✶
▲ê✐ ♥ã✐ ➤➬✉
❚r♦♥❣ ❧ý t❤✉②Õt ①➳❝ s✉✃t✱ ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ➤ã♥❣ ♠ét ✈❛✐ trß q✉❛♥ trä♥❣✳
▲✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ❝❤♦ ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✱ ❝ï♥❣ ♣❤➞♥ ố
ợ r tết từ ữ ❝đ❛ t❤Õ ❦û tr➢í❝✳ ◆➝♠ ✶✾✽✶✱
❊t❡♠❛❞✐ ❬✼❪ ➤➲ ♠ë ré♥❣ ❦Õt q✉➯ ♥➭② ❜➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ t❤❛② ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ❜ë✐ ➤✐Ị✉
❦✐Ư♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✳ ➜✐ t❤❡♦ ❤➢í♥❣ ♥➭②✱ ♥➝♠ ✶✾✽✸✱ ❈s♦r❣♦✱ ❚❛♥❞♦r✐ ✈➭ ❚♦t✐❦
❬✻❪ ➤➲ t❤✐Õt ❧❐♣ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ❝❤♦ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐
♠ét✱ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❝ï♥❣ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐✱ ➤å♥❣ t❤ê✐ ❊t❡♠❛❞✐ ❬✽❪ ❝ị♥❣ ➤➲ t❤✐Õt ❧❐♣ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❧✉❐t
♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ❝❤♦ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠✳ ●➬♥ ➤➞②✱ ♥❤✐Ò✉ t➳❝ ❣✐➯ q✉❛♥
t➞♠ ➤Õ♥ ✈✐Ư❝ t❤✐Õt ❧❐♣ ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ❝❤♦ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉
✭❬✸❪✱ ❬✹❪✮✳ ❚r➟♥ ❝➡ së ➤ã ✈➭ t❤❛♠ ❦❤➯♦ ❜➭✐ ❜➳♦ ❝ñ❛ ❈❤❛♥❞r❛ ✈➭ ●♦s✇❛♠✐ ❬✷❪✱
❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ ➤➲ ❧ù❛ ❝❤ä♥ ➤Ị t➭✐ ❧✉❐♥ ✈➝♥
✬✬❑❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ t❤❡♦ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ❈❡s➭r♦ ✈➭
❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥✧✳
▲✉❐♥ ✈➝♥ ❣å♠ ❤❛✐ ❝❤➢➡♥❣✳ ❚r♦♥❣ ❈❤➢➡♥❣ ✶✱ ❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ tr×♥❤ ❜➭② ❝➳❝ ❦✐Õ♥
t❤ø❝ ❝➡ së ❝ñ❛ ❧ý t❤✉②Õt ①➳❝ s✉✃t✱ ❝➬♥ t❤✐Õt ➤Ĩ tr×♥❤ ❜➭② ❝➳❝ ✈✃♥ ➤Ị ❝đ❛ ❈❤➢➡♥❣
✷✳ ➜ã ❧➭ ♠ét sè ❦❤➳✐ ♥✐Ö♠ ✈➭ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝➡ ❜➯♥ ❝ñ❛ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ✈➭ ❜✐Õ♥
♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❦ú ✈ä♥❣ ✈➭ ♣❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐ ❝ñ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
➤é❝ ❧❐♣✱ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✱✳✳✳ ➜å♥❣ t❤ê✐ ♥❤➽❝ ❧➵✐ ❦❤➳✐ ♥✐Ư♠ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ ❝đ❛ ♠ét
❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❝➳❝ ♠Ư♥❤ ➤Ị✱ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝ã ❧✐➟♥ q✉❛♥✳
❚r♦♥❣ ❈❤➢➡♥❣ ✷✱ tr➢í❝ ❤Õt ❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ tr×♥❤ ❜➭② ✈Ị ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ➤è✐ ✈í✐
❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠✱ s❛✉ ➤ã ❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ t×♠ ❤✐Ĩ✉ ✈Ị ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè
❧í♥ ✈í✐ ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✱ ❝✉è✐ ❝ï♥❣ ❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ ♥❣❤✐➟♥
❝ø✉ ✈Ị ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ t❤❡♦ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ❈❡s➭r♦✳
▲✉❐♥ ✈➝♥ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❤♦➭♥ t❤➭♥❤ t➵✐ ❚r➢ê♥❣ ➜➵✐ ❤ä❝ ❱✐♥❤ ❞➢í✐ sù ❤➢í♥❣ ❞➱♥ trù❝
t✐Õ♣ ❝đ❛ ●❙✳❚❙ ◆❣✉②Ơ♥ ❱➝♥ ◗✉➯♥❣✳ ❚➳❝ ❣✐➯ ①✐♥ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❜➭② tá ❧ß♥❣ ❜✐Õt ➡♥ s➞✉
s➽❝ ➤Õ♥ t❤➬② ✈Ị sù q✉❛♥ t➞♠ ✈➭ ♥❤✐Ưt t×♥❤ ❤➢í♥❣ ❞➱♥ ♠➭ t❤➬② ➤➲ ❞➭♥❤ ❝❤♦ t➳❝
✷
❣✐➯ tr♦♥❣ s✉èt q✉➳ tr×♥❤ ❤ä❝ t❐♣ ✈➭ ♥❣❤✐➟♥ ❝ø✉ ➤Ị t➭✐✳
❚➳❝ ❣✐➯ ❝ị♥❣ ①✐♥ ❣ư✐ ❧ê✐ ❝➯♠ ➡♥ s➞✉ s➽❝ tí✐ ❝➳❝ t❤➬② ❝➠ tr♦♥❣ ❇é ♠➠♥ ❳➳❝
s✉✃t t❤è♥❣ ❦➟ ✈➭ ❚♦➳♥ ø♥❣ ❞ô♥❣✱ ❑❤♦❛ ❙➢ ♣❤➵♠ ❚♦➳♥ ❤ä❝✱ Pò ọ
ì t t×♥❤ ❣✐ó♣ ➤ì✱ ➤é♥❣ ✈✐➟♥✱ t➵♦ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ❝❤♦ t➳❝ ❣✐➯
tr♦♥❣ q✉➳ tr×♥❤ ❤ä❝ t❐♣ t➵✐ tr➢ê♥❣✳
▼➷❝ ❞ï ➤➲ ❝ã ♥❤✐Ò✉ ❝è ❣➽♥❣✱ s♦♥❣ ❧✉❐♥ ✈➝♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ tr➳♥❤ ❦❤á✐ ❝➳❝ tế sót
rt ợ ữ ờ ỉ ❜➯♦✱ ♥❤÷♥❣ ý ❦✐Õ♥ ➤ã♥❣ ❣ã♣ ❝đ❛ q✉ý
t❤➬② ❝➠ ✈➭ ❜➵♥ ➤ä❝ ➤Ĩ ❧✉❐♥ ✈➝♥ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❤♦➭♥ t❤✐Ư♥ ❤➡♥✳
❱✐♥❤✱ t❤➳♥❣ ✽ ♥➝♠ ✷✵✶✻✳
❚➳❝ ❣✐➯
✸
❈❤➢➡♥❣ ✶✳ ❑✐Õ♥ t❤ø❝ ❝❤✉➮♥ ❜Þ
❚r♦♥❣ ❝❤➢➡♥❣ ♥➭②✱ ❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ tr×♥❤ ❜➭② ♠ét sè ❦❤➳✐ ♥✐Ư♠ ✈➭ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝➡
❜➯♥ ✈Ò ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ✈➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❦ú ✈ä♥❣ ❝ñ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱
❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✱ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✱ ❦❤➳✐ ♥✐Ư♠ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ ❝đ❛ ♠ét
❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❝➳❝ ♠Ư♥❤ ➤Ị✱ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝ã ❧✐➟♥ q✉❛♥✱✳✳✳ ❈➳❝ ❦Õt q✉➯ ❝đ❛
❝❤➢➡♥❣ ♥➭② sÏ ➤➢ỵ❝ sư ❞ô♥❣ ë ❝❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✉✳
✶✳✶✳ ❑❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
✶✳✶✳✶✳ ❑❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ➤♦ ✈➭ ➤é ➤♦ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
●✐➯ sö
Ω✳
Ω
❧➭ ♠ét t❐♣ tï② ý rỗ
ó
(, F)
0 A F
ột
➤➵✐ sè ❝➳❝ t❐♣ ❝♦♥ ❝đ❛
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ♠ét ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ➤♦✳ ●✐➯ sö
❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ➤♦✳ ▼ét ➳♥❤ ①➵
(i) P(A)
F
(Ω, F)
❧➭ ♠ét
P : F → R ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➤é ➤♦ ①➳❝ s✉✃t tr➟♥ F
♥Õ✉
✭tÝ♥❤ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠✮❀
(ii) P(Ω) = 1 ✭tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✉➮♥ ❤ã❛✮❀
(iii)
◆Õ✉
∞
An ∈ F (n = 1, 2, 3, ...)✱ Ai ∩ Aj = Ai Aj = ∅ (i = j)
∞
An ) =
P(
P(An ) ✭tÝ♥❤ ❝é♥❣ tÝ♥❤ ➤Õ♠ ➤➢ỵ❝✮✳
n=1
n=1
❈➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
❜❛
(i) − (iii) ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❤Ư t✐➟♥ ➤Ị ❑♦❧♠♦❣♦r♦✈ ✈Ị ①➳❝ s✉✃t✳ ❇é
(Ω, F, P) ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✳
❚❐♣
σ
Ω ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ❜✐Õ♥ ố s
