✶
▼Ö❈ ▲Ö❈
▼ð ✤➛✉
✷
✶ ❑✐➳♥ t❤ù❝ ❝❤✉➞♥ ❜à
✹
✶✳✶
❑❤→✐ ♥✐➺♠ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✹
✶✳✷
❈→❝ sè ✤➦❝ tr÷♥❣ ❝õ❛ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥
✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✹
✶✳✸
▼ët sè ❦❤→✐ ♥✐➺♠ ❤ë✐ tö ❝õ❛ ❞➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✺
✶✳✹
❚➼♥❤ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✱ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ✤æ✐ ♠ët✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✼
✶✳✺
▼ët sè ❦❤→✐ ♥✐➺♠ ✈➲ ▲✉➟t sè ❧î♥ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✽
✶✳✻
▼ët sè ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ❝ì ❜↔♥✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✽
✷ ▼ð rë♥❣ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✲ ❋❡❧❧❡r✳
✶✸
✷✳✶
▲✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✲ ❋❡❧❧❡r✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✶✸
✷✳✷
▼ð rë♥❣ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✲❋❡❧❧❡r ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳ ✳
✷✷
❑➳t ❧✉➟♥
✷✾
❚➔✐ ❧✐➺✉ t❤❛♠ ❦❤↔♦
✸✵
é
t số ợ õ ởt trỏ rt q trồ tr ỵ tt st
t số ợ tr số ồ ừ
ở tử t st t số ợ tr
số ồ ừ ở tử t số ợ
t ừ ữủ ổ ố s t q ữủ
Pss s r rở
t số ợ ợ ữủ r t t q ữủ
r t
t số ợ rr ữ r ừ tỹ
t số ợ trữớ ủ ở ũ
ố ổ ỏ ọ ý ồ tỗ t r ỡ s ồ t t
t ú tổ ự t
rr
rở t số ợ
ỗ ữỡ
ữỡ tự
r ữỡ ú tổ ữ r
số trữ ừ ởt số ở tử ừ
t ở ở ổ ởt t số ợ ỗ
tớ ú tổ tr ởt số t tự ờ ử ử ự
ỵ tr ữỡ
ữỡ rở t số ợ rr
ở ừ ỗ tt t ú tổ
tr tt ỵ
t số ợ r
r ỵ tr t ú tổ tr ỵ
ỵ t q rở t số ợ r r
ữủ tỹ t trữớ ồ ữợ sỹ ữợ t
t ừ P t
tọ ớ ỡ s s t tợ P ữớ t
t t ữợ t tr sốt q tr ồ t t
ỷ ớ ỡ tợ P P ự
r ỏ P r ỗ tớ t t
ỡ ừ t ổ tr t
t ố ũ t ỡ trữớ P
ý ỗ t tr ợ ồ
st tố ồ ở t t ú ù t
tr sốt tớ ồ t t
ũ õ ố ữ ổ t tr ọ ỳ
t sõt rt ữủ ỳ ớ qỵ ừ
t ổ ồ
t
✹
❈❍×❒◆● ✶
❑■➌◆ ❚❍Ù❈ ❈❍❯❽◆ ❇➚
❚r♦♥❣ t♦➔♥ ❜ë ❧✉➟♥ ✈➠♥ t❛ ❧✉æ♥ ❣✐↔ sû ( Ω, F, P ) ❧➔ ❦❤æ♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①→❝ s✉➜t
❝è ✤à♥❤✳
✶✳✶ ❑❤→✐ ♥✐➺♠ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥
✶✳✶✳✶ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ●✐↔ sû G ❧➔ σ ✲ ✤↕✐ sè ❝♦♥ ❝õ❛ σ✲ ✤↕✐ sè F ✳ ❑❤✐ ✤â →♥❤
①↕ X : Ω → R ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ G ✲ ✤♦ ✤÷ñ❝ ♥➳✉ ♥â ❧➔ →♥❤ ①↕
G/B(R) ✤♦ ✤÷ñ❝ ✭tù❝ ❧➔ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ B ∈ B(R)) t❤➻ X −1 (B) ∈ G ✮✳
◆➳✉ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ X ❝❤➾ ♥❤➟♥ ❤ú✉ ❤↕♥ ❣✐→ trà✱ t❤➻ ♥â ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥
♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ì♥ ❣✐↔♥✳
✶✳✶✳✷ ❱➼ ❞ö✳ ✳●✐↔ sû A ∈ F ✳ ✣➦t
IA (ω) =
1 ♥➳✉ ω ∈ A✱
0 ♥➳✉ ω ∈ A.
❑❤✐ ✤â IA ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ì♥ ❣✐↔♥✳
✶✳✷ ❈→❝ sè ✤➦❝ tr÷♥❣ ❝õ❛ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥
✶✳✷✳✶ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ●✐↔ sû X : (Ω, F, P) → (R, B(R)) ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥✳
❑❤✐ ✤â t➼❝❤ ♣❤➙♥ ▲❡❜❡s❣✉❡ ❝õ❛ X t❤❡♦ ✤ë ✤♦ P ✭♥➳✉ tç♥ t↕✐✮ ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ❦➻
✈å♥❣ ❝õ❛ X ✈➔ ❦➼ ❤✐➺✉ ❧➔ EX ✳ ❱➟②
EX =
✳
XdP
Ω
t
EX =
xi pi X rớ r tr x1 , x2 , ... ợ P(X = xi ) = pi
i
+
xp(x)dx X tử õ t ở
ờ qt f : R R ữủ Y = f (X) t
i f (x)i pi X rớ r tr x1 , x2 , ... ợ P(X = xi ) = pi
EY = +
f (x)p(x)dx X tử õ t ở
sỷ X õ
số DX := E(X EX)2 tỗ t ữủ ồ ữỡ s ừ X
t ứ tr t t ừ ồ s r r
ữỡ s DX ừ X õ t tỗ t ổ tỗ t
tỗ t t õ t ữủ t t ổ tự
DX =
(xi EX)2 pi X rớ r ợ P(X = xi ) = pi
+
(x EX)2 p(x)dx X tử õ t ở
ởt số ở tử ừ
sỷ {Xn , n 1} ũ tr ổ
st (, F, P )
{Xn, n 1} ữủ ồ ở
tử t st X n ợ ồ > 0 t
õ
lim P (|Xn X| > ) = 0.
n
P
ỵ Xn X.
