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A Schweser
CFA
@
Basics
Pre-Level
1
The Schweser Study Guide
to Getting Started
By
Dr.
Bruce Kuhlman
Associate Professor of Finance
University of Toledo
Edited by
Dr.
Greg
CFA
Filbeck,
Senior Vice President
Schweser Study Program
and
Dr.
Andrew Temte CFA
#
President and Chief Executive Officer
Schweser Study Program
Simon
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10020
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Manufactured
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Published simultaneously in Canada
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ISBN 0-7432-2472-8
NJ 08075.
Contents
Foreword
CFA®
v
Basics
Chapter
1:
Economics
Chapter
2:
Financial Statement Analysis
45
Chapter
3:
Quantitative Methods
89
3
Chapter 4: Corporate Finance
133
Chapter
5:
Capital Markets
185
Chapter
6:
Security Valuation
225
Chapter
7:
Portfolio
Theory
275
Appendixes
Appendix A:
Ethics
311
Appendix
Acronyms and Abbreviations
321
B:
Appendix C: Glossary
323
Appendix D: Index
343
Digitized by the Internet Archive
in
2013
/>
Foreword
CFA®. Each year, students and investment professionals from around the world invest considerable time
and energy in their quest to include those three letters behind their names. Those who are able to achieve
this goal show that they have acquired a well-rounded understanding of the tools of investment finance
and have made a pledge to the investing public to uphold the highest ethical conduct. If you are reading
book, chances are that you, too, are considering joining the thousands of students and
this
professionals
Who
who
are currently
working toward
their Charter.
Should Use this Book?
This book
is
for those
who
are interested in
not be prepared to enter the
CFA Program™
also enter the
is
becoming
CFA Program™
a bachelor's degree
from
a Chartered Financial
right away.
One
Analyst™ but
who might
of the requirements for entry into the
a four-year college or university (graduating seniors
program, but their graduation date must be no
later
than the
summer term
may
following
CFA® Level 1 examination). But what if you received your degree in chemistry
Or what if you have been out of school for 10 years and cannot recall much from
their first crack at the
or political science?
your undergraduate days? The purpose of this
economic, and financial background that
What
Is
is
text
is
to help
you gain
(or regain) the basic accounting,
necessary to begin your studies in the
the Structure of the CFA
CFA Program™.
Program™?
The CFA Program™ is a series of three examinations that are given once per year on the first Saturday
after Memorial Day (typically the first Saturday in June) by the Association for Investment
Management and Research® (AIMR®). Each exam is a six-hour experience (three hours in the morning
and three hours in the afternoon). In your first year of the program, you prepare for the CFA® Level 1
examination. If you pass the Level 1 exam, you are allowed to take the Level 2 exam the following year.
Pass the Level 2 exam, and you can take the Level 3 exam. However, if you fail an examination along
the way, you must wait until the next year to retake it. It takes a minimum of three years and a
maximum
of seven years to pass
by re-registering
•
all
three levels (although the seven-year deadline
may be extended
for the program).
Level 1-Investment Tools (100 percent multiple-choice):
tools of investment finance.
The
five
main
The
Level
1
curriculum focuses on the
topic areas that are covered are: ethical
and profes-
sional standards; quantitative methods; economics; financial accounting/corporate finance;
asset valuation (includes equity, debt, derivatives,
exam
management. The
relatively short and focuses on
Level
exam
is
an exercise
in
1
is all
and
alternative investments);
about breadth, not depth. As a
a particular concept
— almost
result,
to the point of
minutiae. There are 240 multiple-choice questions
and portfolio
each question
seeming
on the
-
like
Level
1
is
the
exam.
MA Schweser
Study Program-
Foreword
and Valuation (combination essay and multiple-choice): The purpose of the
and expand upon the tools that were introduced at Level 1 For
example, at Level 1, you learn about the basics of derivative securities in the asset valuation
section. The Level 2 derivatives curriculum is much more in depth, introducing additional
tools and instruments and applying those tools to investment analysis. The primary areas of
Level 2-Analysis
•
Level 2
exam
is
to apply
.
coverage are: ethics; quantitative methods; economics; financial accounting; asset valuation;
and portfolio management. Also, the questions focus on a deeper treatment of the material
and are much more difficult in comparison to the Level 1 exam.
and Portfolio Management (combination essay and multiple-choice): The
main focus of the Level 3 exam is portfolio management. Here, you will use the tools and
analysis from the previous two levels to develop investment policies and appropriate portfolios for both individual and institutional investors (pension funds, endowments, and life
insurance companies). Also, you will learn to protect existing investment positions from the
effects of market volatility through the use of debt and derivative instruments (hedging).