số
ỗ
F
AF
ợ ọ
➤➵✐ sè ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✳
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ♠ét ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✳
❇✐Õ♥ ❝è
Ω∈F
❇✐Õ♥ ❝è
∅∈F
❇✐Õ♥ ❝è
A = Ω\A ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ➤è✐ ❧❐♣ ❝đ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è A✳
◆Õ✉
t❤×
❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥✳
❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❦❤➠♥❣ t❤Ó ❝ã✳
A ∩ B = AB = tì A B
ợ ọ ế ❝è ①✉♥❣ ❦❤➽❝✳
✹
❑❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
(Ω, F, P)
❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ➤➬② ➤ñ ♥Õ✉ ♠ä✐
t❐♣ ❝♦♥ ❝ñ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❝ã ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❦❤➠♥❣ ➤Ị✉ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✳ ➜Ĩ ➤➡♥ ❣✐➯♥✱ tõ ♥❛② ✈Ò
s❛✉✱ ❦❤✐ ♥ã✐ ➤Õ♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
(Ω, F, P)✱
t❛ ❧✉➠♥ ①❡♠ ➤ã ❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥
①➳❝ s✉✃t ➤➬② ➤đ✳
❈❤ó ý✳ ➜✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ (ii) tr♦♥❣ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛ tr➟♥ ➤➯♠ ❜➯♦ r➺♥❣ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥ ❝ã
①➳❝ s✉✃t ❜➺♥❣ ✶✳ ❚✉② ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❝ã ♥❤÷♥❣ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❝ã ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❜➺♥❣ ✶ ♥❤➢♥❣ ❝❤➢❛
❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥ ➤➲ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥✳ ◆❤÷♥❣ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ♥❤➢ ✈❐② ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❤➬✉
❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥✳
✶✳✶✳✷✳ ❈➳❝ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝đ❛ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
●✐➯ sư
A, B, C, ... ❧➭ ♥❤÷♥❣ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã✱ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❝đ❛ ❝❤ó♥❣ ❝ã ❝➳❝ tÝ♥❤
❝❤✃t s❛✉✿
✶✳
P(∅) = 0✳
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
✸✳
P(A) = 1 − P(A)✳
✹✳ ◆Õ✉
✺✳
AB = ∅ t❤× P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B)✳
A⊂B
t❤×
P(B\A) = P(B) − P(A) ✈➭ ❞♦ ➤ã P(A)
P(B)✳
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(AB)✳
✻✳
n
n
P(Ak ) −
Ak ) =
P(
k=1
k=1
1 k
P(Ak Al Am ) − ... + (−1)n−1 P(A1 A2 ...An ).
+
1 k
∞
✼✳
P(
n=1
P(Ak Ai )
∞
An )
P(An )✳
n=1
✽✳ ✭❚Ý♥❤ ❧✐➟♥ tơ❝ ❝đ❛ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✮
✺
(i)
◆Õ✉
(An , n
1)
A1 ⊂ A2 ⊂ ... ⊂ An ⊂ ...✱
❧➭ ❞➲② ➤➡♥ ➤✐Ư✉ t➝♥❣✱
tå♥ t➵✐
∞
lim P(An ) = P(
n→∞
(ii)
◆Õ✉
t❤×
(An , n
An ).
n=1
1) ❧➭ ❞➲② ➤➡♥ ➤✐Ö✉ ❣✐➯♠✱ A1 ⊃ A2 ⊃ ... ⊃ An ⊃ ...✱ t❤×
tå♥ t➵✐
∞
lim P(An ) = P(
n→∞
An ).
n=1
✶✳✶✳✸✳ ❳➳❝ s✉✃t ❝ã ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳
●✐➯ sö
(Ω, F, P)
❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✳
A, B ∈ F ✱ P(A) > 0✳
❑❤✐ ➤ã sè
P(B/A) =
P(AB)
P(A)
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❝ã ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ❝đ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
B
➤è✐ ✈í✐ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
A✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳
✶✳
P(B/A)
0✳
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
B ⊃ A t❤× P(B/A) = 1✱ ➤➷❝ ❜✐Ưt P(Ω/A) = 1✳
✸✳ ◆Õ✉
(Bn ) ❧➭ ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ➤➠✐ ♠ét ①✉♥❣ ❦❤➽❝ t❤×
∞
∞
Bn /A) =
P(
n=1
❚õ ❝➳❝ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t
①➵
P(Bn /A).
n=1
1 − 3 s✉② r❛ r➺♥❣ ♥Õ✉ A ❧➭ ♠ét ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✱ P(A) > 0 t❤× ➳♥❤
PA : F → R ①➳❝ ➤Þ♥❤ ❜ë✐ ❝➠♥❣ t❤ø❝
PA (B) = P(B/A), (∀B ∈ F)
❝ị♥❣ ❧➭ ①➳❝ s✉✃t tr➟♥
s✉✃t✳
F✳
❉♦ ➤ã
PA
❝ã ➤➬② ➤đ ❝➳❝ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝ñ❛ ➤é ➤♦ ①➳❝
✻
✹✳ ✭◗✉② t➽❝ ♥❤➞♥✮✳ ●✐➯ sö
A1 , A2 , ..., An (n
2)✱ ❧➭ ♥ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ❜✃t ❦ú s❛♦ ❝❤♦
P(A1 A2 ...An ) > 0✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
P(A1 A2 ...An ) = P(A1 )P(A2 /A1 )...P(An /A1 ...An−1 ).
✶✳✶✳✹✳ ❚Ý♥❤ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ❝đ❛ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
●✐➯ sư
(Ω, F, P) ❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✳
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ✶✳ ❍❛✐ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è A ✈➭ B
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ♥Õ✉
P(AB) = P(A).P(B).
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳
✶✳
A✱ B
➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐
✷✳ ❍❛✐ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
A
✈➭
B
P(A/B) = P(A) ❤♦➷❝ P(B/A) = P(B)✳
➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ ♠ét tr♦♥❣ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ s❛✉
t❤á❛ ♠➲♥
(i) A✱ B
➤é❝ ❧❐♣❀
(ii) A✱ B ✱ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣❀
(iii) A✱ B
➤é❝ ❧❐♣✳
❉➢í✐ ➤➞② sÏ tr×♥❤ ❜➭② ❦❤➳✐ ♥✐Ư♠ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ❝đ❛ ♠ét ❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✳
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ✷✳ ❍ä ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è (Ai )i∈I
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét ♥Õ✉ ❤❛✐ ❜✐Õ♥
❝è ❜✃t ❦ú ❝ñ❛ ❤ä ➤Ị✉ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✳
❍ä ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
(Ai )i∈I
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ t♦➭♥ ❝ô❝ ✭❣ä✐ t➽t ❧➭ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✮ ♥Õ✉
➤è✐ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐ ❤ä ❤÷✉ ❤➵♥ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
Ai1 , Ai2 , ..., Ain
❝đ❛ ❤ä ➤ã✱ t❛ ➤Ị✉ ❝ã
P(Ai1 Ai2 ...Ain ) = P(Ai1 )P(Ai2 )...P(Ain ).