✻
✶✳✸✳✷ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ❉➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn, n ≥ 1} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ❤ë✐
tö ❤➛✉ ❝❤➢❝ ❝❤➢♥ ✤➳♥ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ X ✭❦❤✐ n → ∞✮ ♥➳✉
P
ω : lim Xn (ω) = X(ω)
n→∞
= 1.
h.c.c
❑þ ❤✐➺✉ Xn −→ X ❤♦➦❝ lim Xn = X h.c.c.
n→∞
✶✳✸✳✸ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ❚❛ ♥â✐ ❞➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn, n ≥} ❤ë✐ tö t❤❡♦
tr✉♥❣ ❜➻♥❤ ❝➜♣ p (p > 0) ✤➳♥ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ X ✭❦❤✐ n → ∞) ♥➳✉
lim E|Xn − X|p = 0.
n→∞
❑þ ❤✐➺✉
Lp
Xn −→ X (n → ∞)✳
✶✳✸✳✹ ✣à♥❤ ❧þ✳ ❉➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn, n ≥ 1} ❤ë✐ tö ❤➛✉ ❝❤➢❝
❝❤➢♥ ✤➳♥ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ X ❦❤✐ ✈➔ ❝❤➾ ❦❤✐ ✈î✐ ε > 0 ❜➜t ❦ý✱
lim P
n→∞
sup |Xk − X| > ε
= 0.
k≥n
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ❱î✐ ♠é✐ ε > 0 ✈➔ ♠é✐ n = 1, 2, ... ✤➦t
∞
Dn (ε) =
sup |Xm − X| > ε =
m≥n
n t➠♥❣✮ ✈➔ Ω \ Dn (ε) = Dn (ε) =
|Xm − X| > ε ✳ ❑❤✐ ✤â Dn (ε) ↓ ✭❦❤✐
m=n
∞
|Xm − X| ≤ ε .
m=n
❉♦ ✤â
ω∈
lim |Xn − X| = 0
n→∞
⇔ lim |Xn (ω) − X(ω)| = 0
n→∞
⇔ ∀ε > 0, ∃n : |Xm (ω) − X(ω)| ≤ ε, ∀m ≥ n
⇔ ∀k > 0, ∃n : |Xm (ω) − X(ω)| ≤ 1/k, ∀m ≥ n
⇔ ∀k > 0, ∃n : ω ∈ Dn (1/k)
∞
∞
⇔ω∈
Dn (1/k).
k=1 n=1
✼
❙✉② r❛
∞
∞
lim |Xn − X| = 0 =
n→∞
Dn (1/k).
k=1 n=1
◆➯♥
Xn → Xh.c.c
∞
∞
⇔P
Dn (1/k)) = 1
k=1 n=1
∞
Dn (1/k)) = 1 ∀k = 1, 2...
⇔P
n=1
∞
⇔P
Dn (1/k) = 0 ∀k = 1, 2...
n=1
⇔ lim P Dn (1/k) = 0 ∀k = 1, 2...
n→∞
⇔ lim P Dn (ε) = 0, (✈➻ Dn (ε) ↓).
n→∞
✣à♥❤ ❧þ ✤÷ñ❝ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
✶✳✹ ❚➼♥❤ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✱ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ✤æ✐ ♠ët✳
✶✳✹✳✶ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ●✐↔ sû X ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥✱ ❦❤✐ ✤â
F(X) = {X −1 (B) : B ∈ B(R)}
✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ σ ✲✤↕✐ sè s✐♥❤ ❜ð✐ X ✳
❍å ❤ú✉ ❤↕♥ {Fi , 1 ≤ i ≤ n} ❝→❝ σ ✲✤↕✐ sè ❝♦♥ ❝õ❛ F ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ♥➳✉
n
P
n
Ai
i=1
=
P (Ai ),
i=1
✤è✐ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ Ai ∈ Fi (1 ≤ i ≤ n) ❜➜t ❦ý✳ ❍å ✈æ ❤↕♥ {Fi , i ∈ I} ❝→❝ σ ✲✤↕✐ sè
❝♦♥ ❝õ❛ F ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ♥➳✉ ♠å✐ ❤å ❝♦♥ ❤ú✉ ❤↕♥ ❝õ❛ ♥â ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✳ ❍å
❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xi , i ∈ I} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ♥➳✉ ❝→❝ σ ✲✤↕✐ sè s✐♥❤
❜ð✐ ❝❤ó♥❣ {F(Xi ), i ∈ I} ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✳ ❍å ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ❝è {Ai , i ∈ I} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔
✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ♥➳✉ ❤å ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {IAi , i ∈ I} ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✳
✽
✶✳✹✳✷ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ❍å ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xi, i ∈ I} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ✤ë❝
❧➟♣ ✤æ✐ ♠ët ♥➳✉ Xi ✈➔ Xj ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ i = j, i, j ∈ I ✳
✶✳✺ ▼ët sè ❦❤→✐ ♥✐➺♠ ✈➲ ▲✉➟t sè ❧î♥
●✐↔ sû {Xn , n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❞➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ❝ò♥❣ ①→❝ ✤à♥❤ tr➯♥ ❦❤æ♥❣
❣✐❛♥ ①→❝ s✉➜t ( Ω, F, P )✳ ✣➦t Sn = X1 + X2 + · · · + Xn .
