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580 PART 3 • Market Structure and Competitive Strategy
also shows that consumers’ discount rates vary inversely with their incomes.
For example, people with above-average incomes used discount rates of
about 9 percent, while those in the bottom quarter of the income distribution used discount rates of 39 percent or more. We would expect this result
because higher-income people are likely to have more free cash available
and therefore have a lower opportunity cost of money.
Buying a new car involves a similar trade-off. One car might cost less
than another but offer lower fuel efficiency and require more maintenance
and repairs, so that expected future operating costs are higher. As with air
conditioners, a consumer can compare two or more cars by calculating and
comparing the PDV of the purchase price and expected average annual
operating cost for each. An econometric study of automobile purchases
found that consumers indeed trade off the purchase price and expected
operating costs in this way.15 It found the average discount rate for all consumers to be in the range of 11 to 17 percent. These discount rate estimates
are somewhat lower than those for air conditioners, and probably reflect the
widespread availability of auto loans.
15.7 Investments in Human Capital
• human capital Knowledge,
skills, and experience that make
an individual more productive
and thereby able to earn a
higher income over a lifetime.
So far, we have discussed how firms and consumers can decide whether to
invest in physical capital—buildings and equipment, in the case of firms, and
durable goods such as cars and major appliances, in the case of consumers. We
have seen how to apply the net present value rule to these decisions: Invest
when the present value of the gains from the investment exceeds the present
value of the costs.