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Capital Asset Pricing

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Chapter 10
Capital Asset Pricing
10.1 An Optimization Problem
Consider an agent who has initial wealth
X
0
and wants to invest in the stock and money markets so
as to maximize
IE log X
n
:
Remark 10.1 Regardless of the portfolio used by the agent,
f
k
X
k
g
1
k=0
is a martingale under IP, so
IE
n
X
n
= X
0
BC
Here, (BC) stands for “Budget Constraint”.
Remark 10.2 If

is any random variable satisfying (BC), i.e.,


IE
n
 = X
0
;
then there is a portfolio which starts with initial wealth
X
0
and produces
X
n
= 
at time
n
.Tosee
this, just regard

as a simple European derivative security paying off at time
n
.Then
X
0
is its value
at time 0, and starting from this value, there is a hedging portfolio which produces
X
n
= 
.
Remarks 10.1 and 10.2 show that the optimal
X

n
for the capital asset pricing problem can be
obtained by solving the following
Constrained Optimization Problem:
Find a random variable

which solves:
Maximize
IE log 
Subject to
IE
n
 = X
0
:
Equivalently, we wish to
Maximize
X
!2
log  !  IP ! 
119
120
Subject to
X
! 2

n
!  !IP !  , X
0
=0:

There are
2
n
sequences
!
in

.Callthem
!
1
;!
2
;::: ;!
2
n
. Adopt the notation
x
1
=  !
1
;x
2
=!
2
; ::: ; x
2
n
= !
2
n

:
We can thus restate the problem as:
Maximize
2
n
X
k=1
log x
k
IP !
k

Subject to
2
n
X
k=1

n
!
k
x
k
IP !
k
 , X
o
=0:
In order to solve this problem we use:
Theorem 1.30 (Lagrange Multiplier) If

x

1
;::: ;x

m

solve the problem
Maxmize
f x
1
;::: ;x
m

Subject to
g x
1
;::: ;x
m
=0;
then there is a number

such that
@
@x
k
f x

1
;::: ;x


m
=
@
@x
k
gx

1
;::: ;x

m
; k =1;::: ;m;
(1.1)
and
g x

1
;::: ;x

m
=0:
(1.2)
For our problem, (1.1) and (1.2) become
1
x

k
IP !
k

=
n
!
k
IP !
k
;k=1;::: ;2
n
; 1:1
0

2
n
X
k=1

n
!
k
x

k
IP !
k
=X
0
: 1:2
0

Equation (1.1’) implies

x

k
=
1

n
!
k

:
Plugging this into (1.2’) we get
1

2
n
X
k=1
IP !
k
=X
0
=
1

=X
0
:
CHAPTER 10. Capital Asset Pricing
121

Therefore,
x

k
=
X
0

n
!
k

;k=1;::: ;2
n
:
Thus we have shown that if


solves the problem
Maximize
IE log 
Subject to
IE 
n
 =X
0
;
(1.3)
then



=
X
0

n
:
(1.4)
Theorem 1.31 If


is given by (1.4), then


solves the problem (1.3).
Proof: Fix
Z0
and define
f x = log x , xZ:
We maximize
f
over
x0
:
f
0
x=
1
x
,Z =0  x=

1
Z
;
f
00
x=,
1
x
2
0; 8x2 IR:
The function
f
is maximized at
x

=
1
Z
, i.e.,
log x , xZ  f x

 = log
1
Z
, 1; 8x0; 8Z0:
(1.5)
Let

be any random variable satisfying
IE 

n
 =X
0
and let


=
X
0

n
:
From (1.5) we have
log  , 


n
X
0

 log

X
0

n

, 1:
Taking expectations, we have
IE log  ,

1
X
0
IE 
n
   IE log 

, 1;
and so
IE log   IE log 

:
122
In summary, capital asset pricing works as follows: Consider an agent who has initial wealth
X
0
and wants to invest in the stock and money market so as to maximize
IE log X
n
:
The optimal
X
n
is
X
n
=
X
0


n
, i.e.,

n
X
n
= X
0
:
Since
f
k
X
k
g
n
k=0
is a martingale under IP, we have

k
X
k
= IE 
n
X
n
jF
k
=X
0

;k=0;::: ;n;
so
X
k
=
X
0

k
;
and the optimal portfolio is given by

k
!
1
;::: ;!
k
=
X
0

k+1
!
1
;::: ;!
k
;H 
,
X
0


k+1
!
1
;::: ;!
k
;T 
S
k+1
!
1
;::: ;!
k
;H, S
k+1
!
1
;::: ;!
k
;T
:

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