Level 3-Synthesis
•
on an annual basis, we urge you to visit
download informational pamphlets and learn more about the specifics of the CFA
Since the structure of the
www.aimr.org
to
exam
subject to change
is
Program™.
In addition to passing the three exams,
you must
also have accrued three years of relevant
rience prior to the award of your Charter (though
rience while
How Do
you
I
are taking the
CFA®
Register for the
Registration for the
CFA Program™
from AIMR®. After
registering,
you do not have
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exams).
CFA Program™?
which can be obtained
take the Level 1 exam. The eas-
involves completing an application form,
you will have three years in which to
iest way to contact AIMR® is by visiting their Website at www.aimr.org.
Charlottesville, Virginia, and Hong Kong, SAR.
What Can
If
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work expe-
any relevant work expe-
the CFA® Designation
Do
for
AIMR®
has offices in
Me?
are serious about a career as an investment analyst, portfolio manager, high- net
worth money
manager, credit analyst, or any of several other careers that deal primarily with the "investment deci-
sion-making process," the
CFA® designation
is
for you.
There are
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ees to attain the designation. Just look in the Wall Street Journal at the job listings that are posted.
Most
of the positions that you will see will ask for or require that the applicant hold the Charter. In addition,
AIMR®
periodically publishes a survey of
its
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regarding their income.
The
global
median
more about the median in the Quantitative Methods chapter of this book) of an
AIMR® member with more than 10 years of experience is well over $200,000. The bottom line is that
income
(you'll learn
your investment
VI
in the
JSchweser
„
Study Program-
CFA Program™
will
pay off
in the
long run.
Foreword
How
Can Schweser Study Program™ Help
Schweser
is
the premier provider of study tools for the
Study Notes, but we also provide
live
Me
CFA®
Achieve
examination.
my
Our
preferred learning method, Schweser can help you pass the
for
How
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our
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No
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matter what your
visit
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at
Book?
This study guide will help you understand the basics of the
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is
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I
core product
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Should
Goals?
CFA Program™. The
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critical
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content areas that are covered in
economics; financial statement analysis;
quantitative methods; corporate finance; capital markets; security valuation;
and portfolio
theory.
Depending on your educational background and work experience, you can start to build an understanding of the fundamentals by working through the book chapter by chapter, or you can target your
particular areas of weakness by going straight to the relevant chapters or sections. You can further target
your studying by using the glossary in the back of the book to learn or review important concepts.
The learning objectives outlined in each chapter and the practice questions and answers at the end
of every chapter will help to reinforce the concepts you are studying.
Make no
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marathon: training and pace are
From
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We
critical.
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Dedication and hard work are the hallmarks of CFA® exam
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Dr.
Andrew Temte, CFA
Chairman
President and Chief Executive Officer
Schweser Study Program
Schweser Study Program
Schwesei
Stud) Program"
VII
CFA® Basics:
Content Review
CHAPTER ONE
Economics
Merriam
economics as "the
social science concerned chiefly with the description and analysis of
production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services."
Economical, on the other hand, is defined as "operating with little
Webster's Collegiate Dictionary defines
waste or at a savings; a thrifty use of material resources."
1
and Public Choice, Gwartney, Stroup, and Sobel
2
is about how people choose." From the most
important to the most mundane, any decision is economic in nature.
Every choice is made in terms of the decision maker's utility, which
In Economics: Private
contend that "economics
we make, we
try to
which maximizes our
utility
can be thought of as satisfaction. In every choice
find that combination of cost
and
benefit,
Every choice
maximize
is
is
made
utility,
satisfaction derived
from the choice.
(satisfaction).
The economic implications of business
decisions are usually fairly
obvious. Their results often include increased revenues or reduced
costs.
But what about the small, seemingly insignificant decisions we
make every day? Consider the simple choice of crossing the
street in the
middle of the block or walking to the corner to use the crosswalk.
did
'
2
we make
Merriam
the decision?
It
How
to
which
"Economics
how
is
about
people choose."
probably had to do with the reason we
Webster's Collegiate Dictionary, 10E, 1998.
Gwartney, Stroup, and Sobel, Economics: Private and Public Choice, 9E (The Dryden Press,
2000).
