Chapter 5: Life Cycle
Financial Planning
Objective
1
Financial decisions in an
uncertain world; Human
capital, permanent income
decisions over
life cycle
Objectives
– How much to save for retirement
– Whether to defer taxes or pay them now
– Whether to get a professional Degree
– Whether to buy or rent an apartment
2
Labor Income and Consumption
35000
30000
25000
Real $
20000
lab_inc
consump
15000
10000
5000
0
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
-5000
Age
3
70
75
80
Human Capital and Wealth
700000
600000
fund
HumanCap
Capital
500000
Real $
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
35
45
55
65
-100000
Age
4
75
The Inter-temporal Budget
Constraint
T
R
Ct
Yt
B
+
= W0 + ∑
∑
t
T
t
(1 + i )
t =1 (1 + i )
t =1 (1 + i )
i = real interest rate
R = number of years to retirement
T = number of years of remaining life
W0 = initial wealth
B = bequest
5
Solution by Real Conversion
We are almost done. All that remains is to assemble the
parts, and solve the resulting equation
PV = 391816.3459
− 8.208829897 * X
− 19876.29308
− 391816.3459 + 19876.29308
X=
= $45,309.75
− 8.208829897
6
Solution by Growing Annuity
• Equation
1+ g
Xa
1 −
PV =
a −1
( r − g )(1 + r ) 1 + r
7
b − a +1
Solution by Growing Annuity
j
a j bj
gj
Xaj
PVj
1 1
10 10% 35,000
?
2 1
13 3%
?
3 11 13 3%
X1
15,000*1.03
8
10
?
Algebra
1.15 10
1.03 13
35000
x
1 −
1 −
PV = 0 = +
−
1−1
1−1
( 0.1 − 0.15)(1.1) 1.1 ( 0.1 − 0.03)(1.1) 1.1
10
1.03 13−11+1
15000(1.03)
1 −
−
11−1
( 0.1 − 0.03)(1.1) 1.1
⇒
0 = 391816.3459 − 8.208829897 x − 19876.29308
⇒
x = 45309.75
9
Year
NetSalary Fees
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
StartExp
35000
40250
46288
53231
61215
70398
80957
93101
107066
123126
-20159
-20764
-21386
Expend
-45310
-46669
-48069
-49511
-50997
-52526
-54102
-55725
-57397
-59119
-60893
-62719
-64601
45309.75
10
Sum
-10310
-6419
-1782
3719
10219
17871
26855
37375
49669
64007
-81051
-83483
-85987
Account
-10310
-17760
-21317
-19730
-11484
5239
32618
73255
130249
207281
146957
78170
0
How Much Must I Save? The
Nominal Approach
n
n
X 0 (1 + g ) 1 + g
1+ g
PV =
1−
= P
⇒
( r − g ) 1 + r 1 + r
P( r − g )
20000( 0.12 − 0.03)
X0 =
=
n
1+ r
1.12 8
(1 + g ) 1.03
−
1
−
1
1.03
1 + g
X 0 = $1,830.79
11