Chapter 8
Stock Valuation
8-1
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter Outline
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•
•
•
•
8-2
Bond and Stock Differences
Common Stock Valuation
Features of Common Stock
Features of Preferred Stock
The Stock Markets
Chapter Outline
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•
•
•
•
8-3
Bond and Stock Differences
Common Stock Valuation
Features of Common Stock
Features of Preferred Stock
The Stock Markets
Bonds and Stocks: Similarities
•
Both provide long-term funding for the organization
•
Both are future funds that an investor must
consider
•
Both have future periodic payments
•
Both can be purchased in a marketplace at a price
“today”
8-4
Bonds and Stocks: Differences
•
From the firm’s perspective: a bond is a long-term debt
and stock is equity
•
From the firm’s perspective: a bond gets paid off at the
maturity date; stock continues indefinitely.
•
We will discuss the mix of bonds (debt) and stock
(equity) in a future chapter entitled capital structure
8-5
Bonds and Stocks: Differences
•
A bond has coupon payments and a lump-sum
payment; stock has dividend payments forever
•
Coupon payments are fixed; stock dividends
change or “grow” over time
8-6
A visual representation of a bond with a
coupon payment (C) and a maturity value
(M)
1
$C 1
2
$C 2
3
$C 3
4
5
$C 4
$C 5
$M
8-7
A visual representation of a share of
common stock with dividends (D)
forever
1
$D 1
8-8
2
$D 2
3
$D 3
4
5
$D 4
$D 5
∞
$D
∞
Comparison Valuations
Bond
0
1
2
P0
C
C
3
C
M
Common Stock
0
P0
8-9
1
2
3
D1
D2
D3
D
∞
Notice these differences:
•
•
•
The “C’s” are constant and equal
The bond ends (year 5 here)
There is a lump sum at the end
1
$C 1
2
$C 2
3
$C 3
4
5
$C 4
$C 5
$M
8-10
Notice these differences:
•
•
•
The dividends are different
The stock never ends
There is no lump sum
1
$D 1
8-11
2
$D 2
3
$D 3
4
5
$D 4
$D 5
∞
∞
$D
Chapter Outline
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•
•
•
•
8-12
Bond and Stock Differences
Common Stock Valuation
Features of Common Stock
Features of Preferred Stock
The Stock Markets
Our Task:
To value a share of
Common Stock
8-13
And how will we
accomplish our task?
8-14
8-15
B
Bring
A
All
E
Expected
F
Future
E
Earnings
I
Into
P
Present
V
Value
T
Terms
Just remember:
BAEFEIPVT
8-16
Cash Flows for Stockholders
If you buy a share of stock, you can
receive cash in two ways:
1. The company pays dividends
2. You sell your shares, either to
another investor in the
market or back to the
company
8-17
One-Period Example
Receiving one future dividend and one
future selling price of a share of
common stock
8-18
One-Period Example
Suppose you are thinking of purchasing the stock
of Moore Oil, Inc. You expect it to pay a $2
dividend in one year, and you believe that you can
sell the stock for $14 at that time.
If you require a return of 20% on investments of
this risk, what is the maximum you would be
willing to pay?
8-19
Visually this would look like:
1
R = 20%
D1 = $2
P1 = $14
8-20
Compute the Present Value
1
R = 20%
$1.67
$11.67
PV =$13.34
8-21
D1 = $2
P1 = $14
TI BA II Plus
1 year = N
-13.34
20% = Discount rate
$2 = Payment (PMT)
$14 = FV
1st
2nd
8-22
PV = ?
1 year = N
HP 12-C
20% = Discount rate
$2 = Payment (PMT)
PV = ?
$14 = FV
-13.34
8-23
Two Period Example
Now, what if you decide to hold the stock for two
years? In addition to the dividend in one year,
you expect a dividend of $2.10 in two years and
a stock price of $14.70 at the end of year. Now
how much would you be willing to pay?
8-24
Visually this would look like:
R = 20%
1
D1 = $2
2
D2 = $ 2.10
P2 = $14.70
8-25