A
Set weser
-'-
dy Program-
Chapter One
wanted
to cross the street, the distance to the nearest crosswalk,
quickly
we needed
Is
this decision
ity?
Most
to get to the other side,
economic
certainly! If
we
in nature?
how
and the amount of traffic.
Did we
maximize our utilwe might
our goal (making it to the
try to
cross in the middle of the block,
save valuable time (a benefit)
and
get to
more quickly. That's very satisfying! On the other hand, if
traffic is heavy, we might have to wait a long time to cross, we might
get stuck in the middle of the street, or we might even be hit by a car
and never make it to the other side. That's not very satisfying! Is the
other side)
potential cost of crossing in the middle of the block worth the potential
benefit?
There
is
much
corner, wait for the signal,
less risk if
we
take the time to walk to the
and use the crosswalk, but
it
takes longer to
get to the other side.
Every time
choice,
we
we make
a
balance the
potential costs with
potential benefits.
In
fact,
any decision we make can be
summed up
in very
much
the
same terms. The decision maker weighs the potential gains (benefits)
against the potential losses (costs) and makes the decision that maximizes utility. Once you have accepted the fact that each decision you
make is economic in nature, it is a fairly simple step to make the jump
to understanding the
importance of economics in business decision-
making. Referring to Webster's definition of economics, we see the
and
However,
clear orientation to the business world. All production, delivery,
consumption decisions are based upon
costs must always be considered.
Section
1
a perceived benefit.
of this chapter discusses the evolution of economic thought
from the era of Sir Francis Bacon to John Maynard Keynes, one of the
most widely studied and respected economists of modern times.
Section 2 provides examples and discusses some of the most widely
used economics terms.
In this chapter, your learning objectives are the following:
1.
To understand the origin and development of economics
as a
discipline.
|
I
v;
- >
,
Study Program"
2.
To understand the three most important forms of government:
capitalism, socialism, and communism.
3.
To master an
essential
economics vocabulary.
Economics
SECTION
1:
A HISTORICAL OVERVIEW OF
ECONOMICS
Although he most certainly did not think of it in those terms, earliest
man made economic decisions; the cost of a decision made little dif-
when
To walk many
miles to gather food versus taking it from some great beast was not
really a decision. If food was not otherwise readily available, he was
willing to walk whatever distance necessary. Risking his life to try to
take food from a lion or other man-eating beast would have been
insane if an alternative had been available. Thus, his decision was easy.
The pervasiveness of economics in our lives from the very earliest periference
the benefit
was
eating, or even survival.
od cannot be debated.
To
any
truly understand
exact time
decision
subject,
when scholars started to
making (and
body's guess, but
you must
study
take notice of the
started to call
many
first
it
its
origins.
economic nature of
economics, for that matter)
man
will
is
go to achieve
wealth. Let's investigate the writings of four well-known economists
have
made
significant contributions to the
Sir Francis
Sir Francis
entist,
cally
any-
on the
early philosopher/economists wrote
nature of business and the lengths to which
The
who
development of economics.
Bacon
Bacon (1561-1626) was an English
and philosopher. The writings of
politician, barrister, sci-
early philosophers
were typi-
based in religious doctrine, and Bacon was no exception. In 1597,
Bacon wrote The
Essays. In this collection of his opinions,
laced throughout with his religious
and philosophical
which
Most
were
early economists
in fact
philosophers.
is
Bacon
and the
beliefs,
good grasp of the mind of modern man
concept of economics. For instance, in the essay titled "Of Truth,"
Bacon states, " to think what should be in it, that men should love lies;
seems to have a
fairly
whether neither they make for pleasure, as with poets, nor for advantage, as
with the merchant; but for the
lie's
addressing the overall concept of truth versus
man would "embrace"
people
The
lie is
to gain
Bible passage,
world, and lose his
in
which wealth
lies.
to believe the reason business
an advantage. (Surely not
"What
own
is
He seems
is
a
man
Of course, Bacon is
lies, and questions why
sake."
profited,
if
a
unique opinion!)
he
shall gain the
whole
(Matthew 16:26) speaks about the fashion
accumulated. Although not always on religious
soul?"
