will boost demand for Canadian
feeder pigs.

Exports are lowered 84,000 tons to 2.4 million as lower sales to Russia and soft Japanese
demand offset greater exports to Mexico and Canada.

Swine exports, which consist almost entirely of breeding stock, are raised 20,000 head to 60,000
due to growing demand from China, Mexico, and Russia. A recent protocol with the EU now
allows U.S. hogs to transit through to Russia.

China
Production is raised by 1.8 million tons to a record 53.8 million mainly on greater slaughter hog
supplies and heavier carcass weights. The pig crop is raised 3 percent due to better disease
management practices which limited losses during the winter season. The government’s
decision to extend sow production subsidies through June is expected to help boost pig
production.

Imports are lowered 115,000 tons to 700,000 on higher domestic production and lower pork
prices.

Swine exports are raised 90,000 head to 1.7 million as lower priced hogs meet stronger demand
from Hong Kong and Macau.



Mexico and China Account for Growing Share
of U.S. Pork Exports

Japan
Mexico
China
Canada
Korea
Russia
Other
2012
2.1 Million Tons
2.5 Million Tons

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
EU
Pork production is lowered 75,000 tons to 22.6 million due to a lower pig crop resulting from the
newly implemented sow housing requirements. Exports are lowered 115,000 tons to 2.3 million
despite market opportunities because of tight exportable supplies.

Brazil
Production is raised 40,000 tons to 3.4 million on improved hog prices and more stable feed
costs from record soybean and corn crops. However, exports are lowered 25,000 tons to 620,000
because of Ukraine’s restrictions on imports from Brazil, which was their top market last year.
Sales will likely be re-directed to other markets like Russia, Angola, Georgia, and Moldova.
Russia’s elimination of preferential tariff rates is not expected to limit sales.

Canada
Production is raised 20,000 tons to 1.8 million as the hog sector copes with high feed costs and
the producers’ fragile financial situations. Most remained in business and continued to produce
as usual on expectations of improved hog prices. Consequentially, sow beginning were higher
and the pig crop is raised 350,000 head to 28.2 million. Swine exports are raised 100,000 head
to 5.7 million as U.S. demand for feeder pigs is expected to remain strong.

Pork exports are boosted 35,000 tons to 1.2 million on greater shipments to Mexico and Russia.
New Russian ractopamine restrictions may slow sales in the near term and keep them below
2012 levels.

Russia
Production is up 75,000 tons to 2.2 million despite higher feed prices. The hog industry
continues to expand, aided by government support for large, modern facilities. However,
imports are also raised 80,000 tons to 1.1 million, given their competitive prices. Trade

restrictions on U.S. pork will mean more market share available for other suppliers.

Swine imports are cut by more than half to 250,000 head with ongoing restrictions on EU swine
due to the Schmallenberg virus (a ruminant disease).

Japan
Production is raised 40,000 tons to 1.3 million on lower expected feed grain prices. The pig crop
is revised upward 4 percent as the national sow inventory is rebuilt, particularly in the Miyazaki
prefecture (a major hog producing region that was hard hit by an outbreak of Foot and Mouth
Disease (FMD) several years ago).

Imports are lowered 30,000 tons to 1.2 million based on the depreciation of the yen, larger
domestic supplies, greater consumption of U.S. beef due to improved market access, and
increased competition from poultry meat because of competitive prices.

Mexico
Production is forecast 60,000 tons higher at 1.3 million, as more sows were retained last year.
However, imports are also raised 80,000 tons to a record 770,000 based on competitive import

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
prices and strong demand, as pork substitutes for higher-priced beef. Swine imports are doubled
as industry expansion results in strong breeding stock demand.

South Korea
Production is raised 190,000 tons to a record 1.2 million. The swine industry recovery following
the 2011 FMD outbreak resulted in an oversupply of hogs. In an attempt to stop prices from
falling below production costs, the government procured 64,000 head in the first 2 months of
2013. Producer groups and the government have also agreed to: 1) a voluntary 20 percent

reduction in sow stocks with failure to comply resulting in reduced government support, 2)
reduced slaughter weights, 3) an increase in the ratio of domestic to imported pork in processed
meat and 4) a national bacon sale for 2 weeks in March to encourage consumption. As a result of
these large domestic supplies, consumption is up to record levels while imports are slashed
105,000 tons to 400,000.

