Chapter 5:
Using Financial Statement
Information
Control and Prediction
Financial accounting numbers are useful
in two fundamental ways:
They help investors and creditors
influence and monitor the business
decisions of a company’s managers.
They help to predict a company’s
future earnings and cash flows.
Financial Accounting Numbers as Prediction Aids
Financial statements do not reflect the company’s
prospects within its business environment
Statements are backward looking, not focusing on the future
prospects.
Financial statements are inherently limited
Statements leave out some current and historical information
such as human resources and the effects of inflation.
Management prepares the financial statements in a
biased manner
Managers often choose accounting methods and estimates
that make them look good.
Framework for Financial Statement
Analysis
Book Value
Add adjustments for:
(1) business environment
(2) unrecorded events
(3) management bias
= True Value
Elements of Financial Statement Analysis
Five Issues:
1. Assessing the business environment.
2. Reading and studying the financial
statements and footnotes.
3. Assessing earnings quality.
4. Analyzing the financial statements.
5. Predicting future earnings and/or cash
flow.
Assessing the Business Environment
What is the nature of the company’s operations?
What strategy is being employed to generate
profits?
What is the company’s industry?
Who are the major players? Competition?
What are the relationships between the company
and its customers and suppliers?
How are the company’s sales and profits affected
by changes in the economy?
Reading and Studying the Financial
Statements and Notes
Read the audit report.
Identify significant transactions.
major acquisitions, discontinuance or
disposal of a business segment, unresolved
litigation, major write-downs of receivables or
inventories, tender offers, extraordinary gains
and losses, or changes in accounting
principles
Identify and analyze important segments.
Read the financial statements and footnotes.
Assessing Earnings Quality
Earnings quality may be affected by a
number of strategies managers use to
influence accounting numbers. Four major
strategies:
Overstating operating performance
Taking a bath
Creating hidden reserves
Employing off-balance-sheet financing
Assessing Earnings Quality
Overstating operating performance
through the acceleration of recognition of
revenue - shift the timing of revenue from a
future period to the current period, through
legitimate or questionable activities.
Assessing Earnings Quality
Taking a bath - large losses and expenses
this year may increase income in future years.
Rationale: if the current year is going to be
disappointing to investors anyway, increase
the loss to make next year look better. For
example:
Excessive write-downs of equipment will lead to
lower depreciation expense in future years.
Excessive write-downs of inventory will lead to
lower cost of goods sold next year.
Assessing Earnings Quality
Creating hidden reserves - expenses may be
shifted from one year to another year by
overestimating expense accrual.
Excessive bad debt expense or warranty expense
in the current year will lead to reduced estimates in
future years, as the “reserve” is used up.
Note that these “reserves” have nothing to do with
cash reserves; they simply reserve some of the
“income” to future periods.
Assessing Earnings Quality
•
Employing off-balance-sheet financing - this relates to certain
economic transactions that are not reflected in the balance sheet.
• Managers prefer to keep certain liabilities off the balance sheet when
GAAP permits it, primarily because of potential debt covenant violations,
and because of the effect on certain ratios.
• Examples include:
• Treatment of leases as operating leases (Radio Shack)
• Unconsolidated investments (Enron’s “partnerships”) which do not
separate assets from liabilities.
Analyzing the Financial Statements
Comparisons across time
Comparisons within the industry
Comparisons within the financial statements:
common-size statements and ratio analysis
Profitability ratios
Leverage ratios
Solvency ratios
Asset turnover ratios
Other ratios
Comparisons Across Time
Financial accounting numbers can be made
more meaningful if they are compared across
time.
GAAP require side-by-side comparison of the
current and the preceding years in published
financial reports.
Comparisons Within the Industry
Financial accounting numbers can also be made
more meaningful if they are compared to those of
similar companies.
Comparison of financial accounting numbers with
industry averages is also helpful.
Sources of industry information include:
Dun & Bradstreet
Robert Morris Associates
Moody
Standard & Poor
Comparisons Within the Financial
Statements
Common-size financial statements
Ratio analysis
Profitability ratios
Leverage ratios
Solvency ratios
Asset turnover ratios
Other ratios
Common-Size Income Statement for La-Z-Boy, Inc.
Figure 5-2
On the income statement, cost of goods sold, expenses, and
net income are often expressed as percentages of net sales.
On the balance sheet, assets and liabilities can be expressed
as percentages of total assets.
Profitability Ratios
These ratios are designed to measure a firm’s
earnings power.
Net income, the primary measure of the overall
success of a company, is compared to other
measures of financial activity or condition to assess
performance as a percent of some level of activity or
investment.
Profitability Ratios
Return on
Equity
=
Net Income
Average Shareholders’ Equity
This ratio measures the effectiveness at
managing capital provided by the shareholders.
Profitability Ratios
Return on = Net Income + Interest Expense (1-tax rate)
Assets
Average Total Assets
This ratio measures the effectiveness at managing
capital provided by all investors (stockholders and
creditors).
Profitability Ratios
Return on =
Sales
Net Income + Interest Expense (1-tax rate)
Net Sales
This ratio provides an indication of a company’s ability
to generate and market profitable products and control
its costs; also called the Profit Margin.
Leverage Ratios
Leverage refers to using borrowed funds to
generate returns for stockholders.
Leverage is desirable because it creates returns
for shareholders without using any of their
money.
Leverage increases risk by committing the
company to future cash obligations.
Leverage Ratios (cont’d)
Common
Equity
=
rate)
Leverage
Net Income
Net Income + Interest Expense (1-tax
This ratio compares the return available to the
shareholders to returns available to all capital providers.
Leverage Ratios (cont’d)
Capital
Structure
Leverage
Average Total Assets
= Average Stockholders’ Equity
This ratio measures the extent to which a company
relies on borrowings (liabilities).