✶✳✺✳✶ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ❉➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn, n ≥ 1} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ t✉➙♥
t❤❡♦ ▲✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ♥➳✉
Sn − ESn P
−→ 0.
n
❉➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn , n ≥ 1} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ t✉➙♥ t❤❡♦ ▲✉➟t ②➳✉ sè
❧î♥ tê♥❣ q✉→t ♥➳✉ tç♥ t↕✐ ❤❛✐ ❞➣② sè an , n ≥ 1, bn , n ≥ 1, 0 < bn ↑ ∞ s❛♦
❝❤♦
Sn − an P
−→ 0.
bn
✶✳✺✳✷ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ❉➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn, n ≥ 1} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ t✉➙♥
t❤❡♦ ▲✉➟t ♠↕♥❤ sè ❧î♥ ♥➳✉
Sn − ESn h.c.c
−→ 0.
n
❉➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn , n ≥ 1} ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ t✉➙♥ t❤❡♦ ▲✉➟t ♠↕♥❤ sè
❧î♥ tê♥❣ q✉→t ♥➳✉ tç♥ t↕✐ ❤❛✐ ❞➣② sè (an ), (bn ), 0 < bn ↑ ∞ s❛♦ ❝❤♦
Sn − an h.c.c
−→ 0.
bn
✶✳✻ ▼ët sè ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ❝ì ❜↔♥✳
✶✳✻✳✶ ❇ê ✤➲ ✭❇➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ▼❛r❦♦✈✮✳ ●✐↔ sû ❳ ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥
❦❤æ♥❣ ➙♠✳ ❑❤✐ ✤â ♥➳✉ tç♥ t↕✐ EX t❤➻ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ ε > 0, t❛ ❝â
P(X ≥ ε) ≤
EX
.
ε
✾
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ❚❛ ❝â
Ω
XdP
XdP +
XdP =
EX =
(X≥ε)
(0≤X<ε)
dP = εP(X ≥ ε).
≥ε
(X≥ε)
❙✉② r❛
P(X ≥ ε) ≤
EX
.
ε
✶✳✻✳✷ ❇ê ✤➲ ✭❇➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ❈❤❡❜②s❤❡✈✮✳ ●✐↔ sû X ❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉
♥❤✐➯♥ ❜➜t ❦ý✳ ❑❤✐ ✤â ♥➳✉ tç♥ t↕✐ DX t❤➻ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ ε > 0✱ t❛ ❝â
P(|X − EX| ≥ ε) ≤
DX
.
ε2
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ⑩♣ ❞ö♥❣ ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ▼❛r❦♦✈ ❝❤♦ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥
Y = |X − EX|2 ≥ 0
t❛ ✤÷ñ❝
P(|X − EX| ≥ ε) = P(Y ≥ ε2 ) ≤
EY
DX
= 2 .
2
ε
ε
✶✳✻✳✸ ❇ê ✤➲ ✭❇➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✮✳ ●✐↔ sû X1, X2, ..., Xn ❧➔
❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✱ EXi = 0, DXi = σi2 (∀i = 1, 2, ..., n). ✣➦t
k
Sk = X1 + X2 + · · · + Xk =
Xi
i=1
❑❤✐ ✤â ✈î✐ ♠å✐ ε > 0, t❛ ❝â
✭✐✮ P( max |Sk | ≥ ε) ≤
1≤k≤n
1
ε2
n
i=1
σi2 .
(1 ≤ k ≤ n).
✶✵
✭✐✐✮ ◆➳✉ P( max |Xk | ≤ c) = 1 t❤➻
1≤k≤n
P( max |Sk | ≥ ε) ≥ 1 −
(ε + c)2
1≤k≤n
n
.
σi2
i=1
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ✭✐✮✳ ✣➦t
A1 = (|S1 | ≥ ε)
A2 = (|S1 | < ε; |S2 | ≥ ε)
...
Ak = ( max |Si | < ε; |Sk | ≥ ε)
1≤i≤k−1
...
An = ( max |Si | < ε; |Sn | ≥ ε)
1≤i≤n−1
A = ( max |Sk | ≥ ε).
1≤k≤n
❱➟② t❤➻
n
A=
AiAj = ∅ (i = j).
Ak ;
k=1
❚❛ ❝â
n
σi2 = DSn = ESn2
i=1
n
≥
ESn2 IA
n
ESn2 IAk
=
k=1
n
k=1
n
ESk2 IAk
=
n
2
E(Sn − Sk ) IAk + 2
+
k=1
n
k=1
n
ESk2 IAk +
=
k=1
n
k=1
ESk (Sn − Sk )IAk
k=1
n
E(Sn − Sk )2 IAk ≥
k=1
ESk2 IAk
k=1
n
ε2 EIAk = ε2
≥
E[Sk + (Sn − Sk )]2 IAk
=
P(Ak ) = ε2 P(A).
k=1
✶✶
✣â ❧➔ ✤✐➲✉ ♣❤↔✐ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
✭✐✐✮✳ ❚❛ ❝â
ESn2 IA = ESn2 − ESn2 IA ≥ ESn2 − ε2 P(A)
= ESn2 − ε2 + ε2 P(A).
✭✶✳✶✮
❚r➯♥ Ak ✱ t❛ ❝â |Sk−1 | ≤ ε, |Sk | ≤ |Sk−1 | + |Xk | ≤ ε + c ♥➯♥
n
ESn2 IA
n
ESn2 IAk
=
n
ESk2 IAk
=
k=1
k=1
k=1
n
n
≤ (c + ε)2
E(Sn − Sk )2 IAk
+
P(Ak ) + D(Sn )
k=1
(Ak )
k=1
2
✭✶✳✷✮
≤ P(A)[(c + ε) + D(Sn )].
❚ø ✭✶✳✶✮ ✈➔ ✭✶✳✷✮ s✉② r❛
D(Sn ) − ε2
P(A) ≥
(c + ε)2 + D(Sn ) − ε2
(c + ε)2
(c + ε)2
=1−
≥1−
.
