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THE ECONOMICS OF MONEY,BANKING, AND FINANCIAL MARKETS 233

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CHAPTER 9
STAGE ONE
Initiation
of Financial
Crisis

Deterioration in
Financial Institutions
Balance Sheets

Financial Crises and the Subprime Meltdown 201

Asset Price
Decline

Increase in
Interest Rates

Increase in
Uncertainty

Adverse Selection and Moral
Hazard Problems Worsen

STAGE TWO
Banking
Crisis

Economic Activity
Declines


Banking
Crisis

Adverse Selection and Moral
Hazard Problems Worsen

Economic Activity
Declines

STAGE THREE
Debt
Deflation

Unanticipated Decline
in Price Level

Adverse Selection and Moral
Hazard Problems Worsen

Economic Activity
Declines

Factors Causing Financial Crises
Consequences of Changes in Factors

FIGURE 9-1

Sequence of Events in Canadian Financial Crises

The solid arrows in Stages One and Two trace the sequence of events in a typical financial crisis; the dotted arrows show

the additional set of events that occur if the crisis develops into a debt deflation, Stage Three in our discussion.



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