Những lý thuyết mới về chu kỳ kinh doanh pptx

1
kinh t v mô
bn th nm
N. Gregory Mankiw
Bài ging ca Phm Th Anh

(dch và sa theo bài ging ca Ron Cronovich)
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© 2002 Worth Publishers, all rights reserved
CHNG 19
Nhng lý thuyt mi
v Chu k Kinh Doanh
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 1
Mc tiêu ca chng
Mc tiêu ca chng


 !
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,-
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory

slide 2
Lý thuyt Chu k Kinh doanh Thc t
Lý thuyt Chu k Kinh doanh Thc t
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1.34)56%74)85
9 1#:;<=6%74)8
5
9 0 =7(>1.?71
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$%3=4CC2
)50@1?%$
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$%$
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 3
Kinh t hc
Kinh t hc
Robinson Crusoe
Robinson Crusoe
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(H6C ,)0)0)/4)
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9 F
9 )
M 383N04GHO
M 2383NO
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=4C1P60)/13CJ
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 4
Nhng cú sc trong nn kinh t Crusoe
Nhng cú sc trong nn kinh t Crusoe
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837<(XA$U0H)
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 -Y)141U0H6()<60)/(
;?)3837(IJ
 Z.6416>B
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?33)P260)/$
W(?FJ
CHAPTER 19

CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 5
Nhng bin ng kinh t là nhng phn
Nhng bin ng kinh t là nhng phn
ng ti u i vi các cú sc
ng ti u i vi các cú sc
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$)%$@0)/J
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3$%3=4C
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C23D0CJ
2
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 6
Nhng tranh lun v lý thuyt RBC
Nhng tranh lun v lý thuyt RBC

[:1.C@!
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)50U0H)85\
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5\DF@7
]H43W?\
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 7
Th trng lao ng
Th trng lao ng
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=)/)?7=45
@)B5
0)2J
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 8
Th trng lao ng
Th trng lao ng
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 9
Các cú sc nng sut
Các cú sc nng sut
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 10
Nm
Tng trng sn lng

S d Solow
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 20001945
10
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6
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2
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% nm
S d
S d
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và tng trng sn lng
và tng trng sn lng
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 11
Các cú sc công ngh
Các cú sc công ngh
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 12
Tính trung lp ca tin
Tính trung lp ca tin
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory

slide 13
S linh hot ca tin lng và giá c
S linh hot ca tin lng và giá c
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 14
Kinh t hc Keynes Mi
Kinh t hc Keynes Mi
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 15
Chi phí thc n nh và nh hng
Chi phí thc n nh và nh hng
ngoi hin ca tng cu
ngoi hin ca tng cu
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 16
Suy thoái do tht bi trong hp tác
Suy thoái do tht bi trong hp tác
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j)8413@1$%
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%30T8413@.JR)<6340T(
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 17
Tính không ng b ca
Tính không ng b ca
tin lng và giá c

tin lng và giá c
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1?71J
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l34%$)13
13<15=%:J
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C@.0TH=)1%)4?H
WJQ%$.1mn)B41
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 18
Nhng lý do chính  giá c c!ng nh"c: kt
Nhng lý do chính  giá c c!ng nh"c: kt
qu t# các cuc iu tra các nhà qun lý
qu t# các cuc iu tra các nhà qun lý
_J*H5)A=3!3()B=%
36A3()B=%38412
`J3()B=)YBU3)2%=;
U
oJ3()B=;;%3
@04=p16;(XHA6(WX6

m)
qJEA=k1!3()B=1)4
<W36:T%r;]sC
2%3J
tJEA=kuCW34(
vJ=; 
CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 19
Kt lun:
Kt lun:
tình hình nghiên c!u
tình hình nghiên c!u
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()!"#$%&'()* $
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1)?=3J
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory

Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 20
Tóm t"t chng
Tóm t"t chng
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CHAPTER 19
CHAPTER 19
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
Advances in Business Cycle Theory
slide 21
Tóm t"t chng
Tóm t"t chng

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