▼ét ❤ä ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ t❤× ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✳ ❚✉② ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤✐Ị✉ ♥❣➢ỵ❝ ❧➵✐ ♥ã✐ ❝❤✉♥❣
❦❤➠♥❣ ➤ó♥❣✳
✼
➜è✐ ✈í✐ ❞➲② ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✱ t❛ ❝ã tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t q✉❛♥ trä♥❣ s❛✉ ➤➞②✱ ❣ä✐ ❧➭
❇ỉ ➤Ị ❇♦r❡❧ ✲ ❈❛♥t❡❧❧✐✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý✳
✭❇ỉ ➤Ị ❇♦r❡❧ ✲ ❈❛♥t❡❧❧✐✮✳ ●✐➯ sư
(An , n
1)
❧➭ ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è✳ ❑❤✐
➤ã
∞
(i)
P(An ) < ∞ t❤× P(lim sup An ) = 0❀
◆Õ✉
n=1
∞
(ii)
P(An ) = ∞ ✈➭ (An , n
◆Õ✉
1) ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ t❤× P(lim sup An ) = 1,
n=1
tr♦♥❣ ➤ã
∞
∞
Ak .
lim sup An =
n=1 k=n
❚õ ➤Þ♥❤ ❧ý tr➟♥✱ ❝ã t❤Ĩ s✉② r❛ ♥❣❛② ❤Ư q✉➯ s❛✉ ➤➞②
❍Ư q✉➯✳ ✭▲✉❐t ✵ ✲✶ ❇♦r❡❧ ✲ ❈❛♥t❡❧❧✐✮✳ ◆Õ✉ (An , n
1) ❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✱
t❤× P(lim sup An ) ❝❤Ø ❝ã t❤Ĩ ♥❤❐♥ ♠ét tr♦♥❣ ❤❛✐ ❣✐➳ trÞ tù t ỗ
P(An ) ộ tụ ♣❤➞♥ ❦ú✳
n=1
✶✳✷✳ ➳♥❤ ①➵ ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ✈➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
✶✳✷✳✶✳ ợ
ị ĩ
sử
(1 , F1 )
(2 , F2 )
❧➭ ❤❛✐ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ➤♦✳
➳♥❤ ①➵ X
:
Ω1 → Ω2 ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵ F1 /F2 ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ♥Õ✉ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐ B ∈ F2 t❤× X −1 (B) ∈ F1 ✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳ ●✐➯ sö (Ω1 , F1 )✱ (Ω2 , F2 ) ✈➭ (Ω3 , F3 ) ❧➭ ❝➳❝ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ➤♦✳
✶✳ ◆Õ✉
X
F1 ⊂ G1 ✱ G2 ⊂ F2
❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵
✷✳ ●✐➯ sö
F2 /F3
✸✳ ●✐➯ sö
G1 /G2
✈➭
X : Ω1 → Ω2
❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵
F1 /F2
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✳
X : Ω1 → Ω2
❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
F1 /F2
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✱
Y ◦ X : Ω1 → Ω3
Y : Ω2 → Ω3
❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵
F1 /F3
X −1 (C) ∈ F1
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
C ∈ C✳
❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✳
F2 = σ(C)✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã X : (Ω1 , F1 ) → (Ω2 , F2 ) ❧➭ F1 /F2
✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ tì
ợ
✽
❍Ư q✉➯✳ ●✐➯ sư (Ω1 , τ1 )✱ (Ω2 , τ2 ) ❧➭ ❝➳❝ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ t➠♣➠✱ ➳♥❤ ①➵ X : Ω1 → Ω2
X
❧✐➟♥ tô❝✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣ ❧➭ ❝➳❝
❧➭ ➳♥❤ ①➵
B(Ω1 )/B(Ω2 )
σ ✲➤➵✐ sè ❇♦r❡❧ tr➟♥ Ω1
✈➭
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✱ tr♦♥❣ ➤ã
B(Ω1 ), B(Ω2 )
Ω2 ✳
✶✳✷✳✷✳ ❇✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳
❝đ❛
G
σ
●✐➯ sư
F✳
✲ ➤➵✐ sè
(Ω, F, P)
❑❤✐ ➤ã ➳♥❤ ①➵
✲ ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ế ó
X 1 (B) G)
ợ tì
X
❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✱
X : Ω → R
G/B(R)
G
❧➭
σ
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ✭tø❝ ❧➭ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
❚r♦♥❣ tr➢ê♥❣ ❤ỵ♣ ➤➷❝ ❜✐Öt✱ ❦❤✐
✲ ➤➵✐ sè ❝♦♥
X
B ∈ B(R)
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉
F
tì
ợ ọ ột ế ♥❤✐➟♥✳
❍✐Ĩ♥ ♥❤✐➟♥✱ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
t❤✃② r➺♥❣ ♥Õ✉
X
G
✲ ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✳ ▼➷t ❦❤➳❝✱ ❞Ơ
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ t❤× ❤ä
σ(X) = {X −1 (B) : B ∈ B(R)}
❧❐♣ t❤➭♥❤ ♠ét
s✐♥❤ ❜ë✐
X✳
σ
✲ ➤➵✐ sè ❝♦♥ ❝ñ❛
➜ã ❧➭
❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
G
σ
σ
✲ ➤➵✐ sè ❜Ð ♥❤✃t ♠➭
X
✲ ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐
◆Õ✉ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
X
F✱ σ
✲ ➤➵✐ sè
✲ ➤➵✐ sè ♥➭② ❣ä✐ ❧➭
σ
✲ ➤➵✐ sè
➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✳ ❚õ ➤ã s✉② r❛ r➺♥❣
X
❧➭
σ(X) ⊂ G
ỉ ữ trị tì ó ợ ọ ế
ế ò ợ ọ ợ
í t
ị ý X
❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ ♠ét tr♦♥❣ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ s❛✉
➤➞② t❤á❛ ♠➲♥
(i) (X < a) := (ω : X(ω) < a) ∈ F
(ii) (X
a) := (ω : X(ω)
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
a) ∈ F
(iii) (X > a) := (ω : X(ω) > a) ∈ F
a ∈ R✳
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
a ∈ R✳
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
a ∈ R✳
✾
(iv) (X
a) ∈ F
a) := (ω : X(ω)
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✷✳
●✐➯ sö
X1 , X2 , ..., Xn
(Ω, F, P)✱ f : Rn → R
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
a ∈ R✳
❧➭ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ù ị tr
ợ ó ĩ
f
B(Rn )/B(R)
➤➢ỵ❝✮✳
❑❤✐ ➤ã
Y = f (X1 , ..., Xn ) :Ω → R
ω → f (X1 (ω), ..., Xn (ω))
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✸✳
●✐➯ sư
(Ω, F, P)✳
❑❤✐ ➤ã✱ ♥Õ✉
limXn ✱ lim Xn
n→∞
(Xn , n
1)
❧➭ ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❝ï♥❣ ị tr
inf Xn , sup Xn
n
ữ tì
n
inf Xn , sup Xn ✱ limXn ✱
n
n
✭♥Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐✮ ➤Ò✉ ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✹✳ ◆Õ✉ X
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠ t❤× tå♥ t➵✐ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
➤➡♥ ❣✐➯♥✱ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠
1) s❛♦ ❝❤♦ Xn ↑ X
(Xn , n
✭❦❤✐
n → ∞✮✳
❈❤ó ý r➺♥❣ ❝➳❝ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t tr➟♥ ❝đ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❝ã t❤Ĩ ♠ë ré♥❣ ❝❤♦ ❜✐Õ♥
♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
G
✲ ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❜✃t ❦ú✳
✶✳✷✳✸✳ P❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳ ●✐➯ sư (Ω, F, P) ❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✱ X : Ω → R ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉
♥❤✐➟♥✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã ❤➭♠ t❐♣
PX : B(R) → R
B → PX (B) = P(X −1 (B))
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❝ñ❛
X✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳
✶✳
PX
❧➭ ➤é ➤♦ ①➳❝ s✉✃t tr➟♥
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
Q
B(R)✳
❧➭ ➤é ➤♦ ①➳❝ s✉✃t tr➟♥
B(R)
t❤×
Q