(c + ε)2 + D(Sn ) − ε2
D(Sn )
✶✳✻✳✹ ❍➺ q✉↔✳ ●✐↔ sû {Xn, n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❞➣② ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣✱
EXn = 0 (∀n = 1, 2, ...). ❑❤✐ ✤â ✈î✐ ♠å✐ ε > 0✱ t❛ ❝â
✭✐✮
✭✐✐✮
P( max |Sm − Sn | > ε) ≤
n≤m≤k
P( sup |Sm − Sn | > ε) ≤
m≥n
1
ε2
1
ε2
k
DXm ✳
m=n+1
∞
DXm .
m=n+1
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ✣➦t Y1 = 0, ..., Yn = 0, Yn+1 = 0, Yn+1 = Xn+1 , ..., Yk = Xk .
❑❤✐ ✤â✱ Y1 , ..., Yk t❤ä❛ ♠➣♥ ❣✐↔ t❤✐➳t ❝õ❛ ✤à♥❤ ❧➼ ✈➔
Y1 + · · · + Yn + Yn+1 + · · · + Ym = Xn+1 + · · · + Xm = Sm − Sn ;
k
k
DYm =
m=1
DXm .
m=n+1
✶✷
❚ø ✤â s✉② r❛ ✭✐✮✳ ✣➸ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ✭✐✐✮✱ t❛ ✤➦t
Bk = ( max |Sm − Sn | > ε).
n≤m≤k
❑❤✐ ✤â (Bk , k > n) ❧➔ ❞➣② t➠♥❣ ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ❝è ✈➔
∞
Bk = ( sup |Sm − Sn | > ε).
k=n+1
m≥n
❉♦ ✤â
∞
P( sup |Sm − Sn | > ε) = P(
m≥n
Bk )
k=n+1
= lim P(Bk )
k→∞
1
≤ 2 lim
ε k→∞
1
= 2
ε
k
DXm
m=n+1
∞
DXm .
m=n+1
✶✸
❈❍×❒◆● ✷
▼Ð ❘❐◆● ▲❯❾❚ ❨➌❯ ❙➮ ▲❰◆ ❑❖▲▼❖●❖❘❖❱✲ ❋❊▲▲❊❘✳
✷✳✶ ▲✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✲ ❋❡❧❧❡r✳
✷✳✶✳✶ ✣è✐ ①ù♥❣ ❤â❛✳ ◆➳✉ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ X ❝â ❤➔♠ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ F ❝❤ó♥❣
tæ✐ ❦➼ ❤✐➺✉ ❤➔♠ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ ❝õ❛ −X ❧➔ −F ✳ ❚↕✐ ❝→❝ ✤✐➸♠ ❧✐➯♥ tö❝ ❝õ❛ F ❝❤ó♥❣
t❛ ❝â
−F (x) = 1 − F (−x)
✈➔ ✤à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛ ❤➔♠ −F ♥❤÷ t❤➳ ❧➔ ❞✉② ♥❤➜t✳ ❍➔♠ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ F ✤÷ñ❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔
✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ ♥➳✉ −F = F ✭ ❑❤✐ ❤➔♠ ♠➟t ✤ë f tç♥ t↕✐ t❛ ❝ô♥❣ ❝â f (−x) = f (x)✮✳
●✐↔ sû X1 ✈➔ X2 ❧➔ ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣ ❝â ❤➔♠ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ F ✳
❑❤✐ ✤â X1 − X2 ❝â ❤➔♠ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ F 0 ❝❤♦ ❜ð✐
F 0 = F ∗ −F.
❙û ❞ö♥❣ t➼♥❤ ❝❤➜t ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ t❛ ❝â F 0 (x) = 1 − F 0 (−x) ❞➵ t❤➜②
+∞
F 0 (x) =
F (x + y)F (dy).
−∞
❈❤ó♥❣ t❛ ♥â✐ r➡♥❣ F 0 ♥❤➟♥ ✤÷ñ❝ ❜➡♥❣ ❝→❝❤ ❧➔♠ ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ F ✳
✷✳✶✳✷ ❇ê ✤➲ ✭❇➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣✮✳ ●✐↔ sû X1 ✈➔ X2 ❧➔ ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥
♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐✱ ✈î✐ t > 0, t❛ ❝â
1
P(|X1 − X2 | > t) ≤ 2P(|X1 | > t)
2
✭✷✳✶✮
◆➳✉ ❝❤å♥ a ≥ 0 s❛♦ ❝❤♦ P(Xi ≤ a) ≥ p ✈➔ P(Xi ≥ −a) ≥ p✱ t❤➻
P(|X1 − X2 | > t) ≥ pP(|X1 | > t + a).
✭✷✳✷✮
t 0 ởt ừ Xi t
1
P(|X1 X2 | > t) P(|X1 | > t)
2
ự ố tr ừ ổ t r trứ |X1 | > 12 t
|X2 | > 21 t õ ú ố tr ổ t
r X1 > t + a, X2 a, ụ ữ X1 < t a X2 a
t õ
ờ X1, X2, ..., Xn ở õ ố ố ự t
Sn = X1 + X2 + ã ã ã + Xn õ ố ố ự
1
P(|X1 + X2 + ã ã ã + Xn | > t) P(max |Xi | > t).
2
Xi õ ố F t
1
P(|X1 + X2 + ã ã ã + Xn | t) (1 en[1F (t)+F (t)] ).
2
ự sỷ M t
tr X1 , ..., Xn õ tr tt ố ợ t t
T = Sn M (M, T ) ố ố ự tờ ủ tr ố
(M, T ) ụ õ ũ ố ó r
P(M > t) P(M > t, T 0) + P(M > t, T 0).
tự t st ụ ữ
1
P(S > t) = P(M + T > t) P(M > t, T 0) P(M > t)
2
tữỡ tỹ
ự tọ ữ ỵ t F tử
P(max |Xi | t) = (F (t) F (t))n en[1F (t)+F (t)]
1 x < ex 0 < x < 1.