A Schweser
^
^1 Study Program-
c
3
Chapter One
Sir Francis
Bacon was an
grounds, most philosophers embrace honesty and integrity, and these
early philosopher/
ideals flow
economist. His writings
as the
were based in religious
doctrine. He spoke
against waste and greed
(wealth for wealth's
nor
through their writings. In "Of Riches," Bacon writes, "For
baggage
left
is
to
an army, so
behind, but
it
is
riches to virtue.
It
cannot be spared
hindereth the march; yea and the care of
sometimes loseth or disturbeth the
victory." Is
it
he implying that virtue
hinders or even stops the "march" toward wealth?
Or
is
he implying
although virtue makes the march longer and harder, it should
accompany the march? His opinion of the accumulation and use of
wealth is quite clear. "Seek not proud riches, but such as thou mayest get
justly, use soberly, distribute cheerfully, and leave contentedly." He continues: "Therefore measure not thine advancements by quantity
and defer not charities till death ..."
that,
sake).
.
.
.
"Of Expense," Bacon writes, "Riches are for spending, and spending
for honor and good actions .... A man had need, if he be plentiful in
some kind of expense, to be as saving again in some other." In this passage, Bacon recognizes the concept of a limit to spending, or a budget,
as we would call it today. This belief was most certainly embraced by
In
our next philosopher/economist.
Adam
Adam
Smith was a
classical
economist.
They believe
Adam
Smith
Smith (1723-1790), a Scottish economist and philosopher,
is
regarded as the founder of economics as a separate discipline and
is
in strict
probably the most famous of
laissez-faire;
government should not
interfere with the
natural working of the
economy.
all
early economists.
He was
Professor of
Moral Philosophy at Edinburgh from 1748 to 1751 and published his
Theory of Moral Sentiments in 1759. In Theory, Smith, as most philosophers before and after him, dealt with the role of standards of ethical
conduct as the glue that holds society together. In 1776, he published
what would be his greatest work and one of the most influential works
of all time, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of
Nations. Wealth of Nations introduces us to the "invisible hand" and
the idea of a "free enterprise" system. In a free enterprise system, private business
is
free to operate
without governmental interference
(beyond regulation necessary to protect the public
interest).
Smith puts into words what many others of the time suspected but were
unable to articulate. Smith contends that in a free market, participants'
actions are controlled by competition. Competition
stood and accepted today, but
M
- v:
Study Program-
/I 'v.
I
!
'
it
is
widely under-
was quite an enlightening concept
at
Economics
that time.
Smith makes the point that participants in the market make
an "invisible hand" were guiding them. This
selfish decisions as if
invisible
hand, or market pressure,
ing activities
The end
will ultimately direct the self-seek-
of the individual to the betterment of society as a whole.
result
is
that only those
goods and services that society needs
Adam
hand
Smith's invisible
market pressure,
is
the unseen force that
affects individuals'
choices.
are provided.
With the
common goal of maximizing personal wealth, market
ipants (sellers
price.
attract
and buyers)
As long
as there
is
will strive to
no
new customers by
prices (collusion,
which
buy or
sell at
partic-
the best possible
price collusion, each seller will try to
offering a lower price than other sellers'
is
illegal,
occurs
when competitors
agree to maintain high prices or agree not to compete
on
secretly
price, so as to
keep prices high). Since manufacturers want to pay the lowest possible
price, they will naturally
When
buy from the supplier
offering the best prices.
the high-priced suppliers realize that they are losing business,
they will lower their prices in order to remain competitive.
However, there
sell.
is
a
minimum
price at
which
a supplier
is
willing to
This price depends upon the price that the supplier, as a customer,
same competitive
in this way until
prices reach a minimum, or equilibrium level. When they can no
longer compete using price, suppliers begin competing on the basis of
service and product quality. The process continues in both directions,
backward up the chain of suppliers, and forward through the chain of
must pay
for the product. His suppliers are in the
struggle with rival suppliers.
The process continues
customers. Theoretically, consumers are guaranteed the highest possible quality product at the best possible price.
The same argument can be applied to ensure society produces only
those products it needs and wants. Products that are in high demand
get the most attention from manufacturers, and the supply of these
products
will increase.
attention,
and
Products with relatively low
their supply
is
illustrate this concept,
quantities of
level
forces are perfectly
balanced.
receive less
reduced. In this way, the supply of
products will reach an equilibrium
To
demand
Equilibrium: opposing
all
with their respective demands.
assume your company manufactures equal
two products, forks and spoons.