❧➭ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❝đ❛ ♠ét
❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ♥➭♦ ➤ã✳
❈❤ó ý✳ ❚➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣ ❣✐÷❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ✈➭ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ❝đ❛ ❝❤ó♥❣ ❦❤➠♥❣
♣❤➯✐ ❧➭ t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣ ✶✲✶✳ ◆❤÷♥❣ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❝ã ❝ï♥❣ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ➤➢ỵ❝
✶✵
❣ä✐ ❧➭ ♥❤÷♥❣ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❝ï♥❣ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐✳
✶✳✷✳✹✳ ❍➭♠ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳ ●✐➯ sư (Ω, F, P) ❧➭ ♠ét ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✱ X : Ω −→ R ❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥
♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã✱ ❤➭♠ sè
❧➭ ❤➭♠ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ❝ñ❛
FX (x) = P(X < x) = P(ω : X(ω) < x) ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐
X✳
◆❤❐♥ ①Ðt✳ FX (x) = P X −1 (−∞, x) = PX [(−∞, x)]✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳
✶✳
0
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
FX
1✳
a
t❤×
F (b) − F (a) = P(a
X < b)❀
❞♦ ➤ã
F (x)
❧➭ ❤➭♠ ❦❤➠♥❣
❣✐➯♠✳
✸✳
✹✳
lim F (x) = 1❀ lim F (x) = 0✳
x→+∞
x→−∞
lim F (x) = F (a)
x↑a
✈➭
lim F (x) = P(X
x↓a
a)✳
❉♦ ➤ã
F (x)
❧✐➟♥ tô❝ tr➳✐ t➵✐
F (x) ❧✐➟♥ tô❝ t➵✐ a ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ P(a) = 0✳
♠ä✐ ➤✐Ĩ♠✱
✶✳✷✳✺✳ ❑ú ✈ä♥❣
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳
●✐➯ sư
X : (Ω, F, P) −→ (R, B(R))
tÝ❝❤ ♣❤➞♥ ▲❡❜❡s❣✉❡ ❝ñ❛
X
✈➭ ❦ý ❤✐Ö✉ ❧➭
X
t❤❡♦ ➤é ➤♦
P
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
✭♥Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐✮ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❦ú ✈ä♥❣ ❝đ❛
EX ✳
❱❐②
EX =
XdP.
Ω
◆Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐
E|X|p < ∞ ✭p > 0✮✱ t❤× t❛ ♥ã✐ X
E|X| < tì X
ợ ọ ế ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳ ❑ú ✈ä♥❣ ❝ã ❝➳❝ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t s❛✉ ➤➞②
✶✳ ◆Õ✉
X
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
X=C
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ❜❐❝ ♣✳ ➜➷❝ ❜✐Ưt✱ ♥Õ✉
0 t❤× EX
t❤×
0✳
EX = C ✳
✶✶
✸✳ ◆Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐
EX
t❤× ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
✹✳ ◆Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐
EX
✈➭
✺✳ ◆Õ✉
✻✳
X
EX =
EY
t❤×
C ∈ R✱ t❛ ❝ã E(CX) = CEX ✳
E(X ± Y ) = EX ± EY ✳
0 ✈➭ EX = 0 t❤× X = 0✳
i xi pi ♥Õ✉
X
rê✐ r➵❝ ♥❤❐♥ ❝➳❝ ❣✐➳ trÞ
x1 , x2 , ...
✈í✐ P(X = xi ) = pi ✳
+∞
−∞
xp(x)dx ♥Õ✉ X ❧✐➟♥ tô❝ ❝ã ❤➭♠ ♠❐t ➤é p✳
f : R → R ❧➭ ❤➭♠ ợ Y = f (X) tì
ổ qt ế
EY =
i f (xi )pi ♥Õ✉
X
rê✐ r➵❝ ♥❤❐♥ ❝➳❝ ❣✐➳ trÞ
✈í✐ P(X = xi ) = pi ✳
+∞ f (x)p(x)dx ♥Õ✉ X
−∞
✼✳ ✭❇✃t ➤➻♥❣ t❤ø❝ ▼❛r❦♦✈✮✳ ●✐➯ sư
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
X
x1 , x2 , ...
❧✐➟♥ tô❝ ❝ã ❤➭♠ ♠❐t ➤é
p✳
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
ε > 0 t❛ ❝ã
P(X
ε)
EX
.
ε
✶✳✷✳✻✳ P❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳
●✐➯ sư
X
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã✱ sè
✭♥Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐✮ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ♣❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐ ❝đ❛
P❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐ ❝đ❛ ❜✐Õ♥
X
DX = E(X EX)2
X
ò ợ ý ệ
varX
í ❝❤✃t✳ P❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐ ❝ã ♥❤÷♥❣ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t ❝➡ ❜➯♥ s❛✉ ➤➞②✿
✶✳
DX = EX 2 − (EX)2 ✳
✷✳
DX
✸✳
DX = 0 ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ X = EX = C h.c.c✳
✹✳
D(CX) = C 2 DX ✳
0✳
✶✷
✺✳ ✭❇✃t ➤➻♥❣ t❤ø❝ ❈❤❡❜②s❤❡✈✮ ●✐➯ sư
♥Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐
DX
t❤× ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
X
ε > 0✱ t❛ ❝ã
P(|X − EX|
tr♦♥❣ ➤ã
C
❧➭ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❜✃t ❦ú✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
DX
,
ε2
ε)
❧➭ ❤➺♥❣ sè✱ ❤➬✉ ❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥ ợ ết ọ ở
h.c.c
ế ộ
ị ♥❣❤Ü❛✳
●✐➯ sö
(Ω, F, P)
{Ci : i ∈ I, Ci ⊂ F}
❧➭ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t✳ ❍ä ❝➳❝ ❧í♣ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣
(➤é❝
❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét) ♥Õ✉ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
Ai ∈ Ci ✱ ❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è {Ai , i ∈ I} ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ✭t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣✱ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✮✳
❍ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
❤ä
{Xi , i ∈ I} ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ (➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét) ♥Õ✉
σ ✲➤➵✐ sè {σ(Xi ), i ∈ I} ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ✭t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣✱ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✮✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳
✶✳ ●✐➯ sö
{Xi , i ∈ I}
❧➭ ❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✱
❤➭♠ ➤♦ ➤➢ỵ❝✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã ❤ä
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn
fi : R → R (i ∈ I)
❧➭
{fi (Xi ), i ∈ I} ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✳
❧➭ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ t❤×
E(X1 X2 . . . Xn ) = EX1 EX2 . . . EXn .
✸✳ ◆Õ✉
X1 , X2 , ..., Xn
❧➭ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét t❤×
D(X1 + · · · + Xn ) = DX1 + · · · + DXn .
✶✳✷✳✽✳ ❈➳❝ ❞➵♥❣ ❤é✐ tơ
➜Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛✳ ●✐➯ sư {X, Xn , n
❦❤➠♥❣ ❣✐❛♥ ①➳❝ s✉✃t
•
❉➲②
N ∈F
{Xn }n
s❛♦ ❝❤♦
1} ❧➭ ❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❝ï♥❣ ①➳❝ ➤Þ♥❤ tr➟♥
(Ω, F, P)✳ ❚❛ ♥ã✐✿
1 ❤é✐ tô ❤➬✉ ❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥ ➤Õ♥
X
❦❤✐
n→∞
♥Õ✉ tå♥ t➵✐ t❐♣
P(N ) = 0 ✈➭ Xn (ω) → X(ω) ❦❤✐ n → ∞ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐ ω ∈ Ω\N ✳
✶✸
❑ý ❤✐Ö✉
h. c. c.
