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Việt$Nam$
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DANH!MỤC!HÌNH! !4!
DANH%MỤC%TỪ%VIẾT!TẮT! !6!
LỜI!NÓI!ĐẦU! !8!
GIỚI!THIỆU!CHUNG! !9!
PHẦN!I.!DIỄN!BIẾN!KINH!TẾ!THẾ!GIỚI! !10!
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12

14
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10
20
30
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
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1
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3
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20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-14
-12
-10
-8

-6
-4
-2
0
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D bỏo
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1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
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Interest rate (%)
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3}F!`ydYZ!Yxn!"3##!.Ya!#3$!'Y!^\Ya!`_!'a `!6XY!bavr!mab!a\!`đ!
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0
2
4
6
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60
80
100
120
140
160
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-10
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0
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'xn!"3#"}!en!ma`!vb!h!d!uả!z!nob!`ykYZ!Ya!d!YZ!`\Y!`\_m!
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
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Tng trng GDP (%)
D bỏo
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2
3
4
5

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16

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20
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200
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19

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