Ukraine
Production is lowered 20,000 tons to 600,000. However, imports are unchanged at 200,000 tons.
A ban on imports from Brazil (Ukraine’s largest supplier) is expected to keep trade below record
2012 levels.



April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Pork Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Production
53,80052,00052,35049,50051,07048,905 China
22,55022,62522,63022,86622,57122,434 EU-27
3,3703,3303,3303,2273,1953,130 Brazil
2,1502,0752,0752,0001,9201,844 Russia

2,0252,0252,0001,9601,9301,910 Vietnam
1,7951,7751,8201,7971,7711,788 Canada
1,4201,2751,3821,2751,2471,234 Philippines
1,3051,2651,2971,2671,2921,310 Japan
1,2701,2101,2271,2021,1751,162 Mexico
1,2401,0501,0868371,1101,062 Korea, South
860860865865845857 Taiwan
620590584528498514 Chile
600620600704631527 Ukraine
360360347340327325 Belarus
350295331301279289 Argentina
3,0282,9153,0413,0152,9212,834 Others
96,74394,27094,96591,68492,78290,125 Total Foreign
10,66910,44010,55410,33110,18610,442 United States
107,412104,710105,519102,015102,968100,567 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
54,22552,61552,72550,00451,15748,823 China
20,31020,27020,42320,68020,84221,057 EU-27
3,2303,0753,1452,9712,8352,719 Russia
2,7512,6862,6702,6442,5772,423 Brazil
2,5332,5312,5572,5222,4882,467 Japan
2,0052,0051,9801,9401,9121,891 Vietnam
1,9301,7901,8381,7101,7841,770 Mexico
1,6281,5551,5461,4871,5391,480 Korea, South
1,5561,4031,5181,4191,4051,344 Philippines
891892893919901925 Taiwan
825810820785802853 Canada
775800852806776713 Ukraine
555573544558467486 Hong Kong

520541514482482464 Australia
460439430408385369 Chile
4,1253,8994,0363,9353,7653,627 Others
98,31995,88496,49193,27094,11791,411 Total Foreign
8,6598,3698,4388,3408,6539,013 United States
106,978104,253104,929101,610102,770100,424 Total

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Pork Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Total Imports
1,2301,2601,2591,2541,1981,138 Japan
1,0801,0001,070971916876 Russia
770690706594687678 Mexico
700815730758415270 China
420445414432347369 Hong Kong
400505502640382390 Korea, South
245225241204183180 Canada
210210194175183176 Australia
200200281119146186 Ukraine
1551251511178630 Belarus

138130138145159111 Philippines
1151001059710497 Singapore
1008287785861 Angola
656564585660 Croatia
455035221110 Colombia
608569564578565530 Others
6,4816,4716,5416,2425,4965,162 Total Foreign
363363363364390378 United States
6,8446,8346,9046,6065,8865,540 Total
none
Total Exports
2,2602,3752,2262,2051,7541,416 EU-27
1,2301,1951,2431,1971,1591,123 Canada
620645661584619707 Brazil
250200235244278232 China
190175180139130152 Chile
11090104856231 Belarus
11011095867870 Mexico
353536414140 Australia
2520291710 Ukraine
202020201921 Vietnam
342534252433 Others
4,8844,8904,8634,6434,1653,825 Total Foreign
2,3612,4452,4422,3541,9161,857 United States
7,2457,3357,3056,9976,0815,682 Total

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Swine Selected Countries Summary

(in 1,000 head)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Total Beginning Stocks
474,920466,645473,340477,115469,960462,913 China
147,000148,450148,545150,773152,198153,067 EU-27
38,57839,27638,33636,65235,12233,892 Brazil
18,79317,30017,25817,23117,23616,165 Russia
12,72012,81312,78512,69012,46512,700 Canada
9,9169,7008,1718,4498,7218,223 Korea, South
9,5109,4999,2769,0078,9799,310 Mexico
9,5009,7009,7359,76810,0009,899 Japan
7,5167,4007,3737,9607,5776,526 Ukraine
4,2284,1003,9893,8873,7823,704 Belarus
2,1592,3002,2852,2892,3022,412 Others
734,840727,183731,093735,821728,342718,811 Total Foreign
66,41365,20066,36164,92564,88767,148 United States
801,253792,383797,454800,746793,229785,959 Total
none
Production (Pig Crop)
710,558690,000697,800660,622677,800655,620 China
261,000268,000260,500264,250262,200257,700 EU-27
38,10037,90037,70037,75036,97035,890 Brazil
34,50032,64533,30030,65029,47228,798 Russia
28,20027,85028,30628,59428,68829,410 Canada