Xn → X h.c.c ❤♦➷❝ Xn −−−→ X
• ❉➲② {Xn }n
1 ❤é✐ tơ ➤➬② ➤đ ➤Õ♥
X
❦❤✐
n → ∞✳
❦❤✐
n → ∞ ♥Õ✉ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐ ε > 0 t❤×
∞
P(|Xn − X| > ε) < ∞.
n=1
❑ý ❤✐Ư✉
c
Xn →
− X
• ❉➲② {Xn }n
❦❤✐
n → ∞✳
1 ❤é✐ tô t❤❡♦ ①➳❝ s✉✃t ➤Õ♥
X
❦❤✐
n → ∞ ♥Õ✉ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐ ε > 0
t❤×
lim P(|Xn − X| > ε) = 0.
n→∞
❑ý ❤✐Ư✉
•
❉➲②
P
Xn −→ X
{Xn }n
n →
1 ộ tụ t tr ì
ế
Lp
Xn X
ã {Xn }n
❦❤✐
1 ❤é✐ tô t❤❡♦ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ (❤é✐ tô ②Õ✉) ➤Õ♥
lim Fn (x) = F (x)
Fn
✈➭
F
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
X
❦❤✐
n → ∞ ♥Õ✉
♥Õ✉
❑ý ❤✐Ư✉
x ∈ C(F ).
t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣ ❧➭ ❤➭♠ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐ ❝đ❛ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
X ✱ C(F ) ❧➭ t❐♣ ❤ỵ♣ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ĩ♠ ♠➭ t➵✐ ➤ã F
❧✐➟♥ tơ❝✳
D
Xn −
→ X✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t✳
h. c. c
Xn −−−→ X
❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
ε > 0✱
lim P(sup |Xm − X| > ε) = 0.
n→∞
✸✳ ◆Õ✉
n→∞
n → ∞✳
n→∞
✷✳ ◆Õ✉
❦❤✐
n→∞
❑ý ❤✐Ö✉
✶✳
X
1) ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ❜❐❝ p ✈➭ lim E|Xn − X|p = 0✳
X, Xn (n
❚r♦♥❣ ➤ã
p>0
c
Xn →
− X
t❤×
m n
h. c. c
Xn −−−→ X ✳
∞
E|Xn − X|p < ∞
n=1
Xn
✈➭
✶✹
✈í✐
h. c. c
p > 0 ♥➭♦ ➤ã t❤× Xn −−−→ X.
{Xn , n
✹✳ ●✐➯ sö
1}
❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣✳ ◆Õ✉
h. c. c
Xn −−−→ C
t❤×
c
Xn →
− C✳
h. c. c
✺✳ ◆Õ✉
Xn −−−→ X
✻✳ ◆Õ✉
Xn −→ X
✼✳ ◆Õ✉
Xn −
→X
P
D
✽✳ ●✐➯ sö
{Xn }n
❤♦➷❝
Lp
Xn −→ X
✈í✐
P
p > 0 ♥➭♦ ➤ã t❤× Xn −→ X.
D
Xn −
→ X.
t❤×
P
P(X = C) = 1 t❤× Xn −→ X.
✈➭
1 ✈➭
{Yn }n
1 ❧➭ ❝➳❝ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ t❤á❛ ♠➲♥ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
∞
P(Xn = Yn ) < ∞.
n=1
❑❤✐ ➤ã
✐✮ ◆Õ✉
h. c. c
Xn −−−→ X
t❤×
h. c. c
Yn −−−→ X
∞
❦❤✐
n → ∞;
∞
Xn
✐✐✮ ế
ộ tụ
h.c.c tì
n=1
Yn
ộ tụ
h.c.c
n=1
tí ề
ị ĩ
ề ế ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
❍ä ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
{Xi , i ∈ I}
➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤
> 0✱ tå♥ t➵✐ δ > 0 s❛♦ ❝❤♦ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐ ❜✐Õ♥ ❝è A ♠➭ P(A) < δ
t❤×
|Xi |dP <
sup
i∈I
❍ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
✈➭
sup E|Xi | < ∞.
i∈I
A
{Xi , i ∈ I} ➤➢ỵ❝ ❣ä✐ ❧➭ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ tr➟♥ ✭❤ä ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤
➤Ị✉ ❞➢í✐✮ ♥Õ✉ ❤ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
{Xi+ , i ∈ I}( t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣{Xi− , i ∈ I})
❧➭ ❤ä
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉✳
❚Ý♥❤ ❝❤✃t ✶✳✸✳✷✳ ❚õ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛ t❛ s✉② r❛ ❝➳❝ tÝ♥❤ ❝❤✃t s❛✉ ➤➞②✿
(i) {Xi }i∈I
(ii)
(iii)
◆Õ✉
◆Õ✉
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐
{Xi }i∈I
{Xi }i∈I
✈➭
{Yi }i∈I
{|Xi |}i∈I
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉ t❤×
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉❀
{Xi + Yi }i∈I
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉❀
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ t❤× ♠ä✐ ❤ä ❝♦♥ ❝đ❛ ♥ã ❝ị♥❣ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉❀
✶✺
(iv) {Xi }i∈I
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ ♥ã ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ tr➟♥ ✈➭ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉
❞➢í✐❀
(v)
◆Õ✉
|Xi |
Y
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
i∈I
EY < tì {Xi }iI
tí ề
ị í ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉✮ ❍ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ {Xi }i∈I
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤
➤Ò✉ ❦❤✐ ✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐
|Xi |dP = 0.
lim sup
a→∞ i∈I
|Xi |>a
➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✶✳✸✳✹✳
✭✐✮ ◆Õ✉ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
❦❤✐
n → ∞ t❤× X Lp
ợ ế
P
Xn X
ị í
{Xn }n
{Xn }n
1 ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ị✉ ✈í✐ p
Lp
Xn −→ X
1
⊂ Lp
❦❤✐
✈➭
n → ∞✳
Lp
Xn −→ X
❦❤✐
n → ∞
t❤×
X ∈ Lp ✱
n → ∞ ✈➭ {|Xn |p , n ∈ N} ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉✳
✭❱❛❧❧❡Ð P♦✉ss✐♥✮ ❍ä ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
✈➭ ❝❤Ø ❦❤✐ tå♥ t➵✐ ❤➭♠ ❧å✐✱ t➝♥❣✱ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠
sup E(G(|Xi |)) < ∞.
i∈I
P
> 0 ♥➭♦ ➤ã ✈➭ Xn → X
G(x)
{Xi }i∈I
s❛♦ ❝❤♦
❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉ ❦❤✐
G(x)
=∞
x→∞ x
lim
✈➭
✶✻
❈❤➢➡♥❣ ✷✳ ❑❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ➤Ò✉ t❤❡♦ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ❈❡s➭r♦ ✈➭ ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤
sè ❧í♥
❚r♦♥❣ s✉èt ❝❤➢➡♥❣ ♥➭②✱ t❛ ❧✉➠♥ ❣✐➯ sư r➺♥❣
{Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥✱
n
Sn =
Xj
✈➭
{f (n)}n
1 ❧➭ ❞➲② sè t➝♥❣
f (n) > 0 ✈➭ f (n) → ∞✳
j=1
✷✳✶✳ ▲✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ➤è✐ ✈í✐ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý s❛✉ ♠ë ré♥❣ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✶ tr♦♥❣ ❬✽❪✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✷✳✶✳✶✳ ❈❤♦ {Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠ ✈í✐ ♣❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐
❤÷✉ ❤➵♥✳ ●✐➯ sư r➺♥❣
n
E(|Xk |/f (n))] = A < ∞❀
(i) sup[
n 1
(ii)
k=1
tå♥ t➵✐ ♠ét ❞➲② ❦Ð♣
{ρij } ❝➳❝ sè t❤ù❝ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠ s❛♦ ❝❤♦
n
n
ρij
var(Sn )
n
1;
i=1 j=1
∞
∞
ρij /(f (i ∨ j))2 < ∞, (i ∨ j = max(i, j)).