ờ sỷ X1, X2, ..., Xn ở t
Sn = X1 + X2 + ã ã ã + Xn ,
Yk,n = Xk I{|Xk | n}, k = 1, 2, ..., n
✶✺
Sn = Y1,n +Y2,n +· · ·+Yn,n ,
n ≥ 1,
k = 1, 2, ..., n,
mn = E(Sn ) = nE(Y1,n ).
❑❤✐ ✤â t❛ ❝â
P(|Sn − mn | > t) ≤ P(|Sn − mn | > t) + P(Sn = Sn )
1
1
2
P
Sn − E(Y1,n ) > x ≤
E(Y1,n
) + nP(|X1 | > n)
n
nx2
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ✶✮❚❛ ❝â
(|Sn − mn | > t) ⊂ (|Sn − mn | > t) ∪ (Sn = Sn )
❉♦ ✤â
P(|Sn − mn | > t) ≤ P (|Sn − mn | > t) ∪ (Sn = Sn )
≤ P(|Sn − mn | > t) + P(Sn = Sn ).
❱➟② t❛ ❝â ✭✷✳✾✮✳
✷✮✣➦t t = nx →♣ ❞ö♥❣ ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ▼❛r❦♦✈ t❛ ❝â
1
E|Sn − mn |2
2
2
n x
n
1
= 2 2E
(Yk,n − EYk,n )
n x
P(|Sn − mn | > nx) ≤
k=1
=
1
n2 x2
n
E(Yk,n − EYk,n )2
k=1
1
E(Y1,n − EY1 , n)2
2
nx
1
≤
E(Y1,n )2 .
2
nx
=
▼➦t ❦❤→❝
n
(
n
Yk,n ) ⊂
Xk =
k=1
n
k=1
(Xk = Yk,n )
k=1
2
✭✷✳✾✮
✭✷✳✶✵✮
✶✻
❉♦ ✤â
n
P(Sn = Sn ) = P(
n
Xk =
k=1
Yk,n )
k=1
n
≤
P(Xk = Yk,n )
i=1
n
P(|Xk | > n)
=
k=1
= nP(|X1 | > n).
❑➳t ❤ñ♣ ✭✷✳✾✮ t❛ ❝â ✭✷✳✶✵✮✳
✷✳✶✳✺ ✣à♥❤ ❧þ ✭▲✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈ ✲ ❋❡❧❧❡r✮✳ ●✐↔ sû
{Xn , n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❞➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐
✣➦t Sn = X1 + X2 + · · · + Xn ,
Yk,n = Xk I{|Xk | ≤ n},
k = 1, 2, ..., n.
µ = EXk I(|Xk | ≤ n) = EYk,n ,
❑❤✐ ✤â ✈î✐ ♠å✐ ε > 0, t❛ ❝â
Sn
− µ > ε → 0 ❦❤✐
n
P
n → ∞.
❦❤✐ ✈➔ ❝❤➾ ❦❤✐
tP(|Xk | > t) → 0 ❦❤✐
t → ∞.
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ✣✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✤õ✿ ❙û ❞ö♥❣ ✭✷✳✶✵✮ t❛ ❝â
P
Sn
1
− µ > ε ≤ 2 E(Y1,n )2 + nP(|X1 | > n)
n
nε
▼➔
n
1
1
E(Y1,n )2 =
n
n
x2 dF (x)
−n
n
=
2
n
x2 dF (x)
0
✶✼
n
2
=
− n2 (1 − F (n)) + 2
n
x(1 − F (x)dx
0
n
= 2(−nP(X > n)) +
4
n
xP(X > x)dx.
0
❚❛ ❝â
tP(|X| > t) ≥ t(P(X > t)) ≥ 0
s✉② r❛
t(P(X > t)) → 0 khi t → ∞
❉♦ ✤â
1
2
n E(Y1,n )
→ 0 ✳ ❱➟② P
Sn
n
− µ > ε → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
✣✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ❝➛♥✿ ◆❤÷ ❝❤ó♥❣ tæ✐ ✤➣ ❣✐î✐ t❤✐➺✉ ð ♠ö❝ ✷✳✶✳✶ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ Xk0
t❤✉ ✤÷ñ❝ trü❝ t✐➳♣ ❜ð✐ ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ ❤â❛ tø Xk ✳ ❚ê♥❣ ❝õ❛ ❝❤ó♥❣ Sn0 ❝â t❤➸ ♥❤➟♥
✤÷ñ❝ ❜ð✐ ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ ❤â❛ tø Sn − nµ. ●✐↔ sû a ❧➔ ♠ët ♠❡❞✐❛♥ ❝õ❛ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉
♥❤✐➯♥ Xk . ❙û ❞ö♥❣ ❝→❝ ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ✭✷✳✶✮✱ ✭✷✳✷✮ ✈➔ ✭✷✳✺✮ ❝❤ó♥❣ t❛ ❝â
2P(|Sn − nµ| > nε) ≥ P(|Sn0 | > 2nµ)
0
1
≥ [1 − e(−nP(|X1 |>2nε)) ]
2
1
1
≥ [1 − e− 2 nP(|X1 |>2nε+|a|) ].
2
❚ø ❣✐↔ t❤✐➳t ❝õ❛ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ❝➛♥
P
◆➯♥ t❛ ❝â
Sn
− µ > ε → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞
n
1
− nP(|X1 | > 2nε + |a|) → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞
2
❤❛②
tP(|Xk | > t) → 0 ❦❤✐ t → ∞.
✣à♥❤ ❧➼ ✤÷ñ❝ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
ỵ sỷ {Xn, n 1} ở
ũ ố {bn , n 1} số tỹ ữỡ t + ợ
k = 1, 2, .., n, n 1 t
Sn = X1 + X2 + ã ã ã + Xn , Yk,n = Xk I{|Xk | bn },
n
n
Yk,n ,
Sn =
àn =
k=1
EYk,n .
k=n
n
P(|Xk | > bn ) 0 n ,
k=1
1
b2n
t
n
t
n ,
k=1
Sn àn p
0
bn
r
D(Yk,n ) 0
àn
0
bn
n
n ,
Sn p
0
bn
n .
