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economic analysis of banking regulation

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Copyright 2011 
Pearson Canada Inc.
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Chapter 10
Economic Analysis of
Banking Regulation
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Pearson Canada Inc.
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Asymmetric Information and Bank Regulation I

Government safety net: Deposit insurance and
the CDIC

Short circuits bank failures and contagion effect

Payoff method

Purchase and assumption method

Government can support banks through lending
from the central bank

“Lender of Last Resort” role for central bank

Government can provide funds directly to
institutions in need
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Asymmetric Information and Bank Regulation II

Moral Hazard

Depositors do not impose discipline of marketplace

Banks have an incentive to take on greater risk

“Heads I win, tails the taxpayer loses”

Adverse Selection

Risk-lovers find banking attractive

Depositors have little reason to monitor bank
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Too Big to Fail

Failure of very large financial institution makes it
more likely that major financial disruption will occur

Regulators unwilling to let large institutions fail

Government provides guarantees of repayment to
large uninsured creditors of the largest banks which

reduces investors incentive to monitor banks
activities

Increases moral hazard incentives for big banks
making a financial crisis more likely
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Financial Consolidation

Larger and more complex banking
organizations challenge regulation

Increased “too big to fail” problem

Extends safety net to new activities, increasing
incentives for risk taking in these areas
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Restrictions on Asset Holding

Even without government intervention banks have
incentive to take more risk as risky assets provide
higher returns.

Full information to creditors/depositors on banks
risk-taking activities might mitigate problem.


Government regulation directly attempts to restrict
banks from too much risk taking

Restrict holdings of common stock

Promote diversification
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Capital Requirements

Government can impose set capital
requirements

Minimum leverage ratio (amount of capital
divided by the bank’s total assets)

Increase in off balance sheet activities a
concern

Basel Accord: risk-based capital requirements

Regulatory arbitrage
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Financial Supervision: Chartering and

Examination

Chartering (screening of proposals to open new banks)
to prevent adverse selection

Examinations (scheduled and unscheduled) to monitor
capital requirements and restrictions on asset holding to
prevent moral hazard

Capital adequacy

Asset quality

Management

Earnings

Liquidity

Sensitivity to market risk

Filing periodic ‘call reports’
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Assessment of Risk Management

Greater emphasis on evaluating soundness of
management processes for controlling risk


Focus is four elements of risk management

Quality of oversight provided

Adequacy of policies and limits

Quality of the risk measurement and monitoring systems

Adequacy of internal controls

Interest-rate risk limits

Internal policies and procedures

Internal management and monitoring

Implementation of stress testing and Value-at risk (VAR)
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Disclosure Requirements

Requirements to adhere to standard
accounting principles and to disclose wide
range of information

Eurocurrency Standing Committee of the G-10
Central Banks also recommends estimates of

financial risk generated by the firm’s internal
monitoring system be adapted for public
disclosure
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Consumer Protection

Requires lenders to provide information to
consumers on the costs of borrowing
(including a standardized interest rate)

Requires provision of information on the
method of assessing finance charges

Requires that billing complaints be handled
quickly
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Restrictions on Competition

Justified by moral hazard incentives to take on
more risk as competition decreases
profitability

Disadvantages


Higher consumer charges

Decreased efficiency
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International Banking Regulation

Similar to Canada

Chartered and supervised

Deposit insurance

Capital requirement

Particular problems

Easy to shift operations from one country
to another

Unclear jurisdiction lines
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The 1980s Canadian Banking Crisis I

Mid 1980s Canadian Commercial and Northland

banks in Alberta failed and a large number of other
institutions were having financial difficulties
Reasons:
1. Managers did not have the required expertise to
manage risk
2. The existence of CDIC, more opportunities for risk
taking
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The 1980s Canadian Banking Crisis II
3. Because of the lending boom, bank activities were
becoming more complicated. Regulators had neither
the expertise nor the resources to monitor these
activities appropriately
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inflation ↑ interest rates ↑, net worth of banks ↓
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Insolvencies ↑
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Incentives for risk taking ↑
Result: Failures ↑ and risky loans ↑
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The 1980s Canadian Banking Crisis III
Later Stages: Regulatory Forbearance

Regulators allow insolvent banks to operate because
A. Insufficient funds to close insolvent banks and pay
off their deposits
B. Sweep problems under rug
Insolvencies caused further banking difficulties
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CDIC Developments I

CDIC insures each depositor at member
institutions up to a loss of $100 000 per
account

All federally incorporated financial institutions
and all provincially incorporated TMLs are
members of the CDIC

Insurance companies, credit unions, caisses
populaires, and investment dealers are not
eligible for CDIC
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CDIC Developments I

CDIC insures each depositor at member institutions up to
a loss of $100 000 per account


All federally incorporated financial institutions and all
provincially incorporated TMLs are members of the CDIC

Insurance companies, credit unions, caisses populaires,
and investment dealers are not eligible for CDIC
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CDIC Developments II

QDIB insures provincially incorporated institutions in
Québec and the other provinces have deposit
insurance corporations that insure the deposits of
credit unions

Not all deposits and investments offered by CDIC
member institutions are insurable
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Not All Deposits Are Insurable
Insurable deposits include

Savings and chequing accounts

Term deposits with a maturity date < 5 years


Money orders and drafts, certified drafts and cheques, and
traveller’s cheques
The CDIC does not insure

Foreign currency deposits or term deposits with maturity date
> 5 years

T-bills, bonds and debentures issued by governments and
corporations (including the chartered banks)

Investments in stocks, mutual funds, and mortgages.
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Differential Premiums

Differential premiums means investments with
differing risk profiles are subject to different
insurance premiums

Premium categories range from 1 (best) for a well
capitalized bank, to 4 (worst) for a significantly
under capitalized bank
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Opting-Out I


Permits Schedule III banks, that accept primarily
wholesale deposits (defined as $150 000 or more), to
opt out of CDIC membership and therefore to operate
without deposit insurance

It requires, however, an opted-out bank to inform all
depositors, by posting notices in its branches, that their
deposits will not be protected by the CDIC, and not to
charge any early withdrawal penalties for depositors
who choose to withdraw
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Opting-Out II
Implications:

Minimizes CDIC exposure to uninsured deposits

By compensating only the insured depositors rather than
all depositors, this legislation increases the incentives of
uninsured depositors to monitor the risk-taking activities
of banks, thereby reducing moral hazard risk
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Evaluating CDIC I
Limits on Scope of Deposit Insurance
1. Eliminate deposit insurance entirely

2. Lower limits on deposit insurance
3. Eliminate too-big-to-fail
4. Coinsurance
Prompt Corrective Action
1. Critics believe too many loopholes
2. However: accountability increased by mandatory
review of bank failure resolutions
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Evaluating CDIC II
Risk-based Insurance Premiums
- Scheme for determining risk, it is accurate?
Other CDIC Provisions
- Regulators perform frequent examinations
- Gives CDIC discretion in examining performance of
problem institution
Other Proposed Changes
- Regulatory consolidation
- Market-value accounting

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