(iii)
i=1 j=1
❑❤✐ ➤ã
[S(n) − E(S(n))]/f (n) → 0 h.c.c n .
ứ
ớ ỗ
ớ
> 1, > 0
l
T = [A/ ]
n ❝è ➤Þ♥❤ ❝❤ó♥❣ t❛ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ❞➲② {ml }l
m1 = inf{m
✈➭ ✈í✐
✈➭ ➤➷t
0 : αm
❧➭ ♣❤➬♥ ♥❣✉②➟♥ ❝đ❛
A/
✳
1 ♥❤➢ s❛✉✿
f (n) < αm+1 ,
✈í✐ ♥ ♥➭♦ ➤ã},
2✱
ml = inf{m > ml−1 : αm
❈❤ó ý r➺♥❣ tõ
f (n) ↑ ∞✱
❞➢➡♥❣ t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥
0
s✉② r❛ r➺♥❣
f (n) < αm+1 ,
{ml }l
✈í✐ ♥ ♥➭♦ ➤ã}.
1 ❧➭ ♠ét ❞➲② ❝♦♥ ❝➳❝ sè ♥❣✉②➟♥
m1 < m2 < m3 < ... ↑
ớ ỗ
l = 1, 2, ...
ớ
✶✼
s = 0, 1, 2, ..., T ✱ ➤➷t
Al (s) = {k : αml
❚❛ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛
f (k) < αml +1 }✳
❱í✐
❚õ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛ ❝đ❛ ❞➲②
{ml }l
Al (s)
❦❤➠♥❣ ♣❤➯✐ ❧➭
1 ✱ s✉② r❛ r➺♥❣✱
f (kl± (s))
α ml
f (kl± (s)) < αml +1 ✳
s = 0, 1, 2, ..., T ✱ t❛ ❝ã
(f (kl± (s)))−2
(f (kl± (s)))−2 var(S(kl± (s)))
∞
∞
∞
∞
l:kl± (s) i∨j
∞
i=1 j=1
∞
∞
∞
∞
∞
ρij
i=1 j=1
α4
α2 − 1
❚❛ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛
∞
α
l:kl± (s) i∨j
∞
i=1 j=1
α2
α2 − 1
α
m=ml(i,j)
∞
α−2ml
ρij
∞
.
l=l(i,j)
∞
ρij α−2ml(i,j)
i=1 j=1
ρij (f (i ∨ j)−2 < ∞.
i=1 j=1
Z(n) = [S(n)−ES(n)]/f (n)✳ ❙ư ❞ơ♥❣ ❜✃t ➤➻♥❣ t❤ø❝ ❈❤❡❜②s❤❡✈
> 0✱
t❛ ❝ã✱ ✈í✐ ♠ä✐
∞
∞
P(|Z(kl± (s))|
(f (kl± (s)))−2 var(S(kl± (s))) < ∞.
> )
l=1
l=1
❙✉② r ớ ỗ
s = 0, 1, 2, ..., T, Z(kl (s)) → 0
s = 0, 1, 2, ..., T, Z(kl± (s)) → 0
sè tù ♥❤✐➟♥
s❛♦ ❝❤♦✱
∞
−2ml
l:αml +1 >f (i∨j)
∞
−2m
α−2ml
ρij
i=1 j=1
ρij
i=1 j=1
(f (kl (s)))2
ij
=
ij
i=1 j=1
l=1
l=1
ớ ỗ
kl (s) kl (s)
ủ
ế
Al (s) t rỗ tì t t kl+ = kl = inf{k : αml
kl± (s) ✈í✐ f (n) ↑ ∞ t❤× f (i)
i
1
ES(k) [s , (s + 1) )}.
f (k)
kl+ (s) = sup Al (s), kl (s) = inf Al (s)
t rỗ ◆❣➢ỵ❝ ❧➵✐✱ ♥Õ✉
✈➭ ♥Õ✉
f (k) < αml +1 ,
n✱
α ml
tå♥ t➵✐
l = l(n)
✈➭
f (n) < αml +1 ✈➭
kl± (s)✱ t❛ ❝ã kl−
n
kl+ ✳
➤➬② ➤ñ✱ ❦❤✐
❤➬✉ ❝❤➽❝ ❝❤➽♥✱ ❦❤✐
l → ∞✳
l → ∞✳
❉♦ ➤ã✱
❱í✐ ♠ä✐
s = s(n) ✈í✐ lim l(n) = ∞, 0 s(n) T ✱
n→∞
1
ES(n) ∈ [s , (s + 1) ). ❚❤❡♦ ➤Þ♥❤ ♥❣❤Ü❛
f (n)
✶✽
1
ES(kl± (s)) ∈ [s , (s + 1) )
±
f (kl (s))
➤♦➵♥ [s , (s + 1) ) ❝ã ➤é ❞➭✐ ❜➺♥❣ ♥➟♥
❱×
✈➭
1
ES(n) ∈ [s , (s + 1) ).
f (n)
▼➭
1
1
ES(kl± (s)) −
ES(n) < .
±
f (n)
f (kl (s)
❚õ ➤ã s✉② r❛ ➤✐Ị✉ ♣❤➯✐ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
❍Ư q✉➯ ✷✳✶✳✷✳ ❈❤♦ {Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ♠ét ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠ ✈í✐ ♣❤➢➡♥❣
s❛✐ ❤÷✉ ❤➵♥✳ ●✐➯ sö
n
E(|Xk − E(Xk )|)/f (n)] < ∞;
(i) sup[
n>1
k=1
(ii) E(Xi Xj )
E(Xi )E(Xj ), ∀i = j;
∞
(f (n))−2 var(Xn ) < ∞✳
(iii)
n=1
❑❤✐ ➤ã
[S(n) − E(S(n))]/f (n) → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
➜➷t
ρij = max E(Xi Xj ) − E(Xi )E(Xj ), 0
✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã✱ tõ ➤✐Ị✉
n
❦✐Ư♥
(ii)
s✉② r❛
❦✐Ư♥
(ii)
✈➭
varSn
(iii)
t➵✐ ♠ét ❞➲②
✈➭
ρij = 0
❈❤♦
{Bn }n
{Xn }n
n
E(Xi I(Xi ∈ Bnc ) = o(f (n))❀
i=1
n
n 1
E(|Xk |I(Xk ∈ Bn ))/f (n)] < ∞;
k=1
❝đ❛ ❤Ư q✉➯✱ t❛
1 ❝➳❝ t❐♣ ❇♦r❡❧ t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ s❛✉ ➤➞②✿
n=1
(c) sup[
(i)
❞♦ ➤ã ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉
1 ❧➭ ♠ét ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠✱ s❛♦ ❝❤♦ tå♥
P(Xn ∈ Bnc ) < ∞;
(b)
i = j✱
(i) ❝đ❛ ➤Þ♥❤ ❧ý✳ ❉♦ ó ệ q ợ ứ
(a)
ớ ọ
i=1
ủ ị ý ợ t❤á❛ ♠➲♥✳ ❚õ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
s✉② r❛ ➤➢ỵ❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
❍Ư q✉➯ ✷✳✶✳✸✳
varXi
✶✾
(d)
1✱ tå♥ t➵✐ ❞➲② ❦Ð♣ {ρij } ❝➳❝ sè t❤ù❝ s
n
ớ ỗ
n
n
2
E |Sn E(Sn )|
ij
i=1 j=1
i=1 j=1
tr ➤ã
Bnc
ρij
< ∞, i ∨ j = max(i, j);
(f (i ∨ j))2
n
❧➭ ♣❤➬♥ ❜ï ❝ñ❛
Bn
✈➭
Xk I(Xk ∈ Bk )✳
Sn =
k=1
❑❤✐ ➤ã✱
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞✳
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
➜➷t
Yn = Xn I(Xn ∈ Bn ), n
1✳
❚õ ✭❝✮ ✈➭ ✭❞✮ s✉② r❛
{Yn }n
1
t❤á❛ ♠➲♥ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ❝đ❛ ➤Þ♥❤ ❧ý✳ ❉♦ ➤ã
n
−1
(Yi − E(Yi )) → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
(f (n))
i=1
❑Õt ❤ỵ♣ ➤✐Ị✉ ♥➭② ✈í✐ ✭❜✮✱ t❛ ❝ã
n
−1
(Yi − E(Xi )) → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
(f (n))
i=1
❈✉è✐ ❝ï♥❣✱ ❞♦ ✭❛✮ ♥➟♥
∞
∞
−1
−1
P(Xn ∈ Bnc ) < ∞.
