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CHAPTER 21
The Demand for Money
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Irving Fisher reasoned that velocity is determined by the institutions in an
economy that affect the way individuals conduct transactions. If people use
charge accounts and credit cards to conduct their transactions, as they can
today, and consequently use money less often when making purchases, less
money is required to conduct the transactions generated by nominal income (M
falls relative to P * Y ), and velocity (P * Y )/M will increase. Conversely, if it
is more convenient for purchases to be paid for with cash or cheques (both of
which are money), more money is used to conduct the transactions generated
by the same level of nominal income, and velocity will fall. Fisher took the view
that the institutional and technological features of the economy would affect
velocity only slowly over time, so velocity would normally be reasonably constant in the short run.
Quantity
Theory of
Money
Fisher s view that velocity is fairly constant in the short run transforms the equation of exchange into the quantity theory of money, which states that nominal
income is determined solely by movements in the quantity of money. When the
quantity of money M doubles, M * V doubles and so must P * Y, the value of
nominal income. To see how this works, let s assume that velocity is 5, nominal
income (GDP) is initially $5 trillion, and the money supply is $1 trillion. If the
money supply doubles to $2 trillion, the quantity theory of money tells us that
nominal income will double to $10 trillion (+ 5 * $2 trillion).
Because the classical economists (including Fisher) thought that wages and
prices were completely flexible, they believed that the level of aggregate output Y