Now
assume soup sud-
denly becomes very popular, and your customers rush to buy more
spoons. Although your customers
still
occasionally eat with forks, they
Sc iweser
Study Program-
Chapter One
When consumer
change, the
new
tastes
demand
for
products increases.
Producers and suppliers
will shift resources
to
supply those products.
don't have to
forks. Since
your customers are buying only
spoons, and your production mix of spoons and forks has not changed,
your inventory (supply) of forks increases. Thus, you reduce fork production and
spoons. You
much of your fork-making resources into producing
now produce more spoons, which are in higher demand,
shift
and fewer forks, which
demand. Society is happy, due to the
ready supply of reasonably priced spoons, and you spend less of your
scarce resources (labor, raw materials, and cash) on a product that no
one wants to buy. Of course, your competitors will shift production to
spoons, and all suppliers will compete on price, quality, and service.
This ensures consumers the best quality spoons at the best possible
price. If and when the demand for forks increases, you and your competitors will
Capitalism
buy new
are in lower
once again realign your production resources.
Smith's "invisible hand" (market pressure) makes sense to us today, as
is
probably did to readers in his day. As a result of the widespread
synonymous with free
it
enterprise.
respect
Smith
call
and acceptance
is
for his contribution to
economic thought,
considered the "father" of the free enterprise system, what
we
capitalism today. There are, however, economists with other ideas
of the ideal system.
Our
next economist
is
well
known, not only
for his
considerable intellect and understanding of capitalism, but also for his
willingness to display both.
Karl
Karl
Marx believed
Marx
in a
natural social decay to
Karl
Marx (1818-1883) was born
in Trier,
communism. Capitalism
of his time analyzing capitalism, and
is
Germany. Marx spent much
widely
known
as the chief
leads to class struggle,
antagonist of the capitalist economic system. His devotion to dialectic
which leads to
revolution and socialism.
Unequal distribution
materialism 3 led him to study the workings of the
within socialism leads to
society called
revolution and
League's Second Congress (London, November, 1847) that they drew
communism.
nomic system
as
it
relates to
the working man
Marx and his closest friend, Frederick Engels, joined a
the Communist League. It was at the request of the
spring of 1847,
up The Communist Manifesto, 4 which appeared
Manifesto outlines a
*
Dialectics
is
the
method of reasoning, which
is
tries to
Communist Manifesto
Capital, 1867, his study
,4 Schweser
JM Study Program-
and
February 1848. The
materialism.
understand things by form and substance,
the philosophy that asserts that the material world
foundation of thought. In this context, materialism does not
4 Although The
in
new world order based upon
rather than appearance. Materialism
8
capitalistic eco-
(the proletariat). In the
is
mean what
it
means
is
the
today.
probably the best-known work of Karl Marx, Das
is his most influential work.
analysis of capitalism,
—
Economics
Marx was
concerned with what he saw as the glaring flaw in
capitalism: the conflict inherent to a system that encourages social
chiefly
Rather than the
classes.
elite
being more important and controlling
Marx believed the working people themselves should hold this
position. He saw ownership and control of industry by individuals as
society,
causing an irreversible class struggle, which ultimately leads to revolution.
His thoughts are best summarized in his
And now
existence of classes in
modern
due
is
to
me
words:
for discovering the
society or the struggle between
development of this
omists, the
new was
credit
me bourgeois 5
them. Long before
historical
no
as to myself,
own
Under communism,
is no formal
government.
there
had described the
and bourgeois econWhat I did that was
historians
class struggle
economic anatomy of classes.
to prove:
(1) that the existence
of classes
bound up with
only
is
the partic-
phases in the development of production,
ular, historical
(2) that the class struggle necessarily leads to the dictatorship
of
the proletariat, and
(3) that this dictatorship itself
the abolition of
all
classes
As you can imagine, Marx was not
wherever he went. In
fact,
only constitutes the transition 6 to
and
typically
he spent a
country or another, where leaders
to a classless society. 7
felt
lot
his ideas
with both spoken and written words that
and
ire
welcomed with open arms
of time in exile from one
were dangerous.
Marx drew
It
was
the attention
—of governments:
From
the
moment
members of society,
all
or at least the vast
majority, have learned to administer the state themselves, have
taken this work into their
own
hands, have organized control
over the insignificant capitalist minority, over the gentry
who
and over the workers
who have been thoroughly corrupted by capitalism from
this moment the need for government of any kind begins to
disappear altogether. The more complete the democracy, the
nearer the moment when it becomes unnecessary. The more
wish to preserve their
capitalist habits
—
'
6
7
Bourgeois
refers to business
Transition
is
Letter to
owners,
capitalists. Collectively,
they are called the bourgeoisie.