P(f (n) [S(n)−E(S(n) = f (n) [S(n)−E(S(n))
n=1
n=1
❙✉② r❛
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
➜ã ❧➭ ➤✐Ị✉ ♣❤➯✐ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
✷✳✷✳ ▲✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ➤è✐ ✈í✐ ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét
❈❤ó♥❣ t❛ ❦ý ❤✐Ư✉
❝đ❛ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
X+
✈➭
X−
❧➬♥ ❧➢ỵt ❧➭ ♣❤➬♥ ❞➢➡♥❣ ✈➭ ♣❤➬♥ ➞♠ t➢➡♥❣ ø♥❣
X✳
❇➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ sư ❞ơ♥❣ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✶✳✶✱ t tết ợ ị ý s ề t
sè ❧í♥ ❝❤♦ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✱ ❦❤➠♥❣ ❝ï♥❣ ♣❤➞♥ ♣❤è✐✳
✷✵
➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✶✳
❈❤♦
{Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ♠ét ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét ✈í✐
♣❤➢➡♥❣ s❛✐ ❤÷✉ ❤➵♥✳ ●✐➯ sư
n
E(|Xk − E(Xk )|)/f (n)] < ∞;
(i) sup[
n 1
k=1
∞
(f (n))−2 var(Xn ) < ∞✳
(ii)
n=1
❑❤✐ ➤ã
[S(n) − E(S(n))]/f (n) → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ➜➷t Yn = (Xn − E(Xn ))+ ✈➭ Zn = (Xn − E(Xn ))− (n
❝ã
E(Yn2 )
var(Yn )
var(Xn )
➤ã✱ tõ ❣✐➯ t❤✐Õt s✉② r❛ r➺♥❣ ❞➲②
❧ý ✷✳✶✳✶ ✭✈í✐
✈➭
E(Yn )
{Yn }n
E(|Xn − E(Xn )|)(n
1)✳ ❚❛
1)✳
❉♦
1 t❤á❛ ♠➲♥ t✃t ❝➯ ❝➳❝ ❣✐➯ t❤✐Õt ❝đ❛ ➜Þ♥❤
ρij = max E(Yi Yj ) − E(Yi )E(Yj ), 0 = 0✮✳ ❙✉② r❛
n
−1
(Yi − E(Yi )) → 0 h.c.c✱ ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
(f (n))
i=1
❇➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ t❤❛②
Xn
❜ë✐
−Xn
t❛ ➤➢ỵ❝
n
−1
(Zi − E(Zi )) → 0 h.c.c✱ ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
(f (n))
i=1
▲➵✐ ❝ã
n
−1
n
−1
E(Yi ) − (f (n))
(f (n))
i=1
n
−1
E(Xi − E(Xi )) = 0.
E(Zi ) = (f (n))
i=1
i=1
❚õ ➤ã✱ s✉② r❛ ➤✐Ị✉ ♣❤➯✐ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý s❛✉ ➤➞② ❧➭ ❝➠♥❣ ❝ơ q✉❛♥ trä♥❣ ➤Ĩ t❛ t❤✉ ➤➢ỵ❝ ❝➳❝ ❦Õt q✉➯ t✐Õ♣ t❤❡♦✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✷✳✷✳✷✳
❈❤♦
{Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ♠ét ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➯ tÝ❝❤ ✈➭ ➤é❝
❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét✱ s❛♦ ❝❤♦ tå♥ t➵✐ ♠ét ❞➲②
❦✐Ö♥✿
∞
P(Xn ∈ Bnc ) < ∞;
(a)
n=1
{Bn }
❝➳❝ t❐♣ ❇♦r❡❧ t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ò✉
✷✶
n
E(Xi I(Xi ∈ Bnc )) = o(f (n))❀
(b)
i=1
∞
(f (n)−2 )var(Xn I(Xn ∈ Bn )) < ∞;
(c)
n=1
n
E(|Xk |I(Xk ∈ Bn ))/f (n)] < ∞,
(d) sup[
n 1
k=1
tr♦♥❣ ➤ã
❑❤✐ ➤ã✱
Bnc
❧➭ ♣❤➬♥ ❜ï ❝ñ❛
Bn ✳
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞✳
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
➜➷t
Yn = Xn I(Xn ∈ Bn ), n
1✳
❚õ ✭❝✮ ✈➭ ✭❞✮ s✉② r❛
{Yn }n
1
t❤á❛ ♠➲♥ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ❝đ❛ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✷✳✷✳✶✳ ❉♦ ➤ã✱
n
−1
(Yi − E(Yi )) → 0 h.c.c✱ ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
(f (n))
i=1
❑Õt ❤ỵ♣ ➤✐Ị✉ ♥➭② ✈í✐ ✭❜✮✱ t❛ ❝ã
n
−1
(Yi − E(Xi )) → 0 h.c.c✱ ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
(f (n))
i=1
❈✉è✐ ❝ï♥❣✱ ❞♦ ✭❛✮ ♥➟♥
∞
P(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] = f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))]
n=1
∞
P(Xn ∈ Bnc ) < ∞.
n=1
❙✉② r❛
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c✱ ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
➜ã ❧➭ ➤✐Ò✉ ♣❤➯✐ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
❉➢í✐ ➤➞② ❧➭ ♠ét ♠ë ré♥❣ ❝đ❛ ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥ ❊t❡♠❛❞✐✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✸✳
✈➭ ➤➷t
❈❤♦
{Xn }n
G(x) = sup P(|Xn |
n 1
1 ❧➭ ♠ét ❞➲② ❝➳❝ ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét
x) ✈í✐ x
0✳ ◆Õ✉
∞
G(x)dx < ∞
0
✷✷
n
−1
ci (Xi − E(Xi )) → 0 ❤✳❝✳❝ ❦❤✐ n ớ ỗ {cn }n
n
tì
1 ị
i=1
ứ ❚❛ ❝ã
∞
E(|Xn |) =
+∞
P(|Xn |
G(x)dx < ∞.
x)dx
0
0
❙✉② r❛
+∞
sup E(|Xn |)
G(x)dx < ∞.
n 1
Yi = ci Xi ✱
❉♦ ➤ã✱ ❜➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ ➤➷t
♠✐♥❤ r➺♥❣ ❞➲②
{Xn }n
0
∞
P(|Xn | > n)
∞
n=1
∞
n+1
G(x)dx < ∞.
G(x)dx
n=1
Bn =
G(n) ♥➟♥
G(n)
n=1
❚❛ sÏ ♣❤➯✐ ❝❤ø♥❣
1 t❤á❛ ♠➲♥ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ❝đ❛ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✷ ✈í✐
[−n, n], f (n) = n✳ ❚❛ ❝ã P(|Xn | > n)
∞
ci = 1✳
❝ã t❤Ó ①❡♠
n
1
❉♦ ➤ã ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ✭❛✮ ➤➢ỵ❝ t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥✳ ➜Ĩ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ✭❜✮✱ ❧➢✉ ý r➺♥❣
➤è✐ ✈í✐ ♠ét ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥
Z
❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠ ❜✃t ❦× ✈➭ ✈í✐
α
0✱ t❛ ❝ã
∞
E(ZI(Z
α)) =
P(ZI(Z
0
=
α) > x)dx
∞
α
P(ZI(Z
α) > x)dx +
0
P(ZI(Z
α
∞
= αP(Z
α) +
α) > x)dx
x)dx.