ự õ
1
P
bn
n
n
(Yk,n EYk,n ) > = P
k=1
(Yk,n EYk,n ) > bn
k=1
n
n
Yk,n E(
=P
k=1
=
1
D(
b2n 2
1
b2n 2
Yk,n ) > bn
k=1
n
Yk,n ) t tự s
k=1
n
DYk,n 0 n
k=1
✶✾
❙✉② r❛
Sn − µn p
−→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞
bn
❇➙② ❣✐í t❛ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤
Sn − µn p
−→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
bn
❚❤➟t ✈➟②✱ t❛ ❝â
P(
S − µn
Sn − µn
= n
) = P(Sn = Sn )
bn
bn
n
n
Xk =
= P(
k=1
n
≤ P(
Yk,n )
k=1
(Xk = Yk,n ))
k=1
n
≤
P(Xk = Yk,n )
k=1
n
P(|Xk | > bn ) → 0 khi n → ∞(❉♦ ✭✷✳✶✶✮)
≤
k=1
❙✉② r❛
Sn − µn
S − µn
= n
)=0
n→∞
bn
bn
Sn − µn p
Sn − µn p
▼➔
−→ 0 ♥➯♥
−→ 0
bn
bn
lim P(
✭⑩♣ ❞ö♥❣ ❦➳t q✉↔
lim P(Xn = Yn ) = 0
n→0
t❤➻
p
p
Xn −→ 0 ⇔ Yn −→ 0✮
◆❣♦➔✐ r❛✱ ♥➳✉
µn
→ 0 tø
bn
Sn − µn p
−→ 0 s✉② r❛
bn
Sn p
−→ 0.
bn
✣à♥❤ ❧➼ ✤÷ñ❝ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
✷✳✶✳✼ ❱➼ ❞ö✳ ●✐↔ sû {Xn, n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❞➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣
❝â ❤➔♠ ♠➟t ✤ë
f (x) =
c
x2 ln|x|
♥➳✉ |x| > 2✱
0
♥➳✉ |x| ≤ 2✳
✷✵
tr♦♥❣ ✤â c ❧➔ ♠ët ❤➡♥❣ sè✳
❚❛ ❝â
+∞
EX1 =
xf (x)dx =
−∞
|x|>2
lim 2c(ln(lnx))
n→+∞
n
2
c
dx
xln|x|
+∞
= 2c
2
dx
xlnx
n
=
lim 2c
n→+∞
2
dx
xlnx
=
= ∞✳ ◆❤÷ ✈➟② ❦➻ ✈å♥❣ ❦❤æ♥❣ tç♥ t↕✐✱ ❜➙② ❣✐í t❛ ❦✐➸♠
tr❛ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✤õ ❝õ❛ ✤à♥❤ ❧➼ ✷✳✶✳✺
nP(|X1 | > n) = n[P(X1 > n) + P(X1 < −n)]
−n
= n[1 − P(X1 ≤ n) +
−∞
−n
n
= n[1 −
f (x)dx +
−∞
+∞
= n[
f (x)dx]
f (x)dx]
−∞
−n
f (x)dx +
f (x)dx]
−∞
n
+∞
f (x)dx (❉♦ f (x) ❧➔ ❤➔♠ ❝❤➤♥)
= 2n
n
+∞
1
dx (❉♦ x ≥ n ♥➯♥ lnx ≥ lnn)
x2
2c
n
≤
lnn
n
2c
→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
lnn
❱➟② ❞➣② ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ {Xn , n ≥ 1} t✉➙♥ t❤❡♦ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥
=
❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✲❋❡❧❧❡r✳
✷✳✶✳✽ ❱➼ ❞ö✳ ●✐↔ sû {Xn, n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣ ❝â
❤➔♠ ♠➟t ✤ë
f (x) =
1
2x2
0
♥➳✉ |x| > 1✱
♥➳✉ |x| ≤ 1✳
❚❛ ❝â
+∞
EX1 =
−1
xf (x) =
−∞
+∞
1
dx +
2x
−∞
1
dx
2x
1
✷✶
+∞
1
1
dx +
2x
=
+∞
+∞
1
dx
2x
1
+∞
1
dx −
2x
=
1
1
dx.
2x
1
❚➼❝❤ ♣❤➙♥ tr➯♥ ❧➔ ❦❤æ♥❣ tç♥ t↕✐✱ ✈➻ ❝❤å♥ ❞➣② xn = ean ✈➔
yn = ean +1
(an → +∞)✳
❚❛ ❝â
an
an +1
1
dx −
2x
lim (
n→+∞
1
✈➔
1
1
dx) = −
2x
2
1
an +1
an
1
1
dx) =
2x
2
1
dx −
2x
lim (
n→+∞
1
1
◆❤÷ ✈➟② ❦➻ ✈å♥❣ ❦❤æ♥❣ tç♥ t↕✐✱ ✈➔ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✤õ ❝õ❛ ✤à♥❤ ❧➼ ✷✳✶✳✺✳
+∞
1
dx = 1
x2
nP(|X1 | > n) = n
n
❦❤æ♥❣ t❤ä❛ ♠➣♥✳ ❇➙② ❣✐í t❛ ❦✐➸♠ tr❛ ❝→❝ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✭✷✳✶✶✮ ✈➔ ✭✷✳✶✷✮ ❝õ❛ ✤à♥❤
❧➼ ✷✳✶✳✻
n
✐✮
P(|Xk | > bn ) = nP(|X1 |) > bn ) = nP(|X1 | > nlnn)(❞➣②bn = nlnn, n = 1, 2...)
