A second course in statistics regression analysis 7th by mendenhall ch10
Bạn đang xem bản rút gọn của tài liệu. Xem và tải ngay bản đầy đủ của tài liệu tại đây (2.62 MB, 49 trang )
Chapter 10
Introduction
to Time Series
Modeling and
Forecasting
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
Section 10.1
What Is a Time
Series
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
Section 10.2
Time Series
Components
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
Figure 10.1 The components of a
time series
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10- 4
Section 10.3
Forecasting
Using
Smoothing
Techniques
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10- 6
Figure 10.2 MINITAB plot of
quarterly power loads
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10- 7
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10- 8
Figure 10.3 MINITAB plot of quarterly
power loads and 4-point moving average
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10- 9
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Figure 10.4 MINITAB printout of
exponentially smoothed quarterly power
loads
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Figure 10.5 MINITAB plot of
exponentially smoothed quarterly power
loads
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Section 10.4
Forecasting:
The
Regression
Approach
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Figure 10.6 SAS scatterplot of
sales data
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Figure 10.7 SAS printout for straight-line
model of yearly sales revenue
continued
on next slide
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education,
Inc.
10-
Figure 10.7 SAS printout for straight-line
model of yearly sales revenue (cont’d)
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Figure 10.8 SAS printout for
quarterly power load model
continued
on next slide
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education,
Inc.
10-
Figure 10.8 SAS printout for
quarterly power load model (cont’d)
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc.
10-
Section 10.5
Autocorrelation
and
Autoregressive
Error Models
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