Marx's mild word for change, not necessarily peacefully.
Weydemeyer, March
5,
1852.
Schweser
Study Program-
Chapter One
democratic the
which
more
'state'
which consists of the armed workers, and
'no longer a state in the proper sense of the word,' the
is
form of
rapidly every
state begins to
wither away. 8
John Maynard Keynes
In The General Theory of
Employment, Interest,
and Money, John
Maynard Keynes
changed the way we
look at macro-
economics.
Completely opposed to Marxist thought, John Maynard Keynes (pro-
nounced
(1883-1946)
"canes")
was
devoted
to
capitalism.
Philosopher, economist, and mathematician, Keynes was born in
Cambridgeshire, England.
It is
interesting to note that while Keynes
remains one of the most influential modern economists, his formal
education was in mathematics and
sertation at King's College
was
statistics.
In fact, his fellowship dis-
in probability theory. In the field of
economics, Keynes was largely self-educated.
Keynes taught economics
at
Cambridge during World War
I,
and
in
1915 went to work in the Treasury. Never a dedicated politician,
Keynes was always quick and blunt with
his
comments and
criticism.
At one point he called the comments of Lloyd George, then Chancellor
Unlike classical
of the Exchequer, 9 "rubbish." In 1919 he even attacked the leading
economists, Keynes
of the Versailles Peace Conference in The Economic
political figures
believed the
intervene during a
Consequences of the Peace, in which he strongly criticizes the peace
terms that punished the defeated Germany. He would probably
recession by increasing
respond to the
government needs to
its
expenditures.
you
of Adolph Hitler with an admonishing,
later rise
"I told
so!"
Keynes recognized the importance of government intervention during
the Great Depression of the 1930s. In 1936, he published The General
Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money in which he revolutionized
way economists think about macroeconomics. 10 He clearly laid out
the
how and why recessions happen and what must be done to
recover from
them. His very controversial strategy for recovery from a recession was
for
government
employment. In
to
run
this,
he
deficits
in order to
varies widely
stimulate
demand and
from classical economists, such as
Adam Smith, who advocate a strict "hands off" approach to government.
8 Karl Marx, The State
9
The Exchequer
is
and Revolution, September 1917.
the department of state in Great Britain charged with the receipt and care of
the national revenue.
'0
Microeconomics focuses on the
while macroeconomics focuses on
are discussed in Section Two.
10
Schweser
Study Program-
of human behavior on households or individual firms,
how human behavior affects entire, aggregate markets. Both
effects
1
Economics
Classical
quickly
economists argue that market wages and prices
enough during
a recession to bring
will decline
about economic recovery.
Classical economists favor a school of thought referred to as supply-side
economics. Supply-side economics holds that supply creates demand by
providing jobs and wages. The prices of goods for which there
supply will
and the
fall,
demand can
prices of
goods
in
demand
is
excess
will rise. Deficient
never be a problem, because the production of goods will
always generate (through employment) sufficient
the goods produced.
economy to
The markets
demand
to purchase
will always adjust quickly to direct
employment. It is argued that if unemployment is
temporarily high, wages will fall, which will reduce costs and prices.
Reduced prices will increase product demand, which will increase the
the
demand
full
for labor until the excess supply of labor
is
Keynes: The level of
employment in society
is
determined by the
aggregate spending of
consumers, investors,
government, and
foreigners.
eliminated.
Keynes, however, believed that wages and prices are "sticky," meaning
they will
resist
downward adjustment.
It is
the national government's spending that
employment
only through the help of
demand
is
stimulated and
increased.
Keynes's views can be
summarized with the following quote:
"Businesses will produce only the quantity of goods and services they
believe consumers, investors, governments,
When
and foreigners
will
buy
....
aggregate expenditures are deficient, there are no automatic
forces capable of assuring full
will persist." 11
employment. Prolonged unemployment
Keynes argues that the aggregate expenditures of these
four sectors (consumers, investors, governments, and foreigners)
determine the extent of employment, and that the government must
step
up expenditures during
a recession to
make up
for deficiencies in
the other three sectors. This concept, whether universally accepted or
not, should be recognized as at least partially responsible for recovery
from the Great Depression of the 1930s.