k=1
+∞
1
−1
dx
=
n(
)
x2
x
=n
+∞
=
nlnn
1
→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
lnn
nlnn
1
✐✐✮ 2
bn
n
DYk,n
k=1
1
= 2
bn
≤
1
b2n
n
E(Yk,n − EYk,n )2 (❞➣② bn = nlnn, n = 1, 2...)
k=1
n
2
EYk,n
k=1
✷✷
1
= 2
bn
n
E(Xk2 I(|Xk | ≤ bn ))
k=1
n
1
E(X 2 I(|X1 | ≤ bn ))
2
bn
k=1
n
= 2 E(X 2 I(|X1 | ≤ bn )
bn
=
bn
=
n
b2n
=2
=
x2 f (x)dx
−bn
bn
n
b2n
n
b2n
x2
1
dx
2x2
0
bn
dx =
1
n
=
→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
bn
lnn
0
❚❤❡♦ ✤à♥❤ ❧➼ ✷✳✶✳✻ t❛ ❝â
Sn p
−→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
nlnn
◆â✐ ❝→❝❤ ❦❤→❝✱ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ ✈➝♥ ✤ó♥❣ ✈î✐ ❞➣② {bn = nlnn, n ≥ 1}✳ ◆❤÷ ✈➟② q✉❛
❝→❝ ✈➼ ❞ö tr➯♥ t❛ t❤➜② r➡♥❣✱ ♥➳✉ ❞➣② {Xn , n ≥ 1} ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣
❝ò♥❣ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ ❦❤æ♥❣ t❤ä❛ ♠➣♥ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ tP(|Xk | > t) → 0 ❦❤✐ t → ∞
t❤➻ ❝â t❤➸ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ✈➝♥ ✤ó♥❣✳ ✣✐➲✉ ♥➔② ❣ñ✐ þ ❝❤ó♥❣ t❛ ✤✐ ✤➳♥ t❤✐➳t ❧➟♣
❝→❝ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ tê♥❣ q✉→t ❤ì♥ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈ ✲ ❋❡❧❧❡r✳
✷✳✷ ▼ð rë♥❣ ❧✉➟t ②➳✉ sè ❧î♥ ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈✲❋❡❧❧❡r
❚r♦♥❣ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ❝❤ó♥❣ tæ✐ ❝â sû ❞ö♥❣ ♠ët sè t➼♥❤ ❝❤➜t ❝õ❛ ❤➔♠ ❤➔♠
❜✐➳♥ ✤ê✐ ✤➲✉ ✈➔ ❝❤➟♠✱ ❝❤ó♥❣ tæ✐ ✤÷❛ r❛ ✤à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛ ❤➔♠ ♥➔② ✤➸ sû ❞ö♥❣ ❝❤♦
❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ✤à♥❤ ❧➼✳
✷✳✷✳✶ ✣à♥❤ ♥❣❤➽❛✳ ●✐↔ sû a > 0✳ ▼ët ❤➔♠ ❞÷ì♥❣✱ ✤♦ ✤÷ñ❝ u tr➯♥ [a, ∞) ❣å✐
❧➔ ❜✐➳♥ ✤ê✐ ✤➲✉ ✤➳♥ ✈æ ❝ò♥❣ ✈î✐ sè ♠ô ρ, −∞ < ρ < ∞, ❦➼ ❤✐➺✉ u ∈ RV(ρ),
✷✸
♥➳✉
u(tx)
→ xρ ❦❤✐ t → ∞ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ x > 0.
u(t)
◆➳✉ ρ = 0 t❤➻ u ✤÷ì❝ ❣å✐ ❧➔ ❤➔♠ ❜✐➳♥ ✤ê✐ ❝❤➟♠ ✤➳♥ ✈æ ❝ò♥❣✱ ❦➼ ❤✐➺✉ u ∈ SV.
❈❤➥♥❣ ❤↕♥ ❝→❝ ❤➔♠ s❛✉ ✤➙② ❧➔ ❝→❝ ❤➔♠ ❜✐➳♥ ✤ê✐ ✤➲✉ ✤➳♥ ✈æ ❝ò♥❣
xρ , xρ lnx, xρ lnlnx, xρ
✷✳✷✳✷ ❇ê ✤➲✳ ❈❤ó♥❣ t❛ ❝â ❝→❝ ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝
lnx
lnlnx
ex ≤ 1 + x + x2 ✈î✐ |x| ≤ 1,
−
1
x < ln(1 − x) < −x ✈î✐ 0 < x < δ < 1.
1−δ
✷✳✷✳✸ ❇ê ✤➲✳ ●✐↔ sû 0 ≤ an < δ < 1, n ≥ 1
✭✷✳✶✺✮
✭✷✳✶✻✮
t❛ ❝â
(1 − an )n → 1 ❦❤✐ n → ∞ ⇐⇒ nan → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞
✭✷✳✶✼✮
❍ì♥ ♥ú❛✱ δ ∈ (0; 1), nan < δ(1 − δ) < 1 ✈î✐ n ✤õ ❧î♥ t❤➻
(1 − δ)nan ≤ 1 − (1 − an )n ≤
nan
.
(1 − δ)
✭✷✳✶✽✮
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ✣✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✤õ ❧➔ ❤✐➸♥ ♥❤✐➯♥✳
✣✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ❝➛♥✱ ❣✐↔ sû (1 − an )n → 1 ❦❤✐ n → ∞✳ ❚ø ✭✷✳✶✻✮ ❝❤ó♥❣ t❛ ❝â ✱
❦❤✐ n → ∞,
n
nln(1−an )
1 ← (1 − an ) = e
≤ e−nan ,
−nan
≥ e (1−δ) ,
✤✐➲✉ ✤â ❝❤➾ r❛ r➡♥❣
(1 − an )n → 1 ❦❤✐ n → ∞ =⇒ nan → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
❈❤å♥ n ✤õ ❧î♥ s❛♦ ❝❤♦ nan < δ(1 − δ) < 1✱ sû ❞ö♥❣ ✭✷✳✶✺✮ t❛ ❝â
(1 − an )n ≤ e−nan ≤ 1 − nan + (nan )2 ≤ 1 − nan (1 − δ).