17,50016,89017,05017,00017,50017,700 Japan
16,80016,47516,50016,35016,20015,966 Mexico
16,00014,47016,34013,30814,92314,916 Korea, South
7,5007,7007,4008,1098,1767,400 Ukraine
5,4505,3265,2755,0755,0254,950 Belarus
4,6004,6804,6024,6594,6044,390 Others
1,140,2081,121,9361,124,7731,086,3671,101,5581,072,740 Total Foreign
118,944115,830117,724115,838113,685114,542 United States
1,259,1521,237,7661,242,4971,202,2051,215,2431,187,282 Total

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Swine Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Total Imports
2506003347827831,205 Russia
2502302251129077 Ukraine
3216311297 Mexico
2222181566 China
1010111620 Korea, South
525523 Belarus
332333 Canada

222123 EU-27
111250 Brazil
111111 Japan
000000 Others
5768876309499031,305 Total Foreign
5,6305,5305,6525,7955,7496,365 United States
6,2066,4176,2826,7446,6527,670 Total
none
Total Exports
5,6505,5505,6725,8215,7616,376 Canada
1,7001,6101,6401,5631,7481,695 China
1,2001,4001,2401,5861,6282,211 EU-27
110115103113543 Belarus
112611 Brazil
111110 Ukraine
000011 Others
8,6628,6778,6589,0909,19410,287 Total Foreign
604054301521 United States
8,7228,7178,7129,1209,20910,308 Total

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
BROILER MEAT: 2013 REVISED FROM OCTOBER
Global broiler meat production is revised upward by 1.1 million tons to 84.6 million with the
majority of growth provided by the United States, Thailand and Russia. World exports are
revised up 262,000 tons to 10.3 million bolstered by higher exports from the United States,
Turkey, and Ukraine.

United States
Production is boosted 671,000 tons to a record 17.0 million as a result of better prices and higher
weights. Exports are raised 114,000 tons to 3.3 million driven by escalating demand in Mexico
and Cuba, coupled with Russia’s removal of preferential tariffs for a number of counties
including Brazil.

Brazil
Production is lowered 170,000 tons to 12.8 million as a result of shrinking domestic demand.
However, exports are raised 25,000 tons to 3.6 million due to greater demand in East Asia and
the Middle East.

EU
Production is down 30,000 tons to 9.6 million as declines in France and the United Kingdom
outweigh expansion mainly in Germany and Poland. Exports are lowered by 60,000 tons to 1.1
million due to a reduction of available exportable supplies, as a result of the bankruptcy of Doux
(France’s leading producer) and lower restitutions.




0
2
4
6
8
10
2009
2010
2011

2012
2013
Million Tons
*Thailand, China, Turkey, Argentina and Ukraine
Smaller Suppliers of Broiler Meat Capture Nearly Half of
Demand Growth
*Select Exporters
EU-27
United States
Brazil

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
China
Production is decreased by 50,000 tons to 14.1 million due to tighter margins on higher feed
costs and lower prices. Exports are unchanged at 400,000 tons due to price competitive supplies
from Brazil and the United States in some markets, but expanding demand in other markets.

Russia
Production is raised 100,000 tons to 3.0 million as increased government supports and stronger
demand (fueled by a rising preference for value-added products and elevated red meat prices)
moderate higher costs. Exports are up 25,000 tons to 80,000 as a result of preferential market
access to Kazakhstan due to the Customs Union. Imports are higher by 60,000 tons to 580,000
due to greater demand for low-cost sources of protein.

Mexico
Production is increased 25,000 tons to 3.0 million despite higher costs associated with feed and
bio-security measures in response to the avian influenza (AI) outbreak. Exports are cut 4,000
tons to 8,000 due to the AI outbreak. Imports remain unchanged at 640,000 tons as a result of

stable per capita consumption.

Argentina
Production remains unchanged at 2.0 million tons, while exports are up 30,000 tons to 315,000
in response to larger demand from Venezuela, China and Chile.

Turkey
Production remains unchanged at 1.7 million tons, although exports are raised 70,000 tons to
330,000 as a result of burgeoning demand from Iraq and other Middle-East markets.

Thailand
Production is boosted 110,000 tons to 1.6 million as a result of higher domestic and foreign
demand. Exports are up 20,000 tons to 600,000 with greater market access to European and East
Asian markets.