We've looked
at
pher/economists
right,
today.
four of the most respected and widely read philosoin history.
Whether they
are completely right, partly
or completely wrong, they remain very influential in economics
The
writings of these four individuals,
among many
others, led
people to think, discuss, and debate economics as a true and separate
discipline.
1
Gwartney, Stroup, and Sobel, Economics, 272.
hweser
Progranr
11
Chapter One
SECTION
TERMS
IMPORTANT CONCEPTS AND
ECONOMICS
2:
IN
In this section
we
economics terms,
more commonly used
without employing graphs and charts. A basic
will explore
understanding of these terms
the
CFA® exam, but
co-workers and
The
easiest
way
some of
will
will also
the
not only aid in your preparation for
prove invaluable for arguments with
relatives!
to impress
your associates
is
to share
your knowledge
of the three most important economic systems: capitalism, socialism,
and communism.
Capitalism
The writings of
Sir Francis
Bacon,
Adam
Smith, and John
Keynes focused on the concept of capitalism.
Capitalism
is
based upon
free enterprise.
(economy)
is
A
Maynard
capitalistic society
characterized by free enterprise: private ownership of
productive resources with prices determined by market forces (supply
and demand). Government has the limited role of developing and
enforcing a structure of laws. The laws define and enforce contracts,
protect private ownership rights, and protect individuals from fraud,
misrepresentation, and violence.
Capitalism
is
the
economic system
that the United States defends
promotes. The individual's opportunities for success within a
and
capitalist
system are limited only by his or her imagination and determination.
Socialism
What we now know
With socialism, the
government owns all
income-producing assets,
and allocation of wages
and goods is done
according to effort.
as Russia
and the former communist-bloc nations
were once collectively known as the Union of Soviet
In a socialist nation, the government owns all income-producing assets
and determines which products will be produced and in what quantities. Unlike capitalism, which calls for no or very limited intervention
by government, allocation of resources is done through a centralized
planning committee or agency rather than by market forces.
In the writings of Karl Marx, socialism
between capitalism and communism.
12
Socialist Republics.
It is
is
the intermediate step
characterized by the distri-
Economics
bution of goods and pay according to the amount of work done. Marx
says this leads to
unequal distribution and the continued evolution
toward a communist system.
Communism
The communist doctrine mandates, "From each according to his abilities,
to each according to his needs."
in
Marx's decline of capitalism.
Communism
It is
is
the final stage of society
characterized by having
no formal
government. As with socialism, a single authoritarian party controls
is
has no
Allocation
is
"from each
all
state-owned means of production, though the inequities of allocation
no private ownership of property, as all property
communally owned and available to each, according to need.
are removed. There
Communism
formal government.
is
according to
his abilities,
to each according to his
needs."
Supply
Supply and demand are probably two of the most commonly used
words in our economics vocabulary, so a discussion of each is quite
appropriate. Although the textbook definition for supply might
include such terms as aggregate production, marginal
revenue
12
,
let's
think of supply as the
cost,
amount of an item
or marginal
available for
The amount of an item available for purchase is based upon
factors such as the number of producers, the profit from producing the
item, the number of customers, the selling price, and the costs for
purchase.
Supply
a
good
is
the amount of
or service
available for purchase.
shipping the item around the country or globe. For the typical con-
mean much. What is important is
available when and where we want it and
sumer, these factors don't really
whether the item we want
at
the price
so
let's
we want
is
to pay.
Many
variables
must be considered
here,
take a look at an example.
you are a wholesaler and your company supplies two
products: gerbil bedding and gold necklaces. You purchase gold chain
directly from the manufacturer in 1,000-inch rolls at $2.00 per inch. It
costs you another $25.00 per necklace to cut the chain to length, add
clasps, and prepare it for shipping. The bedding material is actually
Assume
that
^
In economics, a good synonym for the word marginal is last. Marginal cost is the total cost to
produce the last item produced. Marginal revenue is the revenue received from selling the last
item. Since production costs may increase or decrease with the amount produced, the marginal
cost may be higher or lower than that for the second to the last item. A similar argument would
apply to marginal revenue.
Study Program*
13
Chapter One
wood chips and mulch left over from a lumberyard. It costs you $0.10
per pound and comes by truckload. (A pound of the bedding material
is
about two cubic
another $0.15 to
enough for the typical gerbil cage.) It costs you
put one pound in a labeled plastic bag and prepare it
feet,
for shipping.