✈➔
−nan
(1 − an )n ≥ e (1−δ) ≥ 1 −
❞♦ ✤â t❛ ❝â ✭✷✳✶✽✮✳ ❇ê ✤➲ ✤÷ñ❝ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
nan
.
(1 − δ)
✷✹
✷✳✷✳✹ ❇ê ✤➲✳ ●✐↔ sû X1, X2, ..., Xn ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣
♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐ ✱ EXn = 0 ✱ ✈➔ ❤➡♥❣ sè A > 0✱ s❛♦ ❝❤♦ sup |Xn | ≤ A. ❑❤✐ ✤â✱
n
t❛ ❝â
n
DXk ≤ x2 +
(x + A)2 P( max |Sk | > x)
k=1
1≤k≤n
P( max |Sk | ≤ x)
.
1≤k≤n
◆➳✉ P( max |Sk | > x) < δ, δ ∈ (0, 1), t❤➻
1≤k≤n
n
DXk ≤ x2 + (x + A)2
k=1
δ
.
1−δ
✷✳✷✳✺ ✣à♥❤ ❧þ✳ ●✐↔ sû {Xn, n ≥ 1} ❞➣② ❧➔ ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣
❝ò♥❣ ♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐✳ ✣➦t Yn = max |Xk |❀ {bn , n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❞➣② sè t❤ü❝ ❞÷ì♥❣
1≤k≤n
t➠♥❣ ✤➳♥ +∞✱ ✈î✐ ♠å✐ ε > 0✱ t❛ ❝â
Yn p
−→ 0 ⇐⇒ nP(|X1 | > bn ε) → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞
bn
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ❱➻
P(Yn > bn ε) = 1 − (P(|X1 | ≤ bn ε))n = 1 − (1 − P(|X1 | > bn ε))n ,
⑩♣ ❞ö♥❣ ✭✷✳✶✽✮ ✈î✐ δ =
1
2
t❛ ❝â
1
nP(|X1 | > bn ε) ≤ P(Yn > bn ε) ≤ 2nP(|X1 | > bn ε),
2
❝❤♦ n → ∞ t❛ ❝â ✤✐➲✉ ♣❤↔✐ ❝❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
✷✳✷✳✻ ✣à♥❤ ❧þ✳ ●✐↔ sû {Xn, n ≥ 1} ❧➔ ❝→❝ ❜✐➳♥ ♥❣➝✉ ♥❤✐➯♥ ✤ë❝ ❧➟♣ ❝ò♥❣
♣❤➙♥ ♣❤è✐✱ Sn = X1 + X2 + · · · + Xn , n ≥ 1✱ ✈î✐ x > 0, b ∈ RV( ρ1 )✱ ✈î✐ ♠é✐
1
ρ ∈ (0, 1] ❣✐↔ sû b(x) = x ρ l(x)✱ tr♦♥❣ ✤â l ∈ SV ✳ ✣➦t bn = b(n), n ≥ 1✳
❑❤✐ ✤â
Sn − nEXI{|X1 | ≤ bn } p
−→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞
bn
❦❤✐ ✈➔ ❝❤➾ ❦❤✐
nP(|X1 | > bn ) → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
✭✷✳✶✾✮
✷✺
❈❤ù♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ✣✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✤õ✳ ❚❛ ❦✐➸♠ tr❛ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✭✷✳✶✶✮ ✈➔ ✭✷✳✶✷✮ ❝õ❛ ✤à♥❤
❧➼ ✷✳✶✳✻✳ ❉♦ ❣✐↔ t❤✐➳t ❝õ❛ ✤✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ✤õ t❛ ❝â ♥❣❛② ✭✷✳✶✶✮✱ ❜➙② ❣✐í t❛ ❦✐➸♠
tr❛ ✭✷✳✶✷✮
1
nEX12 I{|X1 | ≤ bn }
2
bn
n
= 2
bn
≤
=
n
b2n
n
b2n
n
EX12 I{bk−1 < |X1 | ≤ bk }
k=1
n
b2k P(bk−1 < |X1 | ≤ bk )
k=1
n
2
k ρ (l(k))2 P(bk−1 < |X1 | ≤ bk )
k=1
n
n
≤C 2
bn
=C
=C
≤C
n
b2n
n
b2n
n
b2n
k
2
j ( ρ )−1 (l(j))2 P(bk−1 < |X1 | ≤ bk )
j=1
k=1
n
2
j ( ρ )−1 (l(j))2
j=1
n
k=j
2
j ( ρ )−1 (l(j))2 P(bj−1 < |X1 | ≤ bn )
j=1
n
2
j ( ρ )−1 (l(j))2 P(|X1 | > bj−1 )
j=1
n−1
1
≤C
nP(bk−1 < |X1 | ≤ bk )
( ρ2 )−1
n
2
(l(n))2
j ( ρ )−2 (l(j))2 j P(|X1 | > bj ) → 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
j=0
n
2
j ( ρ )−2 (l(j))2 ∼
(❉♦
j=1
2
ρ
n( ) − 1(l(n))2 ❦❤✐ n → ∞).
2−ρ ρ
✣✐➲✉ ❦✐➺♥ ❝➛♥✳ ●✐↔ sû ❝â ✭✷✳✶✸✮✱ tø ❜➜t ✤➥♥❣ t❤ù❝ ✤è✐ ①ù♥❣ ❝❤ó♥❣ t❛ ❜✐➳t
r➡♥❣
Sns p
−→ 0 ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
bn
❱➻
s
s
|Xns | = |Sns − Sn−1
| ≤ |Sns | + |Sn−1
|,