Ukraine
Production is raised 83,000 tons to 903,000 as new production facilities come into operation.
Exports jump 70,000 tons to 120,000 in response to growing demand from Kazakhstan and
Russia.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Broiler Meat Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Production
14,05014,10013,70013,20012,55012,100 China
12,83513,00512,64512,86312,31211,023 Brazil
9,5509,5809,5109,3209,2028,756 EU-27
3,4203,4203,1602,9002,6502,550 India
2,9752,9502,9582,9062,8222,781 Mexico
2,9502,8502,8302,5752,3102,060 Russia
2,0222,0221,9361,7701,6801,500 Argentina
1,7001,7001,6871,6141,4301,250 Turkey
1,5601,4501,5501,3501,2801,200 Thailand
1,5501,5501,5401,5151,4651,409 Indonesia
14,98614,57514,63714,10413,62913,048 Others
67,59867,20266,15364,11761,33057,677 Total Foreign
17,01216,34116,62116,69416,56315,935 United States
84,61083,54382,77480,81177,89373,612 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
13,92013,95013,54313,01512,45712,210 China
9,2309,4249,1399,4229,0417,802 Brazil
9,2109,2109,1389,0148,9548,710 EU-27
3,6073,5783,5693,4733,3643,264 Mexico
3,4503,3153,3213,0132,9572,982 Russia
3,4113,4113,1512,8912,6482,549 India
2,1852,1302,2192,1042,0791,979 Japan
1,8001,7381,7561,6851,5241,443 South Africa
1,7101,7461,6591,5561,4751,327 Argentina
1,5501,5501,5401,5151,4651,412 Indonesia
19,37818,97318,83218,21117,34116,021 Others

69,45169,02567,86765,89963,30559,699 Total Foreign
13,80413,22513,34213,66413,47012,946 United States
83,25582,25081,20979,56376,77572,645 Total
Notes:
1/ Chicken paws are excluded.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Broiler Meat Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct
2013
Apr

none
Total Imports
860840876895788645 Japan
807750799789681605 Saudi Arabia
720750718731681719 EU-27
640640616578549492 Mexico
624610612598522397 Iraq
580520560463656929 Russia
395380371325240206 South Africa
330340301287239161 Angola
310380300410295253 Hong Kong
270250254238286401 China
3,2953,1483,1702,9072,8482,485 Others

8,8318,6088,5778,2217,7857,293 Total Foreign
514751494845 United States
8,8828,6558,6288,2707,8337,338 Total
none
Total Exports
3,6073,5823,5083,4433,2723,222 Brazil
1,0601,1201,0901,037929765 EU-27
600580538467432379 Thailand
400400411423379291 China
33026028520611086 Turkey
315285281224214178 Argentina
145150140143147147 Canada
1205075433218 Ukraine
110110105743821 Belarus
969593907987 Chile
265268259220173146 Others
7,0486,9006,7856,3705,8055,340 Total Foreign
3,2663,1523,3033,1623,0693,093 United States
10,31410,05210,0889,5328,8748,433 Total
Notes:
1/ Chicken paws are excluded.

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Turkey Meat Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct

none
Production
2,0302,0201,9501,9461,7951,830 EU-27
520510489485466465 Brazil
165165160159167180 Canada
10510090703139 Russia
131413111115 Mexico
888887 South Africa
666655 China
2,8472,8232,7162,6852,4832,541 Total Foreign
2,5922,6752,5922,5272,5352,796 United States
5,4395,4985,3085,2125,0185,337 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
1,9601,9511,8851,9111,8011,835 EU-27
360355348327302261 Brazil
167183164163155212 Mexico
149148145143151163 Canada
12512011710572107 Russia
484032343438 South Africa
474740323250 China
2,8562,8442,7312,7152,5472,666 Total Foreign
2,2992,3322,2742,3062,3632,434 United States
5,1555,1765,0055,0214,9105,100 Total

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
Turkey Meat Selected Countries Summary

1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2013
Oct

none
Total Imports
155170152153144197 Mexico
80818299112125 EU-27
414134262745 China
403224262631 South Africa
202027354168 Russia
787889 Canada
000000 Others
343352326347358475 Total Foreign
910101196 United States
352362336358367481 Total
none
Total Exports
160155141158164204 Brazil
150150147134106120 EU-27
252522242525 Canada
111100 Mexico
000000 Others
336331311317295349 Total Foreign
313336319264242306 United States
649667630581537655 Total

April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis


Notes to Readers

The Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade circular is designed to give a snapshot of the
current situation among the major players in world beef, pork, broiler meat, and turkey meat trade.
Summary tables for meat production, imports, exports, and consumption provide an overview.