Shipping presents an interesting problem for these vastly different
When
is
a finished product
cost intensive,
more
cost
than the product
is
itself.
a finished product
value intensive,
handling, packaging,
and shipping are
portion of
its
size (vol-
a small
final value.
light
makes gold necklaces very value-intensive products, meanThe bedding, on the other hand,
is very cost intensive. It is very light and inexpensive, but must be
shipped in much larger containers. The result is that 100 necklaces can
be shipped for about the same cost as 20 bags of bedding. (Let's
assume the shipping cost for each is $10.00.) So where is this discussion going? Let's take a look at the total cost to prepare and ship one
necklace versus one bag of bedding.
item. This
ing they are valuable, light, and small.
The gold
When
upon weight and
ume), a small, heavy item costs no more than a large (bulky),
handling, packaging,
and shipping
products. Since shipping costs are based
for a 20-inch necklace costs $40.00,
and the
clasps
and pack-
aging cost another $25.00, resulting in a total of $65.00 to assemble
and prepare one necklace for shipping. Since jewelers place orders for
100 necklaces at a time, and 100 necklaces can be shipped for $10.00,
shipping adds only an additional $0.10 to the cost of each necklace,
bringing the total costs to assemble and ship one necklace to $65. 10. In
turn, we assume that we can sell the necklace to a jeweler for $100.00.
Next,
let's
look
at the
bedding. The costs for the material and packaging
one bag of bedding is $0.25. Since it costs $10.00 to ship 20 bags,
one bag is $0.50. This brings the total to $0.75 per bag.
Let's assume that you can sell them to pet stores for $0.65. The result?
It is very cost effective for you to ship gold necklaces just about anywhere. The bedding, on the other hand, can only be sold locally, since
to package, prepare it for shipping, and ship it costs more than the
price you can sell it for.
for
the cost to ship
What
is
the point of all this?
ding any distance. In
fact,
Of course, you
unless
you can
will
not ship your gerbil bed-
distribute the
bedding
locally at
you won't
supply gerbil bedding. And, as long as costs are about the same for all suppliers of gerbil bedding, all suppliers are faced with the same situation.
a
aA
JSchweser
I
Study Program-
total
cost
that
is
lower
than
your
selling
price,
Economics
Now,
assume it costs about $0.10 per bag to distribute bedding
opposed to $0.50 to ship it longer distances. That means it
costs a total of $0.35 per bag ($0.25 material and packaging plus $0.10
transportation) to supply bedding locally. If you can sell it for $0.65, a
gross profit of $0.30 per bag will be realized. As long as you don't try
let's
locally, as
to charge local retailers
more than $1.00 or
so,
out-of-town suppliers
won't be enticed to compete with you. (Remember, out-of-town suppliers
can ship
As long
it
in to
your local market
at a total cost
as the local selling price doesn't
suppliers to
sell in
make
it
of $0.75 per bag.
profitable for outside
your market, they won't.)
Local suppliers want to maximize profits, so they want to
sell at
the
highest price possible, without reaching the estimated $1.00 that
would
when
is
the only thing
among them-
bedding
selves in the local market. Gerbil
don't care about the label
compete on quality or
The bottom
amount the
line
is
Note that price
gerbil-bedding suppliers compete
attract nonlocal competition.
that matters
on
it
or
who
is
gerbil bedding;
provides
it,
customers
so suppliers can't
that the supply of
bedding
is
constrained by the
can provide. Gold chains, on the other
hand, are a totally different product. Since
it is
profitable to ship
them
anywhere, the gold chains consumers see in stores can be from any-
where
in the world. This
a
good
or service supplied will
depend upon the price
received compared to
service.
local suppliers
The amount of
the total costs to supply
it.
The higher the
price
received by suppliers,
the greater the supply.
makes the supply of gold chains limited only
by the worldwide supply of gold.
The above arguments
are completely
pliers receive. If the total cost to
below the
selling price, that
dependent upon the price sup-
make and
ship an item
item will be supplied.
price does not provide revenues sufficient to cover
vide a profit, the item
crucial,
and
it
is
is
When
all
sufficiently
the selling
costs
and pro-
not supplied. Therefore, the selling price
was simply assumed
in the
is
arguments.
Demand
Demand
is
how much
society wants of a
you have a bicycle you want
ested in buying it.
to
sell,
good or
and there
is
service. Let's
assume
only one person inter-
iweser
ly
Program*
15