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PA R T I I I
Financial Institutions
and bid up the loan s price to the point that the bank receives no compensation
for the information it has produced. The bank s role as an intermediary that holds
mostly nontraded loans is the key to its success in reducing asymmetric information in financial markets.
Our analysis of adverse selection indicates that financial intermediaries in general, and banks in particular because they hold a large fraction of nontraded loans,
should play a greater role in moving funds to corporations than securities markets
do. Our analysis thus explains facts 3 and 4: why indirect finance is so much more
important than direct finance and why banks are the most important source of
external funds for financing businesses.
Another important fact that is explained by the analysis here is the greater
importance of banks in the financial systems of developing countries. As we have
seen, when the quality of information about firms is better, asymmetric information problems will be less severe, and it will be easier for firms to issue securities.
Information about private firms is harder to collect in developing countries than
in industrialized countries; therefore, the smaller role played by securities markets
leaves a greater role for financial intermediaries such as banks. A corollary of this
analysis is that as information about firms becomes easier to acquire, the role of
banks should decline. A major development in the past 20 years has been huge
improvements in information technology. Thus the analysis here suggests that the
lending role of financial institutions such as banks should have declined, and this
is exactly what has occurred.
Our analysis of adverse selection also explains fact 6, which questions why
large firms are more likely to obtain funds from securities markets, a direct route,
rather than from banks and financial intermediaries, an indirect route. The better
known a corporation is, the more information about its activities is available in the
marketplace. Thus it is easier for investors to evaluate the quality of the corporation and determine whether it is a good firm or a bad one. Because investors have
fewer worries about adverse selection with well-known corporations, they will be
willing to invest directly in their securities. Our adverse selection analysis thus suggests that there should be a pecking order for firms that can issue securities. Hence