P(Z
α
❉♦ ➤ã
∞
E(|Xn |I(|Xn | > n)) = nP(|Xn |
G(x)dx → 0,
n) +
n
❦❤✐
n → ∞✱ s✉② r❛ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ✭❜✮ ➤ó♥❣✳ ▲➵✐ ❝ã
∞
E (|Xk |I(|Xk | < k)) =
P (|Xk |I(|Xk | < k) > x) dx
0
k
k
P (|Xk | > x) dx
0
G(x)dx.
0
✷✸
❙✉② r❛
n
1
n
n
1
n
E(|Xk |I(|Xk | < k))
k=1
k
G(x)dx
0
k=1
∞
n
G(x)dx < ∞.
G(x)dx
0
0
❉♦ ➤ã✱ ➤✐Ò✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ✭❞✮ ❝ị♥❣ ➤ó♥❣✳
❇➞② ❣✐ê t❛ sÏ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ✭❝✮✳ ❈❤ó ý r➺♥❣ ➤è✐ ✈í✐
♥❤✐➟♥ ❦❤➠♥❣ ➞♠ ✈➭
Z
❧➭ ♠ét ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉
α > 0 t❤×
α
α)) =
E(ZI(Z
0
α) > x)dx
P(x < Z
α)dx
α
=
0
P(ZI(Z
α
x)dx.
P(Z
0
❉♦ ➤ã✱
∞
∞
n−2 E(Xn2 I(|Xn |
n2
n−2
n))
n=1
x1/2 )dx
0
n=1
∞
P(|Xn |
n2
−2
G(x1/2 )dy
n
0
n=1
∞
=2
n
n=1
∞
∞
n
−2
yG(y)dy = 2
0
n=1
∞
j
=2
j=1
∞
j=1
j−1
j
j=1
j−1
yG(y)dy
∞
−2
yG(y)dy
j−1
n
n
−2
n
n=j
4
j
j
j=1
−1
yG(y)dy
j−1
j
G(y)dy < ∞.
4
❚✐Õ♣ t❤❡♦✱ ❝❤ó♥❣ t➠✐ tr×♥❤ ❜➭② ♠ét ♠ë ré♥❣ ❝đ❛ ❧✉❐t ♠➵♥❤ sè ❧í♥
❝đ❛ ❈❤✉♥❣ ❬✺❪✳
➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✹✳ ❈❤♦ {Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét ✈➭
n
E(|Xk |I(|Xk |
sup[
n 1
k=1
ak ))/f (n)] < ∞.
✷✹
gn : (0, ∞) → (0, ∞)
❈❤♦
❧➭ ❤➭♠ sè t➝♥❣ t❤❡♦
x
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
n
1, gn (0)
❝ã t❤Ĩ
♥❤❐♥ ❣✐➳ trÞ tï② ý✳ ●✐➯ sö r➺♥❣✿
x/gn (x) ✈➭
gn (x)
x2
❣✐➯♠ t❤❡♦
x
∞
E(gn (|Xn |))/gn (an ) < ∞ ✈➭ ❞➲② {an /f (n)}n
1 ❜Þ ❝❤➷♥✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
n=1
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
❚❛ sư ❞ơ♥❣ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✷ ✈í✐
♠✐♥❤ r➺♥❣ ❞➲②
{Xn } t❤á❛ ♠➲♥ ❝➳❝ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ❝đ❛ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✷✳ ❉♦ ❝➳❝ ❤➭♠ sè
gn
t➝♥❣✱ ♥➟♥ t❛ ❝ã
∞
Bn = [−an , an ]✳
{|Xn | > an } ⊂ {gn (|Xn |)
gn (an )}✳ ❉♦ ➤ã
∞
∞
P(|Xn | > an )
n=1
P(gn (|Xn |)
E(gn (|Xn |))/gn (an ) < ∞.
gn (an ))
n=1
n=1
❉♦ ➤ã✱ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ ✭❛✮ ➤➢ỵ❝ t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥✳
gn (x)
an ✱ ❦❤✐ x
gn (an )
❚❛ sÏ ♣❤➯✐ ❝❤ø♥❣
❱×
x/gn (x)
❣✐➯♠ t❤❡♦
x✱
♥➟♥
x
an ✳ ❉♦ ➤ã
E(|Xn |I(|Xn | > an ))
an E(gn (|Xn |))/gn (an ).
❙✉② r❛
∞
∞
−1
(f (n)) E(|Xn |I(|Xn | > an ))
n=1
an E(gn (|Xn |))/(f (n)gn (an )) < ∞.
n=1
❇➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ sư ❞ơ♥❣ ❇ỉ ➤Ị ❑r♦♥❡❝❦❡r✱ t❛ s✉② r❛ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
sÏ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤
0
x
{Xn }n
1 t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
❚❛ ❝ã
t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥✳ ❚❛
x2
gn (x) 2
a
gn (an ) n
❦❤✐
an ✱ ♥➟♥
∞
∞
−2
(f (n))
n=1
(c)✳
(b)
E(|Xn2 |I(|Xn |
a2n E(gn (|Xn |)/(f (n)gn (an )) < ∞.
an ))
n=1
❚❤❡♦ ❣✐➯ t❤✐Õt ❤✐Ó♥ ♥❤✐➟♥ t❛ ❝ã ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
(d)✳ ❱❐②
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
✷✺
❍Ö q✉➯ ✷✳✷✳✺✳ ❈❤♦ {Xn } ❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét ✈➭
n
E(|Xk |I(|Xk |
sup[
n 1
ak ))/n] < .
k=1
ế
1
pn
2 ớ ỗ n
npn E(|Xn |) < tì
1 ✈➭
n=1
n−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳ ❙ư ❞ơ♥❣ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧ý ✷✳✷✳✹ ✈í✐ gn (x) = xpn , an = n ✈➭ f (n) = n t
ợ ề ứ
ị í {Xn }n
1 ❧➭ ❞➲② ❜✐Õ♥ ♥❣➱✉ ♥❤✐➟♥ ➤é❝ ❧❐♣ ➤➠✐ ♠ét ✈➭
n
E(|Xk |I(|Xk |
sup[
n 1
❈❤♦
ak ))/f (n)] < ∞.
k=1
gn : (0, ∞) → (0, ∞)
❧➭ ❤➭♠ sè t➝♥❣ t❤❡♦
x
✈í✐ ♠ä✐
n
1, gn (0)
❝ã t❤Ĩ
♥❤❐♥ ❣✐➳ trÞ tï② ý✳ ●✐➯ sư r➺♥❣✿
x/gn (x) t➝♥❣ t❤❡♦ x ✈➭ E(Xn ) = 0,
∞
E(gn (|Xn |))/gn (an ) < ∞ ✈➭ {an /f (n)}n
1 ❜Þ ❝❤➷♥✳ ❑❤✐ ➤ã
n=1
(f (n))−1 [S(n) − E(S(n))] → 0 h.c.c ❦❤✐ n → ∞.
❈❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤✳
❚❛ ❝ò♥❣ sÏ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ❜➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ sư ❞ơ♥❣ ➜Þ♥❤ ❧Ý ✷✳✷✳✷ ✈í✐
Bn = [−an , an ]✳
∞
∞
P(|Xn | > an )
n=1
s✉② r❛ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥
❣✐➯ t❤✐Õt
P(gn (|Xn |)
gn (an )) < ∞.
n=1
(a) t❤♦➯ ♠➲♥✳ ❚❛ ❝❤ø♥❣ ♠✐♥❤ ➤✐Ị✉ ❦✐Ư♥ (b) ❜➺♥❣ ❝➳❝❤ sư ❞ơ♥❣
E(Xn ) = 0✳ ❚❛ ❝ã
∞
∞
−1
(f (n))−1 E(|Xn |I(|Xn |
(f (n)) E(|Xn |I(|Xn | > an )) =
n=1
n=1
∞
an E(gn (|Xn |))/(f (n)gn (an )) < ∞.
n=1
an ))