Data Modifications Prior to 2012

Cattle/Beef:
• The cattle PSDs for the following countries are revised for particular years during the 2005-
2011 period due to official trade data revisions: Belarus
• The beef PSDs for the following countries are revised for particularly years during the 1999-
2011 period on additional production data available: Angola, Albania, Belarus, Costa Rica,
El Salvador, Peru, South Africa, Switzerland
• The beef PSDs for the following countries are revised for particular years during the 1997-
2011 period on additional trade data available: Angola, Belarus, Congo, Macedonia, Oman,
Paraguay, Russia, Saudi Arabia

Swine/Pork:
• The pork PSDs for the following countries are revised for particular years during the 2001-
2011 period due to additional trade or production data: Angola, Armenia, Australia, Belarus,
Canada, Colombia, Congo, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Democratic Republic of Congo,
Ecuador, EU, Georgia, Ghana, Guatemala, Honduras, Hong Kong, Japan, Kazakhstan,
Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, New Zealand, Norway, Panama, Philippines, Russia, and Serbia.

• The swine PSDs for the following countries are revised for particular years during the 2010-
2011 period due to additional trade or production data: Australia, Canada, EU, Japan, and

Russia.

Broiler Meat:
• The broiler meat PSDs for the following countries are revised for particular years during the
2006-2011 period on additional production data available: Chile, Colombia, Saudi Arabia,
Macedonia

• The broiler meat PSDs for the following countries are revised for particular years during the
2008-2011 period on additional trade data available: Argentina, Gabon, Russia, Georgia,
Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, United Arab Emirates



Turkey Meat:
• The turkey meat forecast is NOT revised from the October release and summary tables
reflect data previously published.

Assumptions

• BSE: Forecast assumes a continuation of trade policies due to BSE (bovine spongiform
encephalopathy) currently in place by U.S. and Canadian trading partners as of April 10, 2013.
• Other Diseases (AI, H1N1, FMD): Forecast reflects policies currently in place as a result of
outbreaks as of April 10, 2013.


April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

Conversion Rates

Beef &Veal
Pork
Conversion Rate
1.40
1.30
HS Codes
Fresh/Chilled: 0201
Frozen: 0202
Processed: 021020 & 160250
Fresh/Chilled: 020311, 020312, 020319
Frozen: 020321, 020322, 020329
Processed: 021011, 021012, 021019,
160241, 160242, 160249

Broiler Meat
Turkey Meat
Conversion Rate
1
1
HS Codes
Fresh/Chilled: 0207.11, 0207.13
Frozen: 0207.12, 0207.14
Processed and Salted: 1602.32,
0210.99
Fresh/Chilled: 0207.24, 0207.26,
0207.32, 0207.34, 0207.35
Frozen: 0207.25, 0207.27, 0207.33, 0207.36
Processed: 1602.31
Note: There are several exceptions by country/product. In general, chicken paws are excluded and carabeef (buffalo meat) is included.

Technical Notes

CWE/PWE: All quantities (beef and pork) noted are in Carcass Weight Equivalent (CWE) unless
otherwise noted as Product Weight Equivalent (PWE). CWE is the weight of an animal after
slaughter and removal of most internal organs, head, and skin. PWE is the actual weight of the
meat product exported.

FAS Reports from Overseas Offices

The Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade circular is based on post reports submitted
since January 2013 and on available secondary information. The individual country reports can be
obtained on FAS Online at:

PSD Online

The entire USDA PSD database is available electronically on PSD Online. Users can use this
system to generate the full set of PSD data for those countries reporting. PSD Online can be
reached through

Additional Resources

Please refer to the USDA-FAS Dairy, Livestock and Poultry website at:

for additional data and analysis.

Situation and outlook information on U.S. livestock and poultry can be obtained from the USDA-
Economic Research Service at:

Future Releases and Contact Information

Please visit to view archived and future releases.
The next release of this circular will be in October 2013.

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Lesley Ahmed
(202) 720-2781

Swine and Pork
Claire Mezoughem
(202) 720-7715

Cattle and Beef
Lazaro Sandoval
(202) 720-7285

Poultry (Broiler, Turkey and
Other Poultry